Championship·Regular Season - 9·
Championship·Regular Season - 9·Predicted match statistics
Goals
42%
27%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.371.172.54safe0.40–2.340.31–2.020.72–4.36safer0.15–2.590.08–2.250.24–4.84
Shots on target
54%
14%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction4.523.748.26safe2.65–6.382.00–5.484.65–11.86safer2.16–6.871.53–5.953.70–12.82
Total shots
60%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction13.2611.4424.70safe9.34–17.197.88–15.0017.21–32.19safer8.25–18.286.92–15.9615.16–34.24
Shots in box
60%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction9.177.6516.82safe6.23–12.124.97–10.3311.20–22.44safer5.40–12.944.23–11.079.63–24.01
Blocked shots
50%
15%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.933.437.36safe2.05–5.811.78–5.093.83–10.90safer1.50–6.351.29–5.582.79–11.93
Corners
56%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction5.674.6710.34safe3.45–7.882.67–6.676.13–14.55safer2.88–8.452.14–7.215.02–15.66
Possession %
74%
23%
homeawayprediction55.7844.06safe48.99–62.5737.28–50.85safer47.32–64.2435.61–52.52
Passes
79%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction457359816safe390–524293–425682–949safer371–542275–443646–985
Pass accuracy %
60%
35%
homeawayprediction71.4968.99safe67.46–75.5264.66–73.31safer66.17–76.8263.35–74.62
Fouls
23%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6713.8124.48safe7.83–13.5010.86–16.7518.69–30.26safer7.07–14.2610.12–17.5017.19–31.76
Offsides
44%
20%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction2.232.024.25safe1.07–3.390.93–3.122.00–6.51safer0.77–3.690.64–3.411.41–7.10
Yellow cards
28%
18%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.912.644.55safe0.86–2.961.51–3.762.37–6.73safer0.60–3.231.22–4.061.81–7.28
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
37%
17%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction2.672.975.64safe1.23–4.101.41–4.532.64–8.63safer0.84–4.490.99–4.951.83–9.44
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.37 0.40–2.34 0.15–2.59 | 1.17 0.31–2.02 0.08–2.25 | 2.54 0.72–4.36 0.24–4.84 | 42% 27% 32% |
| Shots on target | 4.52 2.65–6.38 2.16–6.87 | 3.74 2.00–5.48 1.53–5.95 | 8.26 4.65–11.86 3.70–12.82 | 54% 14% 33% |
| Total shots | 13.26 9.34–17.19 8.25–18.28 | 11.44 7.88–15.00 6.92–15.96 | 24.70 17.21–32.19 15.16–34.24 | 60% 32% |
| Shots in box | 9.17 6.23–12.12 5.40–12.94 | 7.65 4.97–10.33 4.23–11.07 | 16.82 11.20–22.44 9.63–24.01 | 60% 31% |
| Blocked shots | 3.93 2.05–5.81 1.50–6.35 | 3.43 1.78–5.09 1.29–5.58 | 7.36 3.83–10.90 2.79–11.93 | 50% 15% 36% |
| Corners | 5.67 3.45–7.88 2.88–8.45 | 4.67 2.67–6.67 2.14–7.21 | 10.34 6.13–14.55 5.02–15.66 | 56% 32% |
| Possession % | 55.78 48.99–62.57 47.32–64.24 | 44.06 37.28–50.85 35.61–52.52 | — | 74% 23% |
| Passes | 457 390–524 371–542 | 359 293–425 275–443 | 816 682–949 646–985 | 79% 21% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.49 67.46–75.52 66.17–76.82 | 68.99 64.66–73.31 63.35–74.62 | — | 60% 35% |
| Fouls | 10.67 7.83–13.50 7.07–14.26 | 13.81 10.86–16.75 10.12–17.50 | 24.48 18.69–30.26 17.19–31.76 | 23% 70% |
| Offsides | 2.23 1.07–3.39 0.77–3.69 | 2.02 0.93–3.12 0.64–3.41 | 4.25 2.00–6.51 1.41–7.10 | 44% 20% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 1.91 0.86–2.96 0.60–3.23 | 2.64 1.51–3.76 1.22–4.06 | 4.55 2.37–6.73 1.81–7.28 | 28% 18% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.67 1.23–4.10 0.84–4.49 | 2.97 1.41–4.53 0.99–4.95 | 5.64 2.64–8.63 1.83–9.44 | 37% 17% 46% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+