Championship·Regular Season - 34·
Championship·Regular Season - 34·Predicted match statistics
Goals
31%
26%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.201.472.67safe0.23–2.170.61–2.320.85–4.49safer0.00–2.420.39–2.550.37–4.97
Shots on target
45%
14%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction4.364.248.60safe2.50–6.222.50–5.984.99–12.20safer2.01–6.712.03–6.454.04–13.16
Total shots
63%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction13.7911.6325.43safe9.87–17.728.07–15.2017.94–32.91safer8.78–18.817.11–16.1615.89–34.97
Shots in box
48%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction8.928.5917.51safe5.98–11.865.91–11.2711.89–23.13safer5.15–12.695.17–12.0110.32–24.70
Blocked shots
45%
15%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction3.913.777.68safe2.03–5.792.12–5.424.15–11.22safer1.49–6.341.63–5.923.11–12.26
Corners
50%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction5.334.7910.12safe3.11–7.542.79–6.795.91–14.33safer2.54–8.112.26–7.334.80–15.44
Possession %
26%
70%
homeawayprediction45.6655.41safe38.87–52.4548.62–62.19safer37.20–54.1246.95–63.86
Passes
23%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction387473859safe319–454406–539726–993safer301–472389–557690–1029
Pass accuracy %
16%
80%
homeawayprediction68.5375.63safe64.50–72.5671.31–79.95safer63.20–73.8570.00–81.26
Fouls
51%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5211.9324.45safe9.68–15.368.98–14.8718.66–30.23safer8.93–16.118.23–15.6217.16–31.73
Offsides
28%
19%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.862.524.38safe0.70–3.021.43–3.612.12–6.63safer0.40–3.321.14–3.901.53–7.22
Yellow cards
32%
20%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.832.254.08safe0.78–2.881.12–3.381.90–6.26safer0.52–3.150.83–3.671.34–6.82
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.79
GK saves
41%
17%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction2.762.785.54safe1.33–4.201.22–4.332.55–8.53safer0.94–4.590.80–4.761.74–9.34
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.20 0.23–2.17 0.00–2.42 | 1.47 0.61–2.32 0.39–2.55 | 2.67 0.85–4.49 0.37–4.97 | 31% 26% 43% |
| Shots on target | 4.36 2.50–6.22 2.01–6.71 | 4.24 2.50–5.98 2.03–6.45 | 8.60 4.99–12.20 4.04–13.16 | 45% 14% 41% |
| Total shots | 13.79 9.87–17.72 8.78–18.81 | 11.63 8.07–15.20 7.11–16.16 | 25.43 17.94–32.91 15.89–34.97 | 63% 30% |
| Shots in box | 8.92 5.98–11.86 5.15–12.69 | 8.59 5.91–11.27 5.17–12.01 | 17.51 11.89–23.13 10.32–24.70 | 48% 42% |
| Blocked shots | 3.91 2.03–5.79 1.49–6.34 | 3.77 2.12–5.42 1.63–5.92 | 7.68 4.15–11.22 3.11–12.26 | 45% 15% 41% |
| Corners | 5.33 3.11–7.54 2.54–8.11 | 4.79 2.79–6.79 2.26–7.33 | 10.12 5.91–14.33 4.80–15.44 | 50% 37% |
| Possession % | 45.66 38.87–52.45 37.20–54.12 | 55.41 48.62–62.19 46.95–63.86 | — | 26% 70% |
| Passes | 387 319–454 301–472 | 473 406–539 389–557 | 859 726–993 690–1029 | 23% 76% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.53 64.50–72.56 63.20–73.85 | 75.63 71.31–79.95 70.00–81.26 | — | 16% 80% |
| Fouls | 12.52 9.68–15.36 8.93–16.11 | 11.93 8.98–14.87 8.23–15.62 | 24.45 18.66–30.23 17.16–31.73 | 51% 41% |
| Offsides | 1.86 0.70–3.02 0.40–3.32 | 2.52 1.43–3.61 1.14–3.90 | 4.38 2.12–6.63 1.53–7.22 | 28% 19% 53% |
| Yellow cards | 1.83 0.78–2.88 0.52–3.15 | 2.25 1.12–3.38 0.83–3.67 | 4.08 1.90–6.26 1.34–6.82 | 32% 20% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.76 1.33–4.20 0.94–4.59 | 2.78 1.22–4.33 0.80–4.76 | 5.54 2.55–8.53 1.74–9.34 | 41% 17% 42% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.