Championship·Regular Season - 32·
Championship·Regular Season - 32·Predicted match statistics
Goals
33%
26%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.241.412.66safe0.27–2.210.56–2.270.83–4.48safer0.02–2.460.33–2.500.35–4.96
Shots on target
37%
13%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction4.144.658.79safe2.28–6.012.91–6.395.19–12.40safer1.79–6.502.44–6.864.23–13.36
Total shots
53%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3912.4925.88safe9.46–17.318.93–16.0618.39–33.37safer8.37–18.407.97–17.0216.34–35.42
Shots in box
46%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction8.888.7617.65safe5.94–11.836.08–11.4512.03–23.27safer5.11–12.665.35–12.1810.46–24.84
Blocked shots
44%
14%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction4.104.028.12safe2.22–5.982.37–5.674.58–11.66safer1.67–6.521.88–6.173.55–12.69
Corners
41%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction5.085.2910.38safe2.87–7.303.29–7.296.16–14.59safer2.29–7.872.76–7.835.06–15.70
Possession %
32%
64%
homeawayprediction46.3953.52safe39.59–53.1846.74–60.31safer37.93–54.8445.07–61.98
Passes
34%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction354404758safe286–421338–471624–891safer268–439320–488588–927
Pass accuracy %
23%
73%
homeawayprediction63.0168.22safe58.98–67.0463.90–72.54safer57.69–68.3362.59–73.85
Fouls
42%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6212.1323.75safe8.78–14.469.18–15.0717.97–29.53safer8.03–15.228.44–15.8216.46–31.04
Offsides
32%
19%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction2.022.464.48safe0.86–3.181.37–3.562.23–6.74safer0.56–3.481.08–3.851.64–7.33
Yellow cards
39%
22%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.871.863.73safe0.82–2.910.73–2.991.55–5.90safer0.55–3.180.44–3.280.99–6.46
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.090.18safe0.00–0.250.00–0.280.00–0.53safer0.00–0.400.00–0.410.00–0.81
GK saves
43%
17%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.912.855.76safe1.48–4.351.29–4.402.77–8.75safer1.09–4.740.87–4.831.95–9.56
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.24 0.27–2.21 0.02–2.46 | 1.41 0.56–2.27 0.33–2.50 | 2.66 0.83–4.48 0.35–4.96 | 33% 26% 41% |
| Shots on target | 4.14 2.28–6.01 1.79–6.50 | 4.65 2.91–6.39 2.44–6.86 | 8.79 5.19–12.40 4.23–13.36 | 37% 13% 50% |
| Total shots | 13.39 9.46–17.31 8.37–18.40 | 12.49 8.93–16.06 7.97–17.02 | 25.88 18.39–33.37 16.34–35.42 | 53% 39% |
| Shots in box | 8.88 5.94–11.83 5.11–12.66 | 8.76 6.08–11.45 5.35–12.18 | 17.65 12.03–23.27 10.46–24.84 | 46% 44% |
| Blocked shots | 4.10 2.22–5.98 1.67–6.52 | 4.02 2.37–5.67 1.88–6.17 | 8.12 4.58–11.66 3.55–12.69 | 44% 14% 42% |
| Corners | 5.08 2.87–7.30 2.29–7.87 | 5.29 3.29–7.29 2.76–7.83 | 10.38 6.16–14.59 5.06–15.70 | 41% 46% |
| Possession % | 46.39 39.59–53.18 37.93–54.84 | 53.52 46.74–60.31 45.07–61.98 | — | 32% 64% |
| Passes | 354 286–421 268–439 | 404 338–471 320–488 | 758 624–891 588–927 | 34% 66% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.01 58.98–67.04 57.69–68.33 | 68.22 63.90–72.54 62.59–73.85 | — | 23% 73% |
| Fouls | 11.62 8.78–14.46 8.03–15.22 | 12.13 9.18–15.07 8.44–15.82 | 23.75 17.97–29.53 16.46–31.04 | 42% 50% |
| Offsides | 2.02 0.86–3.18 0.56–3.48 | 2.46 1.37–3.56 1.08–3.85 | 4.48 2.23–6.74 1.64–7.33 | 32% 19% 49% |
| Yellow cards | 1.87 0.82–2.91 0.55–3.18 | 1.86 0.73–2.99 0.44–3.28 | 3.73 1.55–5.90 0.99–6.46 | 39% 22% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.91 1.48–4.35 1.09–4.74 | 2.85 1.29–4.40 0.87–4.83 | 5.76 2.77–8.75 1.95–9.56 | 43% 17% 40% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.