Predicted match statistics
Goals
53%
26%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction1.500.842.34safe0.53–2.470.00–1.690.52–4.16safer0.28–2.720.00–1.920.04–4.64
Shots on target
65%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction4.853.238.08safe2.99–6.711.49–4.984.48–11.69safer2.50–7.201.03–5.443.52–12.64
Total shots
83%
homeawaytotalprediction15.3010.0125.31safe11.38–19.236.44–13.5717.82–32.80safer10.29–20.325.48–14.5315.77–34.85
Shots in box
66%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction9.467.2416.70safe6.52–12.404.56–9.9211.08–22.32safer5.69–13.233.82–10.669.51–23.89
Blocked shots
66%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction4.322.757.07safe2.44–6.211.10–4.403.54–10.61safer1.90–6.750.60–4.892.50–11.64
Corners
66%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction5.884.069.94safe3.66–8.092.06–6.065.72–14.15safer3.09–8.661.53–6.594.62–15.26
Possession %
89%
homeawayprediction61.3639.20safe54.57–68.1532.42–45.99safer52.90–69.8230.75–47.66
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction552328880safe485–620261–394747–1014safer467–638244–412711–1050
Pass accuracy %
71%
24%
homeawayprediction70.2365.35safe66.20–74.2661.03–69.68safer64.91–75.5659.72–70.99
Fouls
32%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction9.9411.5521.49safe7.11–12.788.60–14.4915.71–27.27safer6.35–13.547.85–15.2414.20–28.78
Offsides
21%
18%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction1.562.654.21safe0.40–2.721.56–3.751.96–6.47safer0.10–3.021.27–4.031.37–7.06
Yellow cards
27%
21%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.482.083.57safe0.44–2.530.95–3.211.39–5.75safer0.17–2.800.66–3.500.83–6.30
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.060.14safe0.00–0.240.00–0.250.00–0.49safer0.00–0.390.00–0.380.00–0.77
GK saves
27%
16%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction2.363.295.65safe0.92–3.801.74–4.852.66–8.64safer0.54–4.181.31–5.271.85–9.46
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.50 0.53–2.47 0.28–2.72 | 0.84 0.00–1.69 0.00–1.92 | 2.34 0.52–4.16 0.04–4.64 | 53% 26% 21% |
| Shots on target | 4.85 2.99–6.71 2.50–7.20 | 3.23 1.49–4.98 1.03–5.44 | 8.08 4.48–11.69 3.52–12.64 | 65% 23% |
| Total shots | 15.30 11.38–19.23 10.29–20.32 | 10.01 6.44–13.57 5.48–14.53 | 25.31 17.82–32.80 15.77–34.85 | 83% |
| Shots in box | 9.46 6.52–12.40 5.69–13.23 | 7.24 4.56–9.92 3.82–10.66 | 16.70 11.08–22.32 9.51–23.89 | 66% 25% |
| Blocked shots | 4.32 2.44–6.21 1.90–6.75 | 2.75 1.10–4.40 0.60–4.89 | 7.07 3.54–10.61 2.50–11.64 | 66% 21% |
| Corners | 5.88 3.66–8.09 3.09–8.66 | 4.06 2.06–6.06 1.53–6.59 | 9.94 5.72–14.15 4.62–15.26 | 66% 23% |
| Possession % | 61.36 54.57–68.15 52.90–69.82 | 39.20 32.42–45.99 30.75–47.66 | — | 89% |
| Passes | 552 485–620 467–638 | 328 261–394 244–412 | 880 747–1014 711–1050 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.23 66.20–74.26 64.91–75.56 | 65.35 61.03–69.68 59.72–70.99 | — | 71% 24% |
| Fouls | 9.94 7.11–12.78 6.35–13.54 | 11.55 8.60–14.49 7.85–15.24 | 21.49 15.71–27.27 14.20–28.78 | 32% 59% |
| Offsides | 1.56 0.40–2.72 0.10–3.02 | 2.65 1.56–3.75 1.27–4.03 | 4.21 1.96–6.47 1.37–7.06 | 21% 18% 61% |
| Yellow cards | 1.48 0.44–2.53 0.17–2.80 | 2.08 0.95–3.21 0.66–3.50 | 3.57 1.39–5.75 0.83–6.30 | 27% 21% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.06 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.38 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.36 0.92–3.80 0.54–4.18 | 3.29 1.74–4.85 1.31–5.27 | 5.65 2.66–8.64 1.85–9.46 | 27% 16% 57% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.