Championship·Regular Season - 9·
Championship·Regular Season - 9·Predicted match statistics
Goals
31%
26%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.171.422.60safe0.21–2.140.57–2.280.77–4.42safer0.00–2.390.34–2.510.29–4.90
Shots on target
32%
14%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction3.424.227.65safe1.56–5.292.48–5.964.04–11.25safer1.07–5.782.01–6.433.09–12.21
Total shots
30%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2813.3324.61safe7.36–15.219.76–16.8917.12–32.10safer6.27–16.308.80–17.8515.07–34.15
Shots in box
32%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction7.328.6715.99safe4.38–10.265.99–11.3510.37–21.61safer3.55–11.095.25–12.098.80–23.18
Blocked shots
31%
14%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction3.254.047.29safe1.36–5.132.39–5.693.75–10.82safer0.82–5.671.89–6.182.71–11.86
Corners
35%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction4.685.4410.12safe2.47–6.903.44–7.445.91–14.34safer1.90–7.472.91–7.974.80–15.44
Possession %
21%
76%
homeawayprediction43.8056.68safe37.00–50.5949.90–63.47safer35.34–52.2648.23–65.14
Passes
24%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction363448811safe296–430381–514677–944safer277–448364–532641–980
Pass accuracy %
86%
homeawayprediction61.9570.95safe57.92–65.9866.63–75.28safer56.63–67.2765.32–76.59
Fouls
62%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction12.9510.9423.89safe10.11–15.787.99–13.8818.10–29.67safer9.35–16.547.24–14.6316.60–31.17
Offsides
44%
23%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.721.463.18safe0.56–2.880.37–2.550.92–5.43safer0.26–3.180.08–2.840.33–6.02
Yellow cards
45%
20%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction2.161.884.04safe1.11–3.210.75–3.011.86–6.22safer0.85–3.480.46–3.301.30–6.78
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.13safe0.00–0.220.00–0.260.00–0.48safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.76
GK saves
53%
17%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction2.932.245.17safe1.49–4.360.68–3.802.18–8.16safer1.10–4.750.26–4.221.36–8.97
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.17 0.21–2.14 0.00–2.39 | 1.42 0.57–2.28 0.34–2.51 | 2.60 0.77–4.42 0.29–4.90 | 31% 26% 43% |
| Shots on target | 3.42 1.56–5.29 1.07–5.78 | 4.22 2.48–5.96 2.01–6.43 | 7.65 4.04–11.25 3.09–12.21 | 32% 14% 54% |
| Total shots | 11.28 7.36–15.21 6.27–16.30 | 13.33 9.76–16.89 8.80–17.85 | 24.61 17.12–32.10 15.07–34.15 | 30% 62% |
| Shots in box | 7.32 4.38–10.26 3.55–11.09 | 8.67 5.99–11.35 5.25–12.09 | 15.99 10.37–21.61 8.80–23.18 | 32% 58% |
| Blocked shots | 3.25 1.36–5.13 0.82–5.67 | 4.04 2.39–5.69 1.89–6.18 | 7.29 3.75–10.82 2.71–11.86 | 31% 14% 54% |
| Corners | 4.68 2.47–6.90 1.90–7.47 | 5.44 3.44–7.44 2.91–7.97 | 10.12 5.91–14.34 4.80–15.44 | 35% 53% |
| Possession % | 43.80 37.00–50.59 35.34–52.26 | 56.68 49.90–63.47 48.23–65.14 | — | 21% 76% |
| Passes | 363 296–430 277–448 | 448 381–514 364–532 | 811 677–944 641–980 | 24% 76% |
| Pass accuracy % | 61.95 57.92–65.98 56.63–67.27 | 70.95 66.63–75.28 65.32–76.59 | — | 86% |
| Fouls | 12.95 10.11–15.78 9.35–16.54 | 10.94 7.99–13.88 7.24–14.63 | 23.89 18.10–29.67 16.60–31.17 | 62% 30% |
| Offsides | 1.72 0.56–2.88 0.26–3.18 | 1.46 0.37–2.55 0.08–2.84 | 3.18 0.92–5.43 0.33–6.02 | 44% 23% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 2.16 1.11–3.21 0.85–3.48 | 1.88 0.75–3.01 0.46–3.30 | 4.04 1.86–6.22 1.30–6.78 | 45% 20% 34% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.93 1.49–4.36 1.10–4.75 | 2.24 0.68–3.80 0.26–4.22 | 5.17 2.18–8.16 1.36–8.97 | 53% 17% 30% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.