Championship·Regular Season - 32·
Championship·Regular Season - 32·Predicted match statistics
Goals
40%
26%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.411.262.67safe0.44–2.380.41–2.120.85–4.49safer0.19–2.630.18–2.340.37–4.97
Shots on target
36%
14%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction3.854.398.24safe1.98–5.712.65–6.134.63–11.84safer1.50–6.202.18–6.603.68–12.80
Total shots
35%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2513.6525.91safe8.33–16.1810.09–17.2118.42–33.39safer7.24–17.279.13–18.1716.37–35.44
Shots in box
31%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction7.569.1116.67safe4.61–10.506.43–11.7911.05–22.29safer3.79–11.335.69–12.539.48–23.86
Blocked shots
36%
14%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction3.564.067.62safe1.68–5.442.41–5.714.08–11.15safer1.13–5.991.91–6.203.05–12.19
Corners
44%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction4.964.919.87safe2.75–7.182.91–6.915.66–14.09safer2.17–7.752.38–7.454.55–15.20
Possession %
58%
38%
homeawayprediction52.6848.31safe45.89–59.4741.53–55.10safer44.22–61.1439.85–56.77
Passes
73%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction488413900safe421–555346–479767–1034safer402–573329–497731–1070
Pass accuracy %
42%
52%
homeawayprediction70.4871.46safe66.45–74.5167.14–75.79safer65.16–75.8065.83–77.09
Fouls
49%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0511.7123.76safe9.21–14.898.76–14.6517.98–29.54safer8.46–15.648.01–15.4016.47–31.05
Offsides
48%
23%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.801.353.15safe0.64–2.960.25–2.440.89–5.40safer0.34–3.260.00–2.730.30–5.99
Yellow cards
43%
20%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction2.111.954.06safe1.06–3.160.82–3.081.89–6.24safer0.80–3.430.53–3.371.33–6.80
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.080.16safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.390.00–0.400.00–0.79
GK saves
48%
17%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction2.922.545.47safe1.49–4.360.99–4.102.47–8.46safer1.10–4.750.56–4.521.66–9.27
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.41 0.44–2.38 0.19–2.63 | 1.26 0.41–2.12 0.18–2.34 | 2.67 0.85–4.49 0.37–4.97 | 40% 26% 34% |
| Shots on target | 3.85 1.98–5.71 1.50–6.20 | 4.39 2.65–6.13 2.18–6.60 | 8.24 4.63–11.84 3.68–12.80 | 36% 14% 50% |
| Total shots | 12.25 8.33–16.18 7.24–17.27 | 13.65 10.09–17.21 9.13–18.17 | 25.91 18.42–33.39 16.37–35.44 | 35% 57% |
| Shots in box | 7.56 4.61–10.50 3.79–11.33 | 9.11 6.43–11.79 5.69–12.53 | 16.67 11.05–22.29 9.48–23.86 | 31% 60% |
| Blocked shots | 3.56 1.68–5.44 1.13–5.99 | 4.06 2.41–5.71 1.91–6.20 | 7.62 4.08–11.15 3.05–12.19 | 36% 14% 50% |
| Corners | 4.96 2.75–7.18 2.17–7.75 | 4.91 2.91–6.91 2.38–7.45 | 9.87 5.66–14.09 4.55–15.20 | 44% 43% |
| Possession % | 52.68 45.89–59.47 44.22–61.14 | 48.31 41.53–55.10 39.85–56.77 | — | 58% 38% |
| Passes | 488 421–555 402–573 | 413 346–479 329–497 | 900 767–1034 731–1070 | 73% 26% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.48 66.45–74.51 65.16–75.80 | 71.46 67.14–75.79 65.83–77.09 | — | 42% 52% |
| Fouls | 12.05 9.21–14.89 8.46–15.64 | 11.71 8.76–14.65 8.01–15.40 | 23.76 17.98–29.54 16.47–31.05 | 49% 43% |
| Offsides | 1.80 0.64–2.96 0.34–3.26 | 1.35 0.25–2.44 0.00–2.73 | 3.15 0.89–5.40 0.30–5.99 | 48% 23% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 2.11 1.06–3.16 0.80–3.43 | 1.95 0.82–3.08 0.53–3.37 | 4.06 1.89–6.24 1.33–6.80 | 43% 20% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.92 1.49–4.36 1.10–4.75 | 2.54 0.99–4.10 0.56–4.52 | 5.47 2.47–8.46 1.66–9.27 | 48% 17% 35% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.