Predicted match statistics
Goals
54%
23%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction1.761.072.84safe0.80–2.730.22–1.931.01–4.66safer0.54–2.980.00–2.160.53–5.14
Shots on target
60%
13%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction4.683.458.13safe2.82–6.541.71–5.194.53–11.74safer2.33–7.031.24–5.663.57–12.69
Total shots
74%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction14.6010.9125.51safe10.67–18.527.35–14.4718.02–33.00safer9.58–19.626.39–15.4315.97–35.05
Shots in box
56%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction8.847.7616.59safe5.89–11.785.08–10.4410.97–22.22safer5.06–12.614.34–11.189.40–23.78
Blocked shots
62%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction4.593.227.81safe2.70–6.471.57–4.884.27–11.34safer2.16–7.011.08–5.373.24–12.38
Corners
66%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction5.984.1510.12safe3.76–8.192.15–6.155.91–14.34safer3.19–8.761.61–6.684.80–15.45
Possession %
95%
homeawayprediction64.4234.90safe57.63–71.2128.12–41.69safer55.96–72.8826.44–43.36
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction603287890safe535–670220–353756–1023safer517–688203–371720–1059
Pass accuracy %
86%
homeawayprediction74.0365.10safe70.00–78.0560.77–69.42safer68.70–79.3559.46–70.73
Fouls
24%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction10.2713.2623.53safe7.43–13.1010.31–16.2017.74–29.31safer6.67–13.869.56–16.9516.24–30.81
Offsides
20%
16%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction1.662.954.60safe0.50–2.821.85–4.042.35–6.86safer0.20–3.121.57–4.331.76–7.45
Yellow cards
32%
23%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.421.713.13safe0.37–2.470.58–2.840.95–5.31safer0.11–2.740.29–3.130.39–5.87
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.070.13safe0.00–0.210.00–0.260.00–0.47safer0.00–0.360.00–0.390.00–0.76
GK saves
27%
17%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction2.233.095.32safe0.79–3.661.54–4.652.33–8.31safer0.40–4.051.11–5.081.52–9.12
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.76 0.80–2.73 0.54–2.98 | 1.07 0.22–1.93 0.00–2.16 | 2.84 1.01–4.66 0.53–5.14 | 54% 23% 23% |
| Shots on target | 4.68 2.82–6.54 2.33–7.03 | 3.45 1.71–5.19 1.24–5.66 | 8.13 4.53–11.74 3.57–12.69 | 60% 13% 27% |
| Total shots | 14.60 10.67–18.52 9.58–19.62 | 10.91 7.35–14.47 6.39–15.43 | 25.51 18.02–33.00 15.97–35.05 | 74% 20% |
| Shots in box | 8.84 5.89–11.78 5.06–12.61 | 7.76 5.08–10.44 4.34–11.18 | 16.59 10.97–22.22 9.40–23.78 | 56% 35% |
| Blocked shots | 4.59 2.70–6.47 2.16–7.01 | 3.22 1.57–4.88 1.08–5.37 | 7.81 4.27–11.34 3.24–12.38 | 62% 25% |
| Corners | 5.98 3.76–8.19 3.19–8.76 | 4.15 2.15–6.15 1.61–6.68 | 10.12 5.91–14.34 4.80–15.45 | 66% 23% |
| Possession % | 64.42 57.63–71.21 55.96–72.88 | 34.90 28.12–41.69 26.44–43.36 | — | 95% |
| Passes | 603 535–670 517–688 | 287 220–353 203–371 | 890 756–1023 720–1059 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.03 70.00–78.05 68.70–79.35 | 65.10 60.77–69.42 59.46–70.73 | — | 86% |
| Fouls | 10.27 7.43–13.10 6.67–13.86 | 13.26 10.31–16.20 9.56–16.95 | 23.53 17.74–29.31 16.24–30.81 | 24% 70% |
| Offsides | 1.66 0.50–2.82 0.20–3.12 | 2.95 1.85–4.04 1.57–4.33 | 4.60 2.35–6.86 1.76–7.45 | 20% 16% 64% |
| Yellow cards | 1.42 0.37–2.47 0.11–2.74 | 1.71 0.58–2.84 0.29–3.13 | 3.13 0.95–5.31 0.39–5.87 | 32% 23% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.13 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.23 0.79–3.66 0.40–4.05 | 3.09 1.54–4.65 1.11–5.08 | 5.32 2.33–8.31 1.52–9.12 | 27% 17% 56% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+