Predicted match statistics
Goals
43%
26%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.441.182.61safe0.47–2.400.32–2.030.79–4.43safer0.22–2.650.09–2.260.31–4.91
Shots on target
51%
14%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction4.483.908.38safe2.61–6.342.16–5.654.78–11.99safer2.13–6.831.70–6.113.82–12.94
Total shots
66%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction14.6011.9426.54safe10.68–18.538.37–15.5019.05–34.03safer9.59–19.627.41–16.4617.00–36.08
Shots in box
55%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction9.108.0617.16safe6.16–12.045.38–10.7411.53–22.78safer5.33–12.874.64–11.479.97–24.35
Blocked shots
54%
14%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction4.303.547.84safe2.41–6.181.89–5.194.30–11.37safer1.87–6.721.39–5.683.27–12.41
Corners
52%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction5.785.1210.90safe3.57–7.993.12–7.126.69–15.11safer2.99–8.572.59–7.655.58–16.22
Possession %
56%
39%
homeawayprediction51.9548.42safe45.16–58.7441.64–55.21safer43.49–60.4139.97–56.88
Passes
62%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction384347731safe317–452281–413598–865safer299–470263–431562–901
Pass accuracy %
39%
56%
homeawayprediction63.0964.73safe59.06–67.1260.40–69.05safer57.77–68.4159.09–70.36
Fouls
36%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4312.6524.08safe8.59–14.279.70–15.5918.29–29.86safer7.83–15.028.95–16.3416.79–31.36
Offsides
20%
18%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction1.492.664.15safe0.33–2.651.57–3.751.90–6.41safer0.03–2.951.28–4.041.31–7.00
Yellow cards
38%
22%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.781.833.61safe0.73–2.830.70–2.961.43–5.79safer0.46–3.100.41–3.250.87–6.35
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.080.16safe0.00–0.240.00–0.260.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.400.00–0.79
GK saves
31%
17%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction2.463.125.58safe1.02–3.891.56–4.682.58–8.57safer0.63–4.281.14–5.101.77–9.38
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.44 0.47–2.40 0.22–2.65 | 1.18 0.32–2.03 0.09–2.26 | 2.61 0.79–4.43 0.31–4.91 | 43% 26% 31% |
| Shots on target | 4.48 2.61–6.34 2.13–6.83 | 3.90 2.16–5.65 1.70–6.11 | 8.38 4.78–11.99 3.82–12.94 | 51% 14% 35% |
| Total shots | 14.60 10.68–18.53 9.59–19.62 | 11.94 8.37–15.50 7.41–16.46 | 26.54 19.05–34.03 17.00–36.08 | 66% 27% |
| Shots in box | 9.10 6.16–12.04 5.33–12.87 | 8.06 5.38–10.74 4.64–11.47 | 17.16 11.53–22.78 9.97–24.35 | 55% 35% |
| Blocked shots | 4.30 2.41–6.18 1.87–6.72 | 3.54 1.89–5.19 1.39–5.68 | 7.84 4.30–11.37 3.27–12.41 | 54% 14% 32% |
| Corners | 5.78 3.57–7.99 2.99–8.57 | 5.12 3.12–7.12 2.59–7.65 | 10.90 6.69–15.11 5.58–16.22 | 52% 36% |
| Possession % | 51.95 45.16–58.74 43.49–60.41 | 48.42 41.64–55.21 39.97–56.88 | — | 56% 39% |
| Passes | 384 317–452 299–470 | 347 281–413 263–431 | 731 598–865 562–901 | 62% 38% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.09 59.06–67.12 57.77–68.41 | 64.73 60.40–69.05 59.09–70.36 | — | 39% 56% |
| Fouls | 11.43 8.59–14.27 7.83–15.02 | 12.65 9.70–15.59 8.95–16.34 | 24.08 18.29–29.86 16.79–31.36 | 36% 56% |
| Offsides | 1.49 0.33–2.65 0.03–2.95 | 2.66 1.57–3.75 1.28–4.04 | 4.15 1.90–6.41 1.31–7.00 | 20% 18% 62% |
| Yellow cards | 1.78 0.73–2.83 0.46–3.10 | 1.83 0.70–2.96 0.41–3.25 | 3.61 1.43–5.79 0.87–6.35 | 38% 22% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.46 1.02–3.89 0.63–4.28 | 3.12 1.56–4.68 1.14–5.10 | 5.58 2.58–8.57 1.77–9.38 | 31% 17% 52% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.