Championship·Regular Season - 34·
Championship·Regular Season - 34·Predicted match statistics
Goals
53%
24%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction1.731.062.79safe0.76–2.700.21–1.920.97–4.62safer0.51–2.950.00–2.140.49–5.10
Shots on target
65%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction5.243.628.86safe3.38–7.101.88–5.365.25–12.46safer2.89–7.591.41–5.834.30–13.42
Total shots
76%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction14.6510.5525.20safe10.72–18.576.99–14.1117.71–32.68safer9.63–19.666.03–15.0715.66–34.73
Shots in box
82%
homeawaytotalprediction10.796.5417.33safe7.85–13.733.86–9.2211.71–22.96safer7.02–14.563.13–9.9610.14–24.52
Blocked shots
55%
15%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction3.762.896.65safe1.87–5.641.24–4.543.11–10.18safer1.33–6.180.75–5.042.07–11.22
Corners
69%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction6.254.1310.38safe4.04–8.472.13–6.136.17–14.59safer3.47–9.041.60–6.665.06–15.70
Possession %
72%
25%
homeawayprediction55.8545.18safe49.06–62.6438.39–51.96safer47.39–64.3136.72–53.63
Passes
82%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction480371852safe413–548305–438718–986safer395–566287–455683–1021
Pass accuracy %
57%
38%
homeawayprediction69.6567.72safe65.62–73.6863.40–72.04safer64.33–74.9762.09–73.35
Fouls
45%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2711.3722.64safe8.44–14.118.42–14.3116.86–28.42safer7.68–14.877.68–15.0615.35–29.93
Offsides
72%
13%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction3.551.715.25safe2.39–4.710.61–2.803.00–7.51safer2.09–5.010.32–3.092.41–8.10
Yellow cards
26%
22%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.331.983.31safe0.28–2.380.85–3.111.13–5.48safer0.01–2.640.56–3.400.57–6.04
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.100.15safe0.00–0.200.00–0.290.00–0.50safer0.00–0.350.00–0.420.00–0.78
GK saves
24%
15%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction2.503.706.20safe1.06–3.942.14–5.253.21–9.19safer0.68–4.321.72–5.682.39–10.00
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.73 0.76–2.70 0.51–2.95 | 1.06 0.21–1.92 0.00–2.14 | 2.79 0.97–4.62 0.49–5.10 | 53% 24% 23% |
| Shots on target | 5.24 3.38–7.10 2.89–7.59 | 3.62 1.88–5.36 1.41–5.83 | 8.86 5.25–12.46 4.30–13.42 | 65% 24% |
| Total shots | 14.65 10.72–18.57 9.63–19.66 | 10.55 6.99–14.11 6.03–15.07 | 25.20 17.71–32.68 15.66–34.73 | 76% 18% |
| Shots in box | 10.79 7.85–13.73 7.02–14.56 | 6.54 3.86–9.22 3.13–9.96 | 17.33 11.71–22.96 10.14–24.52 | 82% |
| Blocked shots | 3.76 1.87–5.64 1.33–6.18 | 2.89 1.24–4.54 0.75–5.04 | 6.65 3.11–10.18 2.07–11.22 | 55% 15% 30% |
| Corners | 6.25 4.04–8.47 3.47–9.04 | 4.13 2.13–6.13 1.60–6.66 | 10.38 6.17–14.59 5.06–15.70 | 69% 21% |
| Possession % | 55.85 49.06–62.64 47.39–64.31 | 45.18 38.39–51.96 36.72–53.63 | — | 72% 25% |
| Passes | 480 413–548 395–566 | 371 305–438 287–455 | 852 718–986 683–1021 | 82% 18% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.65 65.62–73.68 64.33–74.97 | 67.72 63.40–72.04 62.09–73.35 | — | 57% 38% |
| Fouls | 11.27 8.44–14.11 7.68–14.87 | 11.37 8.42–14.31 7.68–15.06 | 22.64 16.86–28.42 15.35–29.93 | 45% 47% |
| Offsides | 3.55 2.39–4.71 2.09–5.01 | 1.71 0.61–2.80 0.32–3.09 | 5.25 3.00–7.51 2.41–8.10 | 72% 13% 15% |
| Yellow cards | 1.33 0.28–2.38 0.01–2.64 | 1.98 0.85–3.11 0.56–3.40 | 3.31 1.13–5.48 0.57–6.04 | 26% 22% 53% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.50 1.06–3.94 0.68–4.32 | 3.70 2.14–5.25 1.72–5.68 | 6.20 3.21–9.19 2.39–10.00 | 24% 15% 61% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+