Championship·Regular Season - 9·
Championship·Regular Season - 9·Predicted match statistics
Goals
41%
27%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.351.162.51safe0.38–2.320.30–2.010.68–4.33safer0.13–2.570.08–2.240.20–4.81
Shots on target
46%
14%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction4.264.058.31safe2.40–6.122.31–5.794.71–11.92safer1.91–6.611.84–6.263.75–12.87
Total shots
59%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction13.4511.8425.29safe9.52–17.378.28–15.4017.80–32.78safer8.43–18.467.32–16.3615.75–34.83
Shots in box
62%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction8.917.2016.11safe5.97–11.864.52–9.8810.49–21.73safer5.14–12.683.78–10.628.92–23.30
Blocked shots
52%
15%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction3.783.136.91safe1.90–5.661.48–4.793.38–10.45safer1.35–6.210.99–5.282.34–11.48
Corners
65%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction5.924.2210.14safe3.71–8.142.22–6.225.93–14.35safer3.14–8.711.68–6.754.82–15.46
Possession %
64%
32%
homeawayprediction53.7246.83safe46.93–60.5140.04–53.61safer45.26–62.1838.37–55.28
Passes
77%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction457368824safe389–524301–434691–958safer371–542284–452655–994
Pass accuracy %
46%
49%
homeawayprediction67.2167.48safe63.18–71.2463.16–71.81safer61.89–72.5361.85–73.12
Fouls
36%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9113.2025.10safe9.07–14.7410.25–16.1419.32–30.89safer8.31–15.509.51–16.8917.82–32.39
Offsides
30%
22%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.542.003.54safe0.38–2.700.91–3.091.29–5.79safer0.08–3.000.62–3.380.70–6.38
Yellow cards
33%
20%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.912.284.20safe0.86–2.961.16–3.412.02–6.38safer0.60–3.230.86–3.701.46–6.93
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.130.21safe0.00–0.240.00–0.310.00–0.55safer0.00–0.390.00–0.450.00–0.84
GK saves
37%
17%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction2.662.945.60safe1.22–4.091.38–4.502.61–8.59safer0.83–4.480.96–4.921.79–9.40
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.35 0.38–2.32 0.13–2.57 | 1.16 0.30–2.01 0.08–2.24 | 2.51 0.68–4.33 0.20–4.81 | 41% 27% 32% |
| Shots on target | 4.26 2.40–6.12 1.91–6.61 | 4.05 2.31–5.79 1.84–6.26 | 8.31 4.71–11.92 3.75–12.87 | 46% 14% 40% |
| Total shots | 13.45 9.52–17.37 8.43–18.46 | 11.84 8.28–15.40 7.32–16.36 | 25.29 17.80–32.78 15.75–34.83 | 59% 34% |
| Shots in box | 8.91 5.97–11.86 5.14–12.68 | 7.20 4.52–9.88 3.78–10.62 | 16.11 10.49–21.73 8.92–23.30 | 62% 29% |
| Blocked shots | 3.78 1.90–5.66 1.35–6.21 | 3.13 1.48–4.79 0.99–5.28 | 6.91 3.38–10.45 2.34–11.48 | 52% 15% 33% |
| Corners | 5.92 3.71–8.14 3.14–8.71 | 4.22 2.22–6.22 1.68–6.75 | 10.14 5.93–14.35 4.82–15.46 | 65% 24% |
| Possession % | 53.72 46.93–60.51 45.26–62.18 | 46.83 40.04–53.61 38.37–55.28 | — | 64% 32% |
| Passes | 457 389–524 371–542 | 368 301–434 284–452 | 824 691–958 655–994 | 77% 23% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.21 63.18–71.24 61.89–72.53 | 67.48 63.16–71.81 61.85–73.12 | — | 46% 49% |
| Fouls | 11.91 9.07–14.74 8.31–15.50 | 13.20 10.25–16.14 9.51–16.89 | 25.10 19.32–30.89 17.82–32.39 | 36% 56% |
| Offsides | 1.54 0.38–2.70 0.08–3.00 | 2.00 0.91–3.09 0.62–3.38 | 3.54 1.29–5.79 0.70–6.38 | 30% 22% 48% |
| Yellow cards | 1.91 0.86–2.96 0.60–3.23 | 2.28 1.16–3.41 0.86–3.70 | 4.20 2.02–6.38 1.46–6.93 | 33% 20% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.13 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.45 | 0.21 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.66 1.22–4.09 0.83–4.48 | 2.94 1.38–4.50 0.96–4.92 | 5.60 2.61–8.59 1.79–9.40 | 37% 17% 46% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+