Championship·Regular Season - 10·
Championship·Regular Season - 10·Predicted match statistics
Goals
49%
26%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.521.012.53safe0.55–2.490.16–1.870.71–4.36safer0.30–2.740.00–2.100.23–4.84
Shots on target
71%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction5.423.278.69safe3.56–7.291.53–5.015.09–12.30safer3.07–7.781.06–5.484.13–13.25
Total shots
90%
homeawaytotalprediction15.588.8824.46safe11.65–19.505.32–12.4416.97–31.94safer10.56–20.594.36–13.4014.92–34.00
Shots in box
75%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction9.766.5216.28safe6.82–12.703.84–9.2010.66–21.91safer5.99–13.533.10–9.949.09–23.47
Blocked shots
67%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction4.462.787.23safe2.57–6.341.12–4.433.70–10.77safer2.03–6.880.63–4.922.66–11.80
Corners
66%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction6.104.2910.39safe3.89–8.312.29–6.296.18–14.61safer3.31–8.891.76–6.835.07–15.71
Possession %
51%
44%
homeawayprediction50.2648.71safe43.47–57.0541.93–55.50safer41.80–58.7240.25–57.17
Passes
57%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction477454930safe409–544387–520797–1064safer391–562370–538761–1100
Pass accuracy %
26%
69%
homeawayprediction67.9972.44safe63.96–72.0268.12–76.76safer62.67–73.3266.81–78.07
Fouls
43%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7812.1023.88safe8.94–14.629.16–15.0518.10–29.66safer8.18–15.378.41–15.8016.59–31.17
Offsides
39%
23%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.681.653.33safe0.52–2.840.55–2.741.07–5.58safer0.22–3.140.27–3.030.48–6.17
Yellow cards
23%
18%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction1.672.704.37safe0.62–2.721.57–3.832.19–6.55safer0.35–2.981.28–4.121.63–7.10
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.17safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.51safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
20%
15%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction2.103.555.65safe0.67–3.541.99–5.112.66–8.65safer0.28–3.931.57–5.531.85–9.46
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.52 0.55–2.49 0.30–2.74 | 1.01 0.16–1.87 0.00–2.10 | 2.53 0.71–4.36 0.23–4.84 | 49% 26% 25% |
| Shots on target | 5.42 3.56–7.29 3.07–7.78 | 3.27 1.53–5.01 1.06–5.48 | 8.69 5.09–12.30 4.13–13.25 | 71% 18% |
| Total shots | 15.58 11.65–19.50 10.56–20.59 | 8.88 5.32–12.44 4.36–13.40 | 24.46 16.97–31.94 14.92–34.00 | 90% |
| Shots in box | 9.76 6.82–12.70 5.99–13.53 | 6.52 3.84–9.20 3.10–9.94 | 16.28 10.66–21.91 9.09–23.47 | 75% 18% |
| Blocked shots | 4.46 2.57–6.34 2.03–6.88 | 2.78 1.12–4.43 0.63–4.92 | 7.23 3.70–10.77 2.66–11.80 | 67% 21% |
| Corners | 6.10 3.89–8.31 3.31–8.89 | 4.29 2.29–6.29 1.76–6.83 | 10.39 6.18–14.61 5.07–15.71 | 66% 24% |
| Possession % | 50.26 43.47–57.05 41.80–58.72 | 48.71 41.93–55.50 40.25–57.17 | — | 51% 44% |
| Passes | 477 409–544 391–562 | 454 387–520 370–538 | 930 797–1064 761–1100 | 57% 42% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.99 63.96–72.02 62.67–73.32 | 72.44 68.12–76.76 66.81–78.07 | — | 26% 69% |
| Fouls | 11.78 8.94–14.62 8.18–15.37 | 12.10 9.16–15.05 8.41–15.80 | 23.88 18.10–29.66 16.59–31.17 | 43% 49% |
| Offsides | 1.68 0.52–2.84 0.22–3.14 | 1.65 0.55–2.74 0.27–3.03 | 3.33 1.07–5.58 0.48–6.17 | 39% 23% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.67 0.62–2.72 0.35–2.98 | 2.70 1.57–3.83 1.28–4.12 | 4.37 2.19–6.55 1.63–7.10 | 23% 18% 60% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.10 0.67–3.54 0.28–3.93 | 3.55 1.99–5.11 1.57–5.53 | 5.65 2.66–8.65 1.85–9.46 | 20% 15% 65% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+