Championship·Regular Season - 32·
Championship·Regular Season - 32·Predicted match statistics
Goals
55%
24%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction1.710.962.67safe0.74–2.680.10–1.810.85–4.49safer0.49–2.930.00–2.040.37–4.97
Shots on target
66%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction5.283.558.84safe3.42–7.151.81–5.305.23–12.44safer2.93–7.641.35–5.764.28–13.40
Total shots
82%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction15.4410.3125.75safe11.52–19.376.75–13.8718.26–33.24safer10.43–20.465.79–14.8316.21–35.29
Shots in box
69%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction9.917.3117.22safe6.97–12.854.63–9.9911.59–22.84safer6.14–13.683.89–10.7310.03–24.41
Blocked shots
66%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction5.003.298.29safe3.12–6.881.64–4.954.76–11.83safer2.57–7.421.15–5.443.72–12.86
Corners
74%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction6.403.8710.27safe4.19–8.611.87–5.876.06–14.48safer3.61–9.191.34–6.404.95–15.59
Possession %
83%
15%
homeawayprediction59.0542.20safe52.26–65.8435.42–48.99safer50.59–67.5133.74–50.66
Passes
92%
homeawaytotalprediction524355880safe457–592289–422746–1013safer439–610271–439710–1049
Pass accuracy %
60%
35%
homeawayprediction73.3870.99safe69.35–77.4166.67–75.32safer68.06–78.7065.36–76.63
Fouls
27%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction10.0612.4422.50safe7.22–12.909.49–15.3816.71–28.28safer6.46–13.658.74–16.1315.21–29.78
Offsides
35%
21%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.882.113.99safe0.72–3.041.02–3.211.74–6.24safer0.42–3.340.73–3.501.15–6.83
Yellow cards
28%
21%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.532.143.67safe0.48–2.581.01–3.271.49–5.85safer0.22–2.850.72–3.560.94–6.41
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.080.13safe0.00–0.210.00–0.270.00–0.48safer0.00–0.360.00–0.400.00–0.76
GK saves
25%
15%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction2.413.505.90safe0.97–3.841.94–5.052.91–8.90safer0.58–4.231.52–5.482.10–9.71
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.71 0.74–2.68 0.49–2.93 | 0.96 0.10–1.81 0.00–2.04 | 2.67 0.85–4.49 0.37–4.97 | 55% 24% 21% |
| Shots on target | 5.28 3.42–7.15 2.93–7.64 | 3.55 1.81–5.30 1.35–5.76 | 8.84 5.23–12.44 4.28–13.40 | 66% 22% |
| Total shots | 15.44 11.52–19.37 10.43–20.46 | 10.31 6.75–13.87 5.79–14.83 | 25.75 18.26–33.24 16.21–35.29 | 82% 13% |
| Shots in box | 9.91 6.97–12.85 6.14–13.68 | 7.31 4.63–9.99 3.89–10.73 | 17.22 11.59–22.84 10.03–24.41 | 69% 23% |
| Blocked shots | 5.00 3.12–6.88 2.57–7.42 | 3.29 1.64–4.95 1.15–5.44 | 8.29 4.76–11.83 3.72–12.86 | 66% 22% |
| Corners | 6.40 4.19–8.61 3.61–9.19 | 3.87 1.87–5.87 1.34–6.40 | 10.27 6.06–14.48 4.95–15.59 | 74% 17% |
| Possession % | 59.05 52.26–65.84 50.59–67.51 | 42.20 35.42–48.99 33.74–50.66 | — | 83% 15% |
| Passes | 524 457–592 439–610 | 355 289–422 271–439 | 880 746–1013 710–1049 | 92% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.38 69.35–77.41 68.06–78.70 | 70.99 66.67–75.32 65.36–76.63 | — | 60% 35% |
| Fouls | 10.06 7.22–12.90 6.46–13.65 | 12.44 9.49–15.38 8.74–16.13 | 22.50 16.71–28.28 15.21–29.78 | 27% 65% |
| Offsides | 1.88 0.72–3.04 0.42–3.34 | 2.11 1.02–3.21 0.73–3.50 | 3.99 1.74–6.24 1.15–6.83 | 35% 21% 44% |
| Yellow cards | 1.53 0.48–2.58 0.22–2.85 | 2.14 1.01–3.27 0.72–3.56 | 3.67 1.49–5.85 0.94–6.41 | 28% 21% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.41 0.97–3.84 0.58–4.23 | 3.50 1.94–5.05 1.52–5.48 | 5.90 2.91–8.90 2.10–9.71 | 25% 15% 59% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.