Predicted match statistics
Goals
29%
26%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.121.442.56safe0.15–2.090.59–2.300.74–4.38safer0.00–2.340.36–2.520.26–4.86
Shots on target
38%
14%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction3.744.127.85safe1.87–5.602.37–5.864.25–11.46safer1.38–6.091.91–6.323.29–12.41
Total shots
41%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9212.5124.43safe8.00–15.858.95–16.0716.95–31.92safer6.91–16.947.99–17.0314.89–33.97
Shots in box
50%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction8.507.9716.47safe5.56–11.445.29–10.6510.85–22.09safer4.73–12.274.55–11.399.28–23.66
Blocked shots
33%
15%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction3.083.746.82safe1.20–4.962.08–5.393.28–10.35safer0.65–5.511.59–5.882.25–11.39
Corners
35%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction4.685.4210.10safe2.47–6.893.42–7.425.88–14.31safer1.89–7.472.88–7.954.78–15.42
Possession %
15%
83%
homeawayprediction41.5258.34safe34.73–48.3151.55–65.12safer33.06–49.9849.88–66.79
Passes
88%
homeawaytotalprediction360500860safe292–427434–567726–994safer274–445416–584691–1029
Pass accuracy %
90%
homeawayprediction62.0072.31safe57.97–66.0367.98–76.63safer56.68–67.3266.67–77.94
Fouls
43%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction10.5810.9521.53safe7.74–13.428.01–13.9015.75–27.31safer6.99–14.177.26–14.6414.25–28.82
Offsides
62%
17%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction2.711.544.25safe1.55–3.870.44–2.632.00–6.50safer1.25–4.170.15–2.921.41–7.09
Yellow cards
39%
22%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.721.733.45safe0.67–2.770.60–2.861.27–5.63safer0.41–3.040.31–3.150.72–6.19
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.78
GK saves
44%
18%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction2.762.565.32safe1.32–4.191.01–4.122.33–8.31safer0.93–4.580.58–4.541.51–9.12
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.12 0.15–2.09 0.00–2.34 | 1.44 0.59–2.30 0.36–2.52 | 2.56 0.74–4.38 0.26–4.86 | 29% 26% 44% |
| Shots on target | 3.74 1.87–5.60 1.38–6.09 | 4.12 2.37–5.86 1.91–6.32 | 7.85 4.25–11.46 3.29–12.41 | 38% 14% 48% |
| Total shots | 11.92 8.00–15.85 6.91–16.94 | 12.51 8.95–16.07 7.99–17.03 | 24.43 16.95–31.92 14.89–33.97 | 41% 51% |
| Shots in box | 8.50 5.56–11.44 4.73–12.27 | 7.97 5.29–10.65 4.55–11.39 | 16.47 10.85–22.09 9.28–23.66 | 50% 40% |
| Blocked shots | 3.08 1.20–4.96 0.65–5.51 | 3.74 2.08–5.39 1.59–5.88 | 6.82 3.28–10.35 2.25–11.39 | 33% 15% 52% |
| Corners | 4.68 2.47–6.89 1.89–7.47 | 5.42 3.42–7.42 2.88–7.95 | 10.10 5.88–14.31 4.78–15.42 | 35% 53% |
| Possession % | 41.52 34.73–48.31 33.06–49.98 | 58.34 51.55–65.12 49.88–66.79 | — | 15% 83% |
| Passes | 360 292–427 274–445 | 500 434–567 416–584 | 860 726–994 691–1029 | 88% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.00 57.97–66.03 56.68–67.32 | 72.31 67.98–76.63 66.67–77.94 | — | 90% |
| Fouls | 10.58 7.74–13.42 6.99–14.17 | 10.95 8.01–13.90 7.26–14.64 | 21.53 15.75–27.31 14.25–28.82 | 43% 49% |
| Offsides | 2.71 1.55–3.87 1.25–4.17 | 1.54 0.44–2.63 0.15–2.92 | 4.25 2.00–6.50 1.41–7.09 | 62% 17% 20% |
| Yellow cards | 1.72 0.67–2.77 0.41–3.04 | 1.73 0.60–2.86 0.31–3.15 | 3.45 1.27–5.63 0.72–6.19 | 39% 22% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.76 1.32–4.19 0.93–4.58 | 2.56 1.01–4.12 0.58–4.54 | 5.32 2.33–8.31 1.51–9.12 | 44% 18% 38% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.