Championship·Regular Season - 34·
Championship·Regular Season - 34·Predicted match statistics
Goals
50%
26%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction1.480.912.39safe0.51–2.440.06–1.770.57–4.21safer0.26–2.690.00–2.000.09–4.69
Shots on target
66%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction4.602.987.58safe2.74–6.461.24–4.723.98–11.19safer2.25–6.950.77–5.193.02–12.14
Total shots
83%
homeawaytotalprediction14.989.7624.74safe11.06–18.916.19–13.3217.25–32.23safer9.97–20.005.23–14.2815.20–34.28
Shots in box
67%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction9.337.0116.34safe6.39–12.274.33–9.7010.72–21.97safer5.56–13.103.60–10.439.15–23.53
Blocked shots
72%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction4.862.767.62safe2.98–6.741.11–4.414.09–11.16safer2.44–7.290.61–4.903.05–12.19
Corners
68%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction6.254.2210.47safe4.04–8.472.22–6.226.26–14.68safer3.47–9.041.68–6.755.15–15.79
Possession %
86%
homeawayprediction59.4539.83safe52.66–66.2433.04–46.61safer50.99–67.9131.37–48.28
Passes
93%
homeawaytotalprediction524344868safe457–592278–410735–1002safer439–610260–428699–1038
Pass accuracy %
58%
37%
homeawayprediction67.2265.07safe63.19–71.2560.75–69.40safer61.90–72.5459.44–70.70
Fouls
17%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction9.8313.9523.77safe6.99–12.6611.00–16.8917.99–29.56safer6.23–13.4210.25–17.6416.49–31.06
Offsides
39%
24%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.611.553.16safe0.45–2.770.46–2.650.91–5.42safer0.15–3.070.17–2.930.32–6.01
Yellow cards
18%
19%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction1.182.293.46safe0.13–2.231.16–3.421.29–5.64safer0.00–2.490.87–3.710.73–6.20
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.14safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.77
GK saves
25%
17%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction2.003.015.01safe0.57–3.441.45–4.562.02–8.00safer0.18–3.831.03–4.991.21–8.82
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.48 0.51–2.44 0.26–2.69 | 0.91 0.06–1.77 0.00–2.00 | 2.39 0.57–4.21 0.09–4.69 | 50% 26% 23% |
| Shots on target | 4.60 2.74–6.46 2.25–6.95 | 2.98 1.24–4.72 0.77–5.19 | 7.58 3.98–11.19 3.02–12.14 | 66% 22% |
| Total shots | 14.98 11.06–18.91 9.97–20.00 | 9.76 6.19–13.32 5.23–14.28 | 24.74 17.25–32.23 15.20–34.28 | 83% |
| Shots in box | 9.33 6.39–12.27 5.56–13.10 | 7.01 4.33–9.70 3.60–10.43 | 16.34 10.72–21.97 9.15–23.53 | 67% 24% |
| Blocked shots | 4.86 2.98–6.74 2.44–7.29 | 2.76 1.11–4.41 0.61–4.90 | 7.62 4.09–11.16 3.05–12.19 | 72% 17% |
| Corners | 6.25 4.04–8.47 3.47–9.04 | 4.22 2.22–6.22 1.68–6.75 | 10.47 6.26–14.68 5.15–15.79 | 68% 21% |
| Possession % | 59.45 52.66–66.24 50.99–67.91 | 39.83 33.04–46.61 31.37–48.28 | — | 86% |
| Passes | 524 457–592 439–610 | 344 278–410 260–428 | 868 735–1002 699–1038 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.22 63.19–71.25 61.90–72.54 | 65.07 60.75–69.40 59.44–70.70 | — | 58% 37% |
| Fouls | 9.83 6.99–12.66 6.23–13.42 | 13.95 11.00–16.89 10.25–17.64 | 23.77 17.99–29.56 16.49–31.06 | 17% 77% |
| Offsides | 1.61 0.45–2.77 0.15–3.07 | 1.55 0.46–2.65 0.17–2.93 | 3.16 0.91–5.42 0.32–6.01 | 39% 24% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.18 0.13–2.23 0.00–2.49 | 2.29 1.16–3.42 0.87–3.71 | 3.46 1.29–5.64 0.73–6.20 | 18% 19% 62% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.00 0.57–3.44 0.18–3.83 | 3.01 1.45–4.56 1.03–4.99 | 5.01 2.02–8.00 1.21–8.82 | 25% 17% 59% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+