Championship·Regular Season - 34·
Championship·Regular Season - 34·Predicted match statistics
Goals
28%
23%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.371.873.24safe0.41–2.341.02–2.731.42–5.07safer0.15–2.590.79–2.950.94–5.55
Shots on target
36%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction4.385.019.38safe2.52–6.243.26–6.755.78–12.99safer2.03–6.732.80–7.214.82–13.94
Total shots
52%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction14.3813.5927.97safe10.45–18.3010.03–17.1520.48–35.46safer9.36–19.399.07–18.1118.43–37.51
Shots in box
43%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction9.409.6419.04safe6.45–12.346.96–12.3213.42–24.66safer5.63–13.176.22–13.0611.85–26.23
Blocked shots
49%
14%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction4.363.928.29safe2.48–6.252.27–5.584.75–11.82safer1.94–6.791.78–6.073.72–12.86
Corners
46%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction5.295.1410.43safe3.08–7.513.14–7.146.22–14.64safer2.50–8.082.61–7.675.11–15.75
Possession %
17%
80%
homeawayprediction42.5957.95safe35.80–49.3851.17–64.74safer34.13–51.0549.49–66.41
Passes
87%
homeawaytotalprediction379516895safe312–446449–582761–1028safer293–464432–600725–1064
Pass accuracy %
14%
83%
homeawayprediction69.8577.69safe65.82–73.8873.37–82.01safer64.53–75.1772.06–83.32
Fouls
53%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3910.5321.92safe8.55–14.227.59–13.4816.14–27.70safer7.79–14.986.84–14.2314.63–29.21
Offsides
28%
20%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.672.303.97safe0.51–2.831.21–3.391.71–6.22safer0.21–3.130.92–3.681.13–6.81
Yellow cards
36%
22%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.721.873.59safe0.67–2.770.74–3.001.41–5.77safer0.41–3.040.45–3.290.85–6.33
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.79
GK saves
44%
17%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction3.082.946.02safe1.65–4.521.38–4.503.03–9.01safer1.26–4.910.96–4.922.22–9.83
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.37 0.41–2.34 0.15–2.59 | 1.87 1.02–2.73 0.79–2.95 | 3.24 1.42–5.07 0.94–5.55 | 28% 23% 49% |
| Shots on target | 4.38 2.52–6.24 2.03–6.73 | 5.01 3.26–6.75 2.80–7.21 | 9.38 5.78–12.99 4.82–13.94 | 36% 52% |
| Total shots | 14.38 10.45–18.30 9.36–19.39 | 13.59 10.03–17.15 9.07–18.11 | 27.97 20.48–35.46 18.43–37.51 | 52% 40% |
| Shots in box | 9.40 6.45–12.34 5.63–13.17 | 9.64 6.96–12.32 6.22–13.06 | 19.04 13.42–24.66 11.85–26.23 | 43% 48% |
| Blocked shots | 4.36 2.48–6.25 1.94–6.79 | 3.92 2.27–5.58 1.78–6.07 | 8.29 4.75–11.82 3.72–12.86 | 49% 14% 37% |
| Corners | 5.29 3.08–7.51 2.50–8.08 | 5.14 3.14–7.14 2.61–7.67 | 10.43 6.22–14.64 5.11–15.75 | 46% 42% |
| Possession % | 42.59 35.80–49.38 34.13–51.05 | 57.95 51.17–64.74 49.49–66.41 | — | 17% 80% |
| Passes | 379 312–446 293–464 | 516 449–582 432–600 | 895 761–1028 725–1064 | 87% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.85 65.82–73.88 64.53–75.17 | 77.69 73.37–82.01 72.06–83.32 | — | 14% 83% |
| Fouls | 11.39 8.55–14.22 7.79–14.98 | 10.53 7.59–13.48 6.84–14.23 | 21.92 16.14–27.70 14.63–29.21 | 53% 39% |
| Offsides | 1.67 0.51–2.83 0.21–3.13 | 2.30 1.21–3.39 0.92–3.68 | 3.97 1.71–6.22 1.13–6.81 | 28% 20% 52% |
| Yellow cards | 1.72 0.67–2.77 0.41–3.04 | 1.87 0.74–3.00 0.45–3.29 | 3.59 1.41–5.77 0.85–6.33 | 36% 22% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.08 1.65–4.52 1.26–4.91 | 2.94 1.38–4.50 0.96–4.92 | 6.02 3.03–9.01 2.22–9.83 | 44% 17% 39% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.