Championship·Regular Season - 10·
Championship·Regular Season - 10·Predicted match statistics
Goals
50%
25%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.581.022.60safe0.61–2.550.17–1.870.78–4.42safer0.36–2.800.00–2.100.30–4.90
Shots on target
67%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction5.093.338.41safe3.22–6.951.58–5.074.81–12.02safer2.74–7.441.12–5.533.85–12.97
Total shots
87%
homeawaytotalprediction16.4010.2126.61safe12.48–20.336.65–13.7819.13–34.10safer11.39–21.425.69–14.7317.08–36.15
Shots in box
76%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction10.497.0617.55safe7.55–13.434.38–9.7411.93–23.17safer6.72–14.263.64–10.4810.36–24.74
Blocked shots
63%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction4.583.157.73safe2.70–6.461.50–4.804.20–11.27safer2.16–7.011.01–5.303.16–12.30
Corners
75%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction6.824.1310.94safe4.60–9.032.13–6.136.73–15.16safer4.03–9.601.59–6.665.62–16.26
Possession %
81%
16%
homeawayprediction57.9241.84safe51.13–64.7135.05–48.62safer49.46–66.3833.38–50.29
Passes
90%
homeawaytotalprediction457303760safe389–524237–369626–893safer371–542219–387590–929
Pass accuracy %
65%
30%
homeawayprediction67.8564.35safe63.82–71.8860.02–68.67safer62.53–73.1758.71–69.98
Fouls
33%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6512.2622.90safe7.81–13.489.31–15.2017.12–28.69safer7.05–14.248.56–15.9515.62–30.19
Offsides
44%
20%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction2.252.054.30safe1.09–3.420.96–3.142.05–6.56safer0.79–3.720.67–3.431.46–7.15
Yellow cards
25%
19%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.612.454.06safe0.56–2.661.32–3.581.88–6.24safer0.29–2.921.03–3.871.32–6.79
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
21%
15%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction2.133.485.62safe0.70–3.571.93–5.042.62–8.61safer0.31–3.961.50–5.461.81–9.42
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.58 0.61–2.55 0.36–2.80 | 1.02 0.17–1.87 0.00–2.10 | 2.60 0.78–4.42 0.30–4.90 | 50% 25% 24% |
| Shots on target | 5.09 3.22–6.95 2.74–7.44 | 3.33 1.58–5.07 1.12–5.53 | 8.41 4.81–12.02 3.85–12.97 | 67% 22% |
| Total shots | 16.40 12.48–20.33 11.39–21.42 | 10.21 6.65–13.78 5.69–14.73 | 26.61 19.13–34.10 17.08–36.15 | 87% |
| Shots in box | 10.49 7.55–13.43 6.72–14.26 | 7.06 4.38–9.74 3.64–10.48 | 17.55 11.93–23.17 10.36–24.74 | 76% 17% |
| Blocked shots | 4.58 2.70–6.46 2.16–7.01 | 3.15 1.50–4.80 1.01–5.30 | 7.73 4.20–11.27 3.16–12.30 | 63% 24% |
| Corners | 6.82 4.60–9.03 4.03–9.60 | 4.13 2.13–6.13 1.59–6.66 | 10.94 6.73–15.16 5.62–16.26 | 75% 16% |
| Possession % | 57.92 51.13–64.71 49.46–66.38 | 41.84 35.05–48.62 33.38–50.29 | — | 81% 16% |
| Passes | 457 389–524 371–542 | 303 237–369 219–387 | 760 626–893 590–929 | 90% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.85 63.82–71.88 62.53–73.17 | 64.35 60.02–68.67 58.71–69.98 | — | 65% 30% |
| Fouls | 10.65 7.81–13.48 7.05–14.24 | 12.26 9.31–15.20 8.56–15.95 | 22.90 17.12–28.69 15.62–30.19 | 33% 59% |
| Offsides | 2.25 1.09–3.42 0.79–3.72 | 2.05 0.96–3.14 0.67–3.43 | 4.30 2.05–6.56 1.46–7.15 | 44% 20% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 1.61 0.56–2.66 0.29–2.92 | 2.45 1.32–3.58 1.03–3.87 | 4.06 1.88–6.24 1.32–6.79 | 25% 19% 56% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.13 0.70–3.57 0.31–3.96 | 3.48 1.93–5.04 1.50–5.46 | 5.62 2.62–8.61 1.81–9.42 | 21% 15% 64% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.