Predicted match statistics
Goals
62%
20%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction2.091.023.11safe1.12–3.060.17–1.881.29–4.93safer0.87–3.310.00–2.110.81–5.41
Shots on target
73%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction5.763.449.20safe3.89–7.621.70–5.185.59–12.80safer3.40–8.111.23–5.654.64–13.76
Total shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction15.7410.2626.00safe11.81–19.666.70–13.8218.51–33.48safer10.72–20.755.74–14.7816.46–35.53
Shots in box
84%
homeawaytotalprediction11.026.3517.37safe8.08–13.963.67–9.0311.75–22.99safer7.25–14.792.93–9.7710.18–24.56
Blocked shots
65%
13%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction4.192.676.86safe2.30–6.071.02–4.333.33–10.40safer1.76–6.610.53–4.822.29–11.43
Corners
77%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction6.753.8610.61safe4.54–8.961.86–5.866.40–14.83safer3.96–9.541.33–6.405.29–15.93
Possession %
74%
23%
homeawayprediction56.2444.47safe49.45–63.0337.69–51.26safer47.78–64.7036.01–52.93
Passes
79%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction457359816safe389–524293–426682–949safer371–542275–443646–985
Pass accuracy %
52%
43%
homeawayprediction70.0869.14safe66.05–74.1164.81–73.46safer64.76–75.4063.51–74.77
Fouls
42%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2612.7124.97safe9.42–15.099.76–15.6519.18–30.75safer8.66–15.859.01–16.4017.68–32.25
Offsides
61%
16%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction3.342.155.49safe2.18–4.501.06–3.243.24–7.74safer1.88–4.800.77–3.532.65–8.33
Yellow cards
25%
20%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.512.273.78safe0.46–2.561.14–3.401.60–5.96safer0.20–2.830.85–3.691.04–6.52
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.110.16safe0.00–0.210.00–0.290.00–0.51safer0.00–0.360.00–0.430.00–0.79
GK saves
23%
15%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction2.333.575.90safe0.89–3.762.02–5.132.91–8.89safer0.50–4.151.59–5.552.09–9.70
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.09 1.12–3.06 0.87–3.31 | 1.02 0.17–1.88 0.00–2.11 | 3.11 1.29–4.93 0.81–5.41 | 62% 20% 18% |
| Shots on target | 5.76 3.89–7.62 3.40–8.11 | 3.44 1.70–5.18 1.23–5.65 | 9.20 5.59–12.80 4.64–13.76 | 73% 17% |
| Total shots | 15.74 11.81–19.66 10.72–20.75 | 10.26 6.70–13.82 5.74–14.78 | 26.00 18.51–33.48 16.46–35.53 | 84% |
| Shots in box | 11.02 8.08–13.96 7.25–14.79 | 6.35 3.67–9.03 2.93–9.77 | 17.37 11.75–22.99 10.18–24.56 | 84% |
| Blocked shots | 4.19 2.30–6.07 1.76–6.61 | 2.67 1.02–4.33 0.53–4.82 | 6.86 3.33–10.40 2.29–11.43 | 65% 13% 22% |
| Corners | 6.75 4.54–8.96 3.96–9.54 | 3.86 1.86–5.86 1.33–6.40 | 10.61 6.40–14.83 5.29–15.93 | 77% 15% |
| Possession % | 56.24 49.45–63.03 47.78–64.70 | 44.47 37.69–51.26 36.01–52.93 | — | 74% 23% |
| Passes | 457 389–524 371–542 | 359 293–426 275–443 | 816 682–949 646–985 | 79% 21% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.08 66.05–74.11 64.76–75.40 | 69.14 64.81–73.46 63.51–74.77 | — | 52% 43% |
| Fouls | 12.26 9.42–15.09 8.66–15.85 | 12.71 9.76–15.65 9.01–16.40 | 24.97 19.18–30.75 17.68–32.25 | 42% 50% |
| Offsides | 3.34 2.18–4.50 1.88–4.80 | 2.15 1.06–3.24 0.77–3.53 | 5.49 3.24–7.74 2.65–8.33 | 61% 16% 23% |
| Yellow cards | 1.51 0.46–2.56 0.20–2.83 | 2.27 1.14–3.40 0.85–3.69 | 3.78 1.60–5.96 1.04–6.52 | 25% 20% 55% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.33 0.89–3.76 0.50–4.15 | 3.57 2.02–5.13 1.59–5.55 | 5.90 2.91–8.89 2.09–9.70 | 23% 15% 62% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+