Predicted match statistics
Goals
61%
20%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction2.141.113.25safe1.17–3.110.26–1.971.43–5.07safer0.92–3.360.03–2.190.95–5.55
Shots on target
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction5.883.719.59safe4.02–7.741.97–5.455.99–13.20safer3.53–8.231.50–5.925.03–14.15
Total shots
86%
homeawaytotalprediction17.8711.6129.48safe13.94–21.798.05–15.1721.99–36.97safer12.85–22.897.09–16.1319.94–39.02
Shots in box
78%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction11.207.3218.52safe8.26–14.144.64–10.0012.89–24.14safer7.43–14.973.90–10.7411.33–25.71
Blocked shots
64%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction4.723.217.93safe2.84–6.601.56–4.864.39–11.46safer2.29–7.151.06–5.353.36–12.50
Corners
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction6.414.1010.52safe4.20–8.632.10–6.106.30–14.73safer3.63–9.201.57–6.645.20–15.84
Possession %
76%
21%
homeawayprediction56.3043.57safe49.51–63.0936.78–50.35safer47.84–64.7635.11–52.02
Passes
87%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction534401935safe467–601335–467801–1069safer449–619317–485766–1104
Pass accuracy %
53%
42%
homeawayprediction74.6273.62safe70.59–78.6569.30–77.94safer69.30–79.9467.99–79.25
Fouls
49%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7010.3421.04safe7.87–13.547.39–13.2815.26–26.82safer7.11–14.306.64–14.0313.76–28.33
Offsides
39%
24%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.521.462.99safe0.36–2.690.37–2.560.74–5.24safer0.06–2.990.08–2.850.15–5.83
Yellow cards
30%
22%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.481.913.39safe0.43–2.520.78–3.041.21–5.57safer0.16–2.790.49–3.330.65–6.12
Red cards
90%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.080.11safe0.00–0.200.00–0.260.00–0.46safer0.00–0.350.00–0.400.00–0.74
GK saves
27%
15%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction2.653.646.29safe1.22–4.092.08–5.193.30–9.28safer0.83–4.481.66–5.622.49–10.10
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.14 1.17–3.11 0.92–3.36 | 1.11 0.26–1.97 0.03–2.19 | 3.25 1.43–5.07 0.95–5.55 | 61% 20% 19% |
| Shots on target | 5.88 4.02–7.74 3.53–8.23 | 3.71 1.97–5.45 1.50–5.92 | 9.59 5.99–13.20 5.03–14.15 | 71% 19% |
| Total shots | 17.87 13.94–21.79 12.85–22.89 | 11.61 8.05–15.17 7.09–16.13 | 29.48 21.99–36.97 19.94–39.02 | 86% |
| Shots in box | 11.20 8.26–14.14 7.43–14.97 | 7.32 4.64–10.00 3.90–10.74 | 18.52 12.89–24.14 11.33–25.71 | 78% 15% |
| Blocked shots | 4.72 2.84–6.60 2.29–7.15 | 3.21 1.56–4.86 1.06–5.35 | 7.93 4.39–11.46 3.36–12.50 | 64% 24% |
| Corners | 6.41 4.20–8.63 3.63–9.20 | 4.10 2.10–6.10 1.57–6.64 | 10.52 6.30–14.73 5.20–15.84 | 71% 19% |
| Possession % | 56.30 49.51–63.09 47.84–64.76 | 43.57 36.78–50.35 35.11–52.02 | — | 76% 21% |
| Passes | 534 467–601 449–619 | 401 335–467 317–485 | 935 801–1069 766–1104 | 87% 13% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.62 70.59–78.65 69.30–79.94 | 73.62 69.30–77.94 67.99–79.25 | — | 53% 42% |
| Fouls | 10.70 7.87–13.54 7.11–14.30 | 10.34 7.39–13.28 6.64–14.03 | 21.04 15.26–26.82 13.76–28.33 | 49% 42% |
| Offsides | 1.52 0.36–2.69 0.06–2.99 | 1.46 0.37–2.56 0.08–2.85 | 2.99 0.74–5.24 0.15–5.83 | 39% 24% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 1.48 0.43–2.52 0.16–2.79 | 1.91 0.78–3.04 0.49–3.33 | 3.39 1.21–5.57 0.65–6.12 | 30% 22% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.11 0.00–0.46 0.00–0.74 | 90% |
| GK saves | 2.65 1.22–4.09 0.83–4.48 | 3.64 2.08–5.19 1.66–5.62 | 6.29 3.30–9.28 2.49–10.10 | 27% 15% 57% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.