Predicted match statistics
Goals
34%
25%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.351.512.87safe0.39–2.320.66–2.371.04–4.69safer0.13–2.570.43–2.600.56–5.17
Shots on target
36%
13%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction4.194.718.91safe2.33–6.062.97–6.465.30–12.51safer1.84–6.552.50–6.924.35–13.47
Total shots
49%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction14.0113.6927.70safe10.09–17.9410.13–17.2620.22–35.19safer9.00–19.039.17–18.2218.17–37.24
Shots in box
42%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction8.468.8117.26safe5.51–11.406.13–11.4911.64–22.89safer4.68–12.235.39–12.2210.07–24.45
Blocked shots
46%
14%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction4.224.038.24safe2.34–6.102.37–5.684.71–11.78safer1.79–6.641.88–6.173.67–12.81
Corners
50%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction5.224.719.93safe3.01–7.442.71–6.715.72–14.15safer2.44–8.012.18–7.244.61–15.25
Possession %
27%
69%
homeawayprediction45.6654.88safe38.87–52.4548.09–61.66safer37.20–54.1246.42–63.33
Passes
29%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction436501937safe369–504434–567803–1071safer351–522417–585768–1106
Pass accuracy %
24%
72%
homeawayprediction70.5075.54safe66.48–74.5371.22–79.86safer65.18–75.8369.91–81.17
Fouls
41%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction10.2110.7520.96safe7.38–13.057.81–13.7015.18–26.75safer6.62–13.817.06–14.4413.68–28.25
Offsides
44%
24%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.691.433.12safe0.53–2.850.33–2.520.87–5.37safer0.23–3.160.04–2.810.28–5.96
Yellow cards
36%
24%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.471.563.04safe0.42–2.520.44–2.690.86–5.22safer0.16–2.790.14–2.980.30–5.77
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
48%
17%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.092.725.81safe1.66–4.531.16–4.272.82–8.80safer1.27–4.920.74–4.702.00–9.61
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.35 0.39–2.32 0.13–2.57 | 1.51 0.66–2.37 0.43–2.60 | 2.87 1.04–4.69 0.56–5.17 | 34% 25% 41% |
| Shots on target | 4.19 2.33–6.06 1.84–6.55 | 4.71 2.97–6.46 2.50–6.92 | 8.91 5.30–12.51 4.35–13.47 | 36% 13% 50% |
| Total shots | 14.01 10.09–17.94 9.00–19.03 | 13.69 10.13–17.26 9.17–18.22 | 27.70 20.22–35.19 18.17–37.24 | 49% 44% |
| Shots in box | 8.46 5.51–11.40 4.68–12.23 | 8.81 6.13–11.49 5.39–12.22 | 17.26 11.64–22.89 10.07–24.45 | 42% 49% |
| Blocked shots | 4.22 2.34–6.10 1.79–6.64 | 4.03 2.37–5.68 1.88–6.17 | 8.24 4.71–11.78 3.67–12.81 | 46% 14% 40% |
| Corners | 5.22 3.01–7.44 2.44–8.01 | 4.71 2.71–6.71 2.18–7.24 | 9.93 5.72–14.15 4.61–15.25 | 50% 37% |
| Possession % | 45.66 38.87–52.45 37.20–54.12 | 54.88 48.09–61.66 46.42–63.33 | — | 27% 69% |
| Passes | 436 369–504 351–522 | 501 434–567 417–585 | 937 803–1071 768–1106 | 29% 70% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.50 66.48–74.53 65.18–75.83 | 75.54 71.22–79.86 69.91–81.17 | — | 24% 72% |
| Fouls | 10.21 7.38–13.05 6.62–13.81 | 10.75 7.81–13.70 7.06–14.44 | 20.96 15.18–26.75 13.68–28.25 | 41% 50% |
| Offsides | 1.69 0.53–2.85 0.23–3.16 | 1.43 0.33–2.52 0.04–2.81 | 3.12 0.87–5.37 0.28–5.96 | 44% 24% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 1.47 0.42–2.52 0.16–2.79 | 1.56 0.44–2.69 0.14–2.98 | 3.04 0.86–5.22 0.30–5.77 | 36% 24% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.09 1.66–4.53 1.27–4.92 | 2.72 1.16–4.27 0.74–4.70 | 5.81 2.82–8.80 2.00–9.61 | 48% 17% 36% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+