Championship·Regular Season - 9·
Championship·Regular Season - 9·Predicted match statistics
Goals
57%
23%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction1.810.992.80safe0.84–2.780.14–1.850.98–4.63safer0.59–3.030.00–2.070.50–5.11
Shots on target
62%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction5.363.899.25safe3.49–7.222.15–5.635.64–12.85safer3.00–7.711.68–6.104.69–13.81
Total shots
72%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction15.0311.5126.54safe11.11–18.967.94–15.0719.05–34.03safer10.02–20.056.98–16.0317.00–36.08
Shots in box
71%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction10.627.7718.39safe7.68–13.565.09–10.4512.76–24.01safer6.85–14.394.35–11.1911.20–25.58
Blocked shots
55%
14%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction4.463.558.01safe2.57–6.341.90–5.214.47–11.54safer2.03–6.881.41–5.703.44–12.58
Corners
66%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction6.164.3210.47safe3.94–8.372.32–6.326.26–14.69safer3.37–8.951.78–6.855.15–15.80
Possession %
80%
17%
homeawayprediction57.7442.35safe50.95–64.5335.56–49.13safer49.28–66.2033.89–50.81
Passes
88%
homeawaytotalprediction507366873safe440–574300–432739–1007safer421–592282–450703–1042
Pass accuracy %
68%
28%
homeawayprediction74.6670.59safe70.63–78.6966.27–74.92safer69.33–79.9864.96–76.23
Fouls
40%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6412.3824.02safe8.80–14.489.43–15.3218.24–29.80safer8.05–15.238.69–16.0716.73–31.30
Offsides
55%
19%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction2.571.784.35safe1.41–3.730.68–2.872.09–6.60safer1.11–4.030.40–3.161.50–7.19
Yellow cards
31%
20%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.892.374.26safe0.84–2.941.24–3.502.08–6.43safer0.57–3.200.95–3.791.52–6.99
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
29%
15%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction2.703.546.24safe1.26–4.131.98–5.103.24–9.23safer0.87–4.521.56–5.522.43–10.04
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.81 0.84–2.78 0.59–3.03 | 0.99 0.14–1.85 0.00–2.07 | 2.80 0.98–4.63 0.50–5.11 | 57% 23% 20% |
| Shots on target | 5.36 3.49–7.22 3.00–7.71 | 3.89 2.15–5.63 1.68–6.10 | 9.25 5.64–12.85 4.69–13.81 | 62% 26% |
| Total shots | 15.03 11.11–18.96 10.02–20.05 | 11.51 7.94–15.07 6.98–16.03 | 26.54 19.05–34.03 17.00–36.08 | 72% 22% |
| Shots in box | 10.62 7.68–13.56 6.85–14.39 | 7.77 5.09–10.45 4.35–11.19 | 18.39 12.76–24.01 11.20–25.58 | 71% 22% |
| Blocked shots | 4.46 2.57–6.34 2.03–6.88 | 3.55 1.90–5.21 1.41–5.70 | 8.01 4.47–11.54 3.44–12.58 | 55% 14% 31% |
| Corners | 6.16 3.94–8.37 3.37–8.95 | 4.32 2.32–6.32 1.78–6.85 | 10.47 6.26–14.69 5.15–15.80 | 66% 23% |
| Possession % | 57.74 50.95–64.53 49.28–66.20 | 42.35 35.56–49.13 33.89–50.81 | — | 80% 17% |
| Passes | 507 440–574 421–592 | 366 300–432 282–450 | 873 739–1007 703–1042 | 88% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.66 70.63–78.69 69.33–79.98 | 70.59 66.27–74.92 64.96–76.23 | — | 68% 28% |
| Fouls | 11.64 8.80–14.48 8.05–15.23 | 12.38 9.43–15.32 8.69–16.07 | 24.02 18.24–29.80 16.73–31.30 | 40% 52% |
| Offsides | 2.57 1.41–3.73 1.11–4.03 | 1.78 0.68–2.87 0.40–3.16 | 4.35 2.09–6.60 1.50–7.19 | 55% 19% 26% |
| Yellow cards | 1.89 0.84–2.94 0.57–3.20 | 2.37 1.24–3.50 0.95–3.79 | 4.26 2.08–6.43 1.52–6.99 | 31% 20% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.37 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.70 1.26–4.13 0.87–4.52 | 3.54 1.98–5.10 1.56–5.52 | 6.24 3.24–9.23 2.43–10.04 | 29% 15% 55% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.