Championship·Regular Season - 9·
Championship·Regular Season - 9·Predicted match statistics
Goals
28%
25%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.161.592.76safe0.20–2.130.74–2.450.93–4.58safer0.00–2.380.51–2.670.45–5.06
Shots on target
37%
14%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction4.144.598.72safe2.27–6.002.85–6.335.12–12.33safer1.78–6.492.38–6.804.16–13.28
Total shots
42%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2212.7825.00safe8.30–16.159.22–16.3417.52–32.49safer7.21–17.248.26–17.3015.46–34.54
Shots in box
29%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction7.599.3616.95safe4.65–10.536.68–12.0411.33–22.58safer3.82–11.365.95–12.789.76–24.14
Blocked shots
49%
16%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction3.312.846.15safe1.43–5.191.18–4.492.61–9.68safer0.88–5.730.69–4.981.58–10.72
Corners
46%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction5.124.9010.02safe2.90–7.332.90–6.905.80–14.23safer2.33–7.902.37–7.434.70–15.34
Possession %
38%
57%
homeawayprediction48.3052.45safe41.51–55.1045.67–59.24safer39.84–56.7643.99–60.91
Passes
42%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction390416806safe323–458349–482672–940safer305–476332–500637–975
Pass accuracy %
15%
82%
homeawayprediction62.6270.26safe58.59–66.6565.94–74.59safer57.30–67.9564.63–75.90
Fouls
41%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2711.8823.15safe8.43–14.118.94–14.8317.37–28.93safer7.67–14.868.19–15.5715.86–30.44
Offsides
81%
homeawaytotalprediction1.664.265.93safe0.50–2.823.17–5.363.67–8.18safer0.20–3.122.88–5.653.08–8.77
Yellow cards
37%
21%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.871.993.86safe0.82–2.920.86–3.121.68–6.04safer0.56–3.190.57–3.411.13–6.60
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.16safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.400.00–0.79
GK saves
42%
17%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction2.952.955.91safe1.52–4.391.40–4.512.91–8.90safer1.13–4.780.97–4.932.10–9.71
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.16 0.20–2.13 0.00–2.38 | 1.59 0.74–2.45 0.51–2.67 | 2.76 0.93–4.58 0.45–5.06 | 28% 25% 47% |
| Shots on target | 4.14 2.27–6.00 1.78–6.49 | 4.59 2.85–6.33 2.38–6.80 | 8.72 5.12–12.33 4.16–13.28 | 37% 14% 49% |
| Total shots | 12.22 8.30–16.15 7.21–17.24 | 12.78 9.22–16.34 8.26–17.30 | 25.00 17.52–32.49 15.46–34.54 | 42% 50% |
| Shots in box | 7.59 4.65–10.53 3.82–11.36 | 9.36 6.68–12.04 5.95–12.78 | 16.95 11.33–22.58 9.76–24.14 | 29% 62% |
| Blocked shots | 3.31 1.43–5.19 0.88–5.73 | 2.84 1.18–4.49 0.69–4.98 | 6.15 2.61–9.68 1.58–10.72 | 49% 16% 35% |
| Corners | 5.12 2.90–7.33 2.33–7.90 | 4.90 2.90–6.90 2.37–7.43 | 10.02 5.80–14.23 4.70–15.34 | 46% 41% |
| Possession % | 48.30 41.51–55.10 39.84–56.76 | 52.45 45.67–59.24 43.99–60.91 | — | 38% 57% |
| Passes | 390 323–458 305–476 | 416 349–482 332–500 | 806 672–940 637–975 | 42% 58% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.62 58.59–66.65 57.30–67.95 | 70.26 65.94–74.59 64.63–75.90 | — | 15% 82% |
| Fouls | 11.27 8.43–14.11 7.67–14.86 | 11.88 8.94–14.83 8.19–15.57 | 23.15 17.37–28.93 15.86–30.44 | 41% 51% |
| Offsides | 1.66 0.50–2.82 0.20–3.12 | 4.26 3.17–5.36 2.88–5.65 | 5.93 3.67–8.18 3.08–8.77 | 81% |
| Yellow cards | 1.87 0.82–2.92 0.56–3.19 | 1.99 0.86–3.12 0.57–3.41 | 3.86 1.68–6.04 1.13–6.60 | 37% 21% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.95 1.52–4.39 1.13–4.78 | 2.95 1.40–4.51 0.97–4.93 | 5.91 2.91–8.90 2.10–9.71 | 42% 17% 42% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.