Predicted match statistics
Goals
34%
27%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.181.292.47safe0.21–2.150.44–2.150.65–4.29safer0.00–2.400.21–2.370.17–4.77
Shots on target
38%
14%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction3.854.228.08safe1.99–5.722.48–5.974.47–11.68safer1.50–6.212.01–6.433.52–12.64
Total shots
58%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6611.1223.77safe8.73–16.587.55–14.6816.29–31.26safer7.64–17.676.59–15.6414.24–33.31
Shots in box
60%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction8.927.3516.27safe5.97–11.864.67–10.0310.65–21.89safer5.15–12.693.93–10.779.08–23.46
Blocked shots
38%
15%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction3.423.707.12safe1.54–5.302.05–5.353.58–10.65safer0.99–5.841.55–5.842.55–11.69
Corners
50%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction5.354.8610.21safe3.13–7.562.86–6.865.99–14.42safer2.56–8.132.33–7.394.89–15.53
Possession %
92%
homeawayprediction38.3163.37safe31.52–45.1056.58–70.15safer29.85–46.7754.91–71.82
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction332561893safe265–399494–627759–1026safer246–417477–645723–1062
Pass accuracy %
95%
homeawayprediction61.2674.87safe57.23–65.2970.55–79.19safer55.93–66.5869.24–80.50
Fouls
62%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5610.6323.19safe9.73–15.407.68–13.5717.41–28.97safer8.97–16.166.94–14.3215.91–30.48
Offsides
62%
17%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction2.861.714.57safe1.70–4.020.62–2.802.32–6.83safer1.40–4.330.33–3.091.73–7.42
Yellow cards
32%
23%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.491.833.32safe0.45–2.540.70–2.961.14–5.50safer0.18–2.810.41–3.250.59–6.06
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.14safe0.00–0.220.00–0.260.00–0.49safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.77
GK saves
43%
17%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.822.735.55safe1.38–4.261.17–4.292.56–8.54safer1.00–4.640.75–4.711.75–9.35
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.18 0.21–2.15 0.00–2.40 | 1.29 0.44–2.15 0.21–2.37 | 2.47 0.65–4.29 0.17–4.77 | 34% 27% 39% |
| Shots on target | 3.85 1.99–5.72 1.50–6.21 | 4.22 2.48–5.97 2.01–6.43 | 8.08 4.47–11.68 3.52–12.64 | 38% 14% 48% |
| Total shots | 12.66 8.73–16.58 7.64–17.67 | 11.12 7.55–14.68 6.59–15.64 | 23.77 16.29–31.26 14.24–33.31 | 58% 34% |
| Shots in box | 8.92 5.97–11.86 5.15–12.69 | 7.35 4.67–10.03 3.93–10.77 | 16.27 10.65–21.89 9.08–23.46 | 60% 30% |
| Blocked shots | 3.42 1.54–5.30 0.99–5.84 | 3.70 2.05–5.35 1.55–5.84 | 7.12 3.58–10.65 2.55–11.69 | 38% 15% 47% |
| Corners | 5.35 3.13–7.56 2.56–8.13 | 4.86 2.86–6.86 2.33–7.39 | 10.21 5.99–14.42 4.89–15.53 | 50% 38% |
| Possession % | 38.31 31.52–45.10 29.85–46.77 | 63.37 56.58–70.15 54.91–71.82 | — | 92% |
| Passes | 332 265–399 246–417 | 561 494–627 477–645 | 893 759–1026 723–1062 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 61.26 57.23–65.29 55.93–66.58 | 74.87 70.55–79.19 69.24–80.50 | — | 95% |
| Fouls | 12.56 9.73–15.40 8.97–16.16 | 10.63 7.68–13.57 6.94–14.32 | 23.19 17.41–28.97 15.91–30.48 | 62% 31% |
| Offsides | 2.86 1.70–4.02 1.40–4.33 | 1.71 0.62–2.80 0.33–3.09 | 4.57 2.32–6.83 1.73–7.42 | 62% 17% 21% |
| Yellow cards | 1.49 0.45–2.54 0.18–2.81 | 1.83 0.70–2.96 0.41–3.25 | 3.32 1.14–5.50 0.59–6.06 | 32% 23% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.82 1.38–4.26 1.00–4.64 | 2.73 1.17–4.29 0.75–4.71 | 5.55 2.56–8.54 1.75–9.35 | 43% 17% 40% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.