Championship·Regular Season - 10·
Championship·Regular Season - 10·Predicted match statistics
Goals
30%
25%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.191.522.70safe0.22–2.150.66–2.370.88–4.53safer0.00–2.410.43–2.600.40–5.01
Shots on target
37%
14%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction4.054.558.60safe2.19–5.912.81–6.295.00–12.21safer1.70–6.402.34–6.764.04–13.16
Total shots
45%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6412.7325.37safe8.71–16.569.17–16.3017.89–32.86safer7.62–17.668.21–17.2615.84–34.91
Shots in box
42%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction8.468.7517.21safe5.52–11.416.07–11.4311.59–22.84safer4.69–12.235.33–12.1710.02–24.40
Blocked shots
37%
15%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction3.473.817.28safe1.58–5.352.16–5.473.74–10.81safer1.04–5.891.67–5.962.71–11.85
Corners
41%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction4.965.1810.14safe2.74–7.173.18–7.185.93–14.35safer2.17–7.752.65–7.724.82–15.46
Possession %
24%
72%
homeawayprediction44.8055.66safe38.01–51.5948.87–62.44safer36.34–53.2647.20–64.11
Passes
22%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction389480869safe321–456414–547735–1003safer303–474396–564700–1038
Pass accuracy %
18%
78%
homeawayprediction67.9074.47safe63.87–71.9370.14–78.79safer62.58–73.2268.83–80.10
Fouls
56%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5710.3321.90safe8.73–14.407.39–13.2816.12–27.68safer7.97–15.166.64–14.0314.61–29.18
Offsides
43%
21%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction2.041.853.89safe0.88–3.200.76–2.941.64–6.15safer0.58–3.500.47–3.231.05–6.73
Yellow cards
37%
20%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction2.022.204.22safe0.97–3.071.07–3.322.04–6.40safer0.71–3.340.78–3.621.48–6.95
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.14safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.77
GK saves
45%
17%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction3.112.896.01safe1.68–4.551.34–4.453.01–9.00safer1.29–4.940.91–4.872.20–9.81
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.19 0.22–2.15 0.00–2.41 | 1.52 0.66–2.37 0.43–2.60 | 2.70 0.88–4.53 0.40–5.01 | 30% 25% 45% |
| Shots on target | 4.05 2.19–5.91 1.70–6.40 | 4.55 2.81–6.29 2.34–6.76 | 8.60 5.00–12.21 4.04–13.16 | 37% 14% 50% |
| Total shots | 12.64 8.71–16.56 7.62–17.66 | 12.73 9.17–16.30 8.21–17.26 | 25.37 17.89–32.86 15.84–34.91 | 45% 47% |
| Shots in box | 8.46 5.52–11.41 4.69–12.23 | 8.75 6.07–11.43 5.33–12.17 | 17.21 11.59–22.84 10.02–24.40 | 42% 48% |
| Blocked shots | 3.47 1.58–5.35 1.04–5.89 | 3.81 2.16–5.47 1.67–5.96 | 7.28 3.74–10.81 2.71–11.85 | 37% 15% 48% |
| Corners | 4.96 2.74–7.17 2.17–7.75 | 5.18 3.18–7.18 2.65–7.72 | 10.14 5.93–14.35 4.82–15.46 | 41% 46% |
| Possession % | 44.80 38.01–51.59 36.34–53.26 | 55.66 48.87–62.44 47.20–64.11 | — | 24% 72% |
| Passes | 389 321–456 303–474 | 480 414–547 396–564 | 869 735–1003 700–1038 | 22% 78% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.90 63.87–71.93 62.58–73.22 | 74.47 70.14–78.79 68.83–80.10 | — | 18% 78% |
| Fouls | 11.57 8.73–14.40 7.97–15.16 | 10.33 7.39–13.28 6.64–14.03 | 21.90 16.12–27.68 14.61–29.18 | 56% 36% |
| Offsides | 2.04 0.88–3.20 0.58–3.50 | 1.85 0.76–2.94 0.47–3.23 | 3.89 1.64–6.15 1.05–6.73 | 43% 21% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 2.02 0.97–3.07 0.71–3.34 | 2.20 1.07–3.32 0.78–3.62 | 4.22 2.04–6.40 1.48–6.95 | 37% 20% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.11 1.68–4.55 1.29–4.94 | 2.89 1.34–4.45 0.91–4.87 | 6.01 3.01–9.00 2.20–9.81 | 45% 17% 38% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.