Predicted match statistics
Goals
37%
28%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.231.192.41safe0.26–2.190.33–2.040.59–4.23safer0.01–2.450.10–2.270.11–4.71
Shots on target
48%
15%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction3.983.637.61safe2.12–5.841.88–5.374.00–11.21safer1.63–6.331.42–5.833.04–12.17
Total shots
55%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5711.5124.08safe8.64–16.497.94–15.0716.59–31.56safer7.55–17.596.99–16.0314.54–33.61
Shots in box
49%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction8.508.0616.56safe5.55–11.445.38–10.7410.94–22.18safer4.73–12.274.64–11.489.37–23.75
Blocked shots
46%
15%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction3.693.467.15safe1.81–5.581.81–5.113.62–10.69safer1.27–6.121.31–5.602.58–11.72
Corners
54%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction5.414.6110.02safe3.20–7.622.61–6.615.80–14.23safer2.62–8.202.07–7.144.70–15.34
Possession %
39%
56%
homeawayprediction48.2752.01safe41.48–55.0645.23–58.80safer39.81–56.7343.56–60.47
Passes
40%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction415444859safe347–482378–511725–993safer329–500360–528690–1028
Pass accuracy %
29%
66%
homeawayprediction67.0770.77safe63.04–71.1066.45–75.10safer61.75–72.3965.14–76.41
Fouls
55%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2710.2021.48safe8.44–14.117.26–13.1515.69–27.26safer7.68–14.876.51–13.8914.19–28.76
Offsides
38%
23%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.671.703.36safe0.51–2.830.61–2.791.11–5.62safer0.20–3.130.32–3.080.52–6.21
Yellow cards
41%
22%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.881.783.66safe0.83–2.930.65–2.911.49–5.84safer0.57–3.200.36–3.200.93–6.40
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.060.14safe0.00–0.230.00–0.250.00–0.48safer0.00–0.380.00–0.380.00–0.77
GK saves
38%
18%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.502.675.16safe1.06–3.931.11–4.222.17–8.16safer0.67–4.320.69–4.651.36–8.97
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.23 0.26–2.19 0.01–2.45 | 1.19 0.33–2.04 0.10–2.27 | 2.41 0.59–4.23 0.11–4.71 | 37% 28% 35% |
| Shots on target | 3.98 2.12–5.84 1.63–6.33 | 3.63 1.88–5.37 1.42–5.83 | 7.61 4.00–11.21 3.04–12.17 | 48% 15% 38% |
| Total shots | 12.57 8.64–16.49 7.55–17.59 | 11.51 7.94–15.07 6.99–16.03 | 24.08 16.59–31.56 14.54–33.61 | 55% 37% |
| Shots in box | 8.50 5.55–11.44 4.73–12.27 | 8.06 5.38–10.74 4.64–11.48 | 16.56 10.94–22.18 9.37–23.75 | 49% 41% |
| Blocked shots | 3.69 1.81–5.58 1.27–6.12 | 3.46 1.81–5.11 1.31–5.60 | 7.15 3.62–10.69 2.58–11.72 | 46% 15% 39% |
| Corners | 5.41 3.20–7.62 2.62–8.20 | 4.61 2.61–6.61 2.07–7.14 | 10.02 5.80–14.23 4.70–15.34 | 54% 34% |
| Possession % | 48.27 41.48–55.06 39.81–56.73 | 52.01 45.23–58.80 43.56–60.47 | — | 39% 56% |
| Passes | 415 347–482 329–500 | 444 378–511 360–528 | 859 725–993 690–1028 | 40% 60% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.07 63.04–71.10 61.75–72.39 | 70.77 66.45–75.10 65.14–76.41 | — | 29% 66% |
| Fouls | 11.27 8.44–14.11 7.68–14.87 | 10.20 7.26–13.15 6.51–13.89 | 21.48 15.69–27.26 14.19–28.76 | 55% 37% |
| Offsides | 1.67 0.51–2.83 0.20–3.13 | 1.70 0.61–2.79 0.32–3.08 | 3.36 1.11–5.62 0.52–6.21 | 38% 23% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 1.88 0.83–2.93 0.57–3.20 | 1.78 0.65–2.91 0.36–3.20 | 3.66 1.49–5.84 0.93–6.40 | 41% 22% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.06 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.38 | 0.14 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.77 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.50 1.06–3.93 0.67–4.32 | 2.67 1.11–4.22 0.69–4.65 | 5.16 2.17–8.16 1.36–8.97 | 38% 18% 44% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.