Championship·Regular Season - 34·
Championship·Regular Season - 34·Predicted match statistics
Goals
37%
28%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.211.182.39safe0.24–2.180.33–2.040.57–4.22safer0.00–2.430.10–2.270.09–4.70
Shots on target
52%
14%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction4.343.698.03safe2.47–6.201.95–5.434.42–11.63safer1.98–6.691.48–5.903.47–12.59
Total shots
60%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3811.6425.02safe9.46–17.318.08–15.2017.54–32.51safer8.37–18.407.12–16.1615.49–34.56
Shots in box
58%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction8.787.4616.24safe5.84–11.734.78–10.1410.62–21.87safer5.01–12.564.04–10.889.05–23.43
Blocked shots
48%
16%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.513.106.61safe1.63–5.391.45–4.753.08–10.15safer1.08–5.940.96–5.252.04–11.18
Corners
48%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction5.264.9110.16safe3.04–7.472.91–6.915.95–14.38safer2.47–8.042.37–7.444.84–15.48
Possession %
39%
57%
homeawayprediction47.9451.80safe41.15–54.7345.02–58.59safer39.48–56.4043.35–60.26
Passes
43%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction399421821safe332–466355–488687–954safer314–485337–505651–990
Pass accuracy %
20%
76%
homeawayprediction63.6169.52safe59.58–67.6465.20–73.84safer58.29–68.9363.89–75.15
Fouls
39%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7312.5924.32safe8.89–14.579.65–15.5418.54–30.10safer8.14–15.328.90–16.2917.03–31.61
Offsides
53%
21%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction2.101.433.54safe0.94–3.260.34–2.531.28–5.79safer0.64–3.570.05–2.820.69–6.38
Yellow cards
36%
21%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.892.063.96safe0.84–2.940.93–3.191.78–6.13safer0.58–3.210.64–3.481.22–6.69
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.100.19safe0.00–0.250.00–0.290.00–0.53safer0.00–0.400.00–0.420.00–0.82
GK saves
33%
17%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.493.005.50safe1.06–3.931.45–4.562.51–8.49safer0.67–4.321.02–4.991.69–9.30
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.21 0.24–2.18 0.00–2.43 | 1.18 0.33–2.04 0.10–2.27 | 2.39 0.57–4.22 0.09–4.70 | 37% 28% 35% |
| Shots on target | 4.34 2.47–6.20 1.98–6.69 | 3.69 1.95–5.43 1.48–5.90 | 8.03 4.42–11.63 3.47–12.59 | 52% 14% 34% |
| Total shots | 13.38 9.46–17.31 8.37–18.40 | 11.64 8.08–15.20 7.12–16.16 | 25.02 17.54–32.51 15.49–34.56 | 60% 33% |
| Shots in box | 8.78 5.84–11.73 5.01–12.56 | 7.46 4.78–10.14 4.04–10.88 | 16.24 10.62–21.87 9.05–23.43 | 58% 32% |
| Blocked shots | 3.51 1.63–5.39 1.08–5.94 | 3.10 1.45–4.75 0.96–5.25 | 6.61 3.08–10.15 2.04–11.18 | 48% 16% 36% |
| Corners | 5.26 3.04–7.47 2.47–8.04 | 4.91 2.91–6.91 2.37–7.44 | 10.16 5.95–14.38 4.84–15.48 | 48% 39% |
| Possession % | 47.94 41.15–54.73 39.48–56.40 | 51.80 45.02–58.59 43.35–60.26 | — | 39% 57% |
| Passes | 399 332–466 314–485 | 421 355–488 337–505 | 821 687–954 651–990 | 43% 57% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.61 59.58–67.64 58.29–68.93 | 69.52 65.20–73.84 63.89–75.15 | — | 20% 76% |
| Fouls | 11.73 8.89–14.57 8.14–15.32 | 12.59 9.65–15.54 8.90–16.29 | 24.32 18.54–30.10 17.03–31.61 | 39% 53% |
| Offsides | 2.10 0.94–3.26 0.64–3.57 | 1.43 0.34–2.53 0.05–2.82 | 3.54 1.28–5.79 0.69–6.38 | 53% 21% 26% |
| Yellow cards | 1.89 0.84–2.94 0.58–3.21 | 2.06 0.93–3.19 0.64–3.48 | 3.96 1.78–6.13 1.22–6.69 | 36% 21% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.19 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.49 1.06–3.93 0.67–4.32 | 3.00 1.45–4.56 1.02–4.99 | 5.50 2.51–8.49 1.69–9.30 | 33% 17% 50% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+