Championship·Regular Season - 9·
Championship·Regular Season - 9·Predicted match statistics
Goals
59%
22%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction1.941.022.96safe0.97–2.910.17–1.881.14–4.78safer0.72–3.160.00–2.100.66–5.26
Shots on target
73%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction6.123.719.82safe4.25–7.981.96–5.456.22–13.43safer3.76–8.471.50–5.915.26–14.38
Total shots
81%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction16.9011.6828.59safe12.98–20.838.12–15.2521.10–36.07safer11.89–21.927.16–16.2119.05–38.13
Shots in box
76%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction11.607.9419.54safe8.66–14.545.26–10.6213.92–25.16safer7.83–15.374.52–11.3512.35–26.73
Blocked shots
64%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction4.643.137.77safe2.76–6.521.48–4.784.24–11.31safer2.22–7.070.99–5.283.20–12.34
Corners
72%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction6.454.0510.50safe4.24–8.662.05–6.056.29–14.71safer3.66–9.241.52–6.585.18–15.82
Possession %
85%
homeawayprediction59.4041.09safe52.61–66.1934.30–47.87safer50.94–67.8632.63–49.54
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction552343894safe485–619276–409761–1028safer466–637259–427725–1064
Pass accuracy %
73%
23%
homeawayprediction77.5172.18safe73.48–81.5467.85–76.50safer72.19–82.8366.54–77.81
Fouls
34%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8912.4323.32safe8.06–13.739.48–15.3717.54–29.10safer7.30–14.498.73–16.1216.03–30.61
Offsides
59%
19%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction2.511.524.03safe1.35–3.670.43–2.621.78–6.28safer1.04–3.970.14–2.911.19–6.87
Yellow cards
27%
20%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.552.203.74safe0.50–2.591.07–3.331.57–5.92safer0.23–2.860.78–3.621.01–6.48
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.100.14safe0.00–0.210.00–0.280.00–0.49safer0.00–0.360.00–0.420.00–0.77
GK saves
23%
14%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction2.724.116.83safe1.28–4.162.55–5.663.83–9.82safer0.90–4.542.13–6.093.02–10.63
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.94 0.97–2.91 0.72–3.16 | 1.02 0.17–1.88 0.00–2.10 | 2.96 1.14–4.78 0.66–5.26 | 59% 22% 19% |
| Shots on target | 6.12 4.25–7.98 3.76–8.47 | 3.71 1.96–5.45 1.50–5.91 | 9.82 6.22–13.43 5.26–14.38 | 73% 17% |
| Total shots | 16.90 12.98–20.83 11.89–21.92 | 11.68 8.12–15.25 7.16–16.21 | 28.59 21.10–36.07 19.05–38.13 | 81% 14% |
| Shots in box | 11.60 8.66–14.54 7.83–15.37 | 7.94 5.26–10.62 4.52–11.35 | 19.54 13.92–25.16 12.35–26.73 | 76% 17% |
| Blocked shots | 4.64 2.76–6.52 2.22–7.07 | 3.13 1.48–4.78 0.99–5.28 | 7.77 4.24–11.31 3.20–12.34 | 64% 23% |
| Corners | 6.45 4.24–8.66 3.66–9.24 | 4.05 2.05–6.05 1.52–6.58 | 10.50 6.29–14.71 5.18–15.82 | 72% 18% |
| Possession % | 59.40 52.61–66.19 50.94–67.86 | 41.09 34.30–47.87 32.63–49.54 | — | 85% |
| Passes | 552 485–619 466–637 | 343 276–409 259–427 | 894 761–1028 725–1064 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.51 73.48–81.54 72.19–82.83 | 72.18 67.85–76.50 66.54–77.81 | — | 73% 23% |
| Fouls | 10.89 8.06–13.73 7.30–14.49 | 12.43 9.48–15.37 8.73–16.12 | 23.32 17.54–29.10 16.03–30.61 | 34% 58% |
| Offsides | 2.51 1.35–3.67 1.04–3.97 | 1.52 0.43–2.62 0.14–2.91 | 4.03 1.78–6.28 1.19–6.87 | 59% 19% 22% |
| Yellow cards | 1.55 0.50–2.59 0.23–2.86 | 2.20 1.07–3.33 0.78–3.62 | 3.74 1.57–5.92 1.01–6.48 | 27% 20% 53% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.72 1.28–4.16 0.90–4.54 | 4.11 2.55–5.66 2.13–6.09 | 6.83 3.83–9.82 3.02–10.63 | 23% 14% 63% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+