Championship·Regular Season - 34·
Championship·Regular Season - 34·Predicted match statistics
Goals
42%
27%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.351.142.48safe0.38–2.320.28–1.990.66–4.31safer0.13–2.570.05–2.220.18–4.79
Shots on target
52%
14%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction4.173.547.71safe2.31–6.041.80–5.284.11–11.32safer1.82–6.531.33–5.753.15–12.27
Total shots
65%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction13.6911.2824.96safe9.76–17.617.71–14.8417.48–32.45safer8.67–18.706.75–15.8015.43–34.50
Shots in box
52%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction8.627.9616.58safe5.68–11.565.28–10.6410.96–22.20safer4.85–12.394.54–11.389.39–23.77
Blocked shots
48%
15%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction3.883.487.36safe2.00–5.771.82–5.133.83–10.90safer1.46–6.311.33–5.622.79–11.93
Corners
59%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction5.894.6610.55safe3.68–8.102.66–6.666.34–14.76safer3.10–8.682.12–7.195.23–15.87
Possession %
30%
66%
homeawayprediction46.1054.20safe39.31–52.9047.41–60.98safer37.64–54.5645.74–62.65
Passes
28%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction374445820safe307–442379–512686–953safer289–460361–529650–989
Pass accuracy %
17%
79%
homeawayprediction66.9273.71safe62.89–70.9569.39–78.04safer61.60–72.2468.08–79.35
Fouls
66%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction13.6511.1124.75safe10.81–16.498.16–14.0518.97–30.54safer10.06–17.247.41–14.8017.47–32.04
Offsides
34%
21%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.832.113.94safe0.67–2.991.02–3.211.69–6.20safer0.37–3.290.73–3.501.10–6.78
Yellow cards
39%
21%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.002.034.04safe0.95–3.050.90–3.161.86–6.21safer0.69–3.320.61–3.451.30–6.77
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.52safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
35%
18%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.442.835.27safe1.00–3.871.28–4.392.28–8.26safer0.61–4.260.85–4.811.46–9.07
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.35 0.38–2.32 0.13–2.57 | 1.14 0.28–1.99 0.05–2.22 | 2.48 0.66–4.31 0.18–4.79 | 42% 27% 32% |
| Shots on target | 4.17 2.31–6.04 1.82–6.53 | 3.54 1.80–5.28 1.33–5.75 | 7.71 4.11–11.32 3.15–12.27 | 52% 14% 34% |
| Total shots | 13.69 9.76–17.61 8.67–18.70 | 11.28 7.71–14.84 6.75–15.80 | 24.96 17.48–32.45 15.43–34.50 | 65% 28% |
| Shots in box | 8.62 5.68–11.56 4.85–12.39 | 7.96 5.28–10.64 4.54–11.38 | 16.58 10.96–22.20 9.39–23.77 | 52% 39% |
| Blocked shots | 3.88 2.00–5.77 1.46–6.31 | 3.48 1.82–5.13 1.33–5.62 | 7.36 3.83–10.90 2.79–11.93 | 48% 15% 37% |
| Corners | 5.89 3.68–8.10 3.10–8.68 | 4.66 2.66–6.66 2.12–7.19 | 10.55 6.34–14.76 5.23–15.87 | 59% 30% |
| Possession % | 46.10 39.31–52.90 37.64–54.56 | 54.20 47.41–60.98 45.74–62.65 | — | 30% 66% |
| Passes | 374 307–442 289–460 | 445 379–512 361–529 | 820 686–953 650–989 | 28% 72% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.92 62.89–70.95 61.60–72.24 | 73.71 69.39–78.04 68.08–79.35 | — | 17% 79% |
| Fouls | 13.65 10.81–16.49 10.06–17.24 | 11.11 8.16–14.05 7.41–14.80 | 24.75 18.97–30.54 17.47–32.04 | 66% 27% |
| Offsides | 1.83 0.67–2.99 0.37–3.29 | 2.11 1.02–3.21 0.73–3.50 | 3.94 1.69–6.20 1.10–6.78 | 34% 21% 45% |
| Yellow cards | 2.00 0.95–3.05 0.69–3.32 | 2.03 0.90–3.16 0.61–3.45 | 4.04 1.86–6.21 1.30–6.77 | 39% 21% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.44 1.00–3.87 0.61–4.26 | 2.83 1.28–4.39 0.85–4.81 | 5.27 2.28–8.26 1.46–9.07 | 35% 18% 48% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+