Predicted match statistics
Goals
28%
24%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.241.722.97safe0.28–2.210.87–2.581.15–4.79safer0.03–2.460.64–2.810.67–5.27
Shots on target
32%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction4.275.219.48safe2.41–6.133.47–6.965.88–13.09safer1.92–6.623.00–7.424.92–14.04
Total shots
30%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8314.0725.90safe7.91–15.7610.50–17.6318.41–33.39safer6.82–16.859.54–18.5916.36–35.44
Shots in box
22%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction7.8010.6618.46safe4.86–10.747.98–13.3412.84–24.08safer4.03–11.577.24–14.0811.27–25.65
Blocked shots
37%
16%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction2.973.286.25safe1.09–4.851.62–4.932.71–9.78safer0.55–5.401.13–5.421.68–10.82
Corners
32%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction4.915.9110.82safe2.70–7.123.91–7.916.61–15.04safer2.12–7.703.38–8.455.50–16.14
Possession %
35%
60%
homeawayprediction47.3952.86safe40.60–54.1846.08–59.65safer38.93–55.8544.41–61.32
Passes
37%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction385424809safe318–452358–490675–942safer299–470340–508639–978
Pass accuracy %
20%
76%
homeawayprediction64.6970.67safe60.66–68.7266.35–75.00safer59.37–70.0165.04–76.31
Fouls
58%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction13.2911.8025.09safe10.45–16.138.86–14.7519.31–30.88safer9.70–16.898.11–15.4917.81–32.38
Offsides
21%
14%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction2.243.665.90safe1.08–3.402.57–4.753.65–8.16safer0.78–3.702.28–5.043.06–8.74
Yellow cards
45%
21%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction2.051.763.81safe1.00–3.100.63–2.891.63–5.99safer0.74–3.370.34–3.181.07–6.54
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.080.18safe0.00–0.260.00–0.270.00–0.52safer0.00–0.410.00–0.400.00–0.81
GK saves
49%
16%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction3.462.986.44safe2.02–4.891.42–4.543.45–9.43safer1.63–5.281.00–4.962.63–10.24
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.24 0.28–2.21 0.03–2.46 | 1.72 0.87–2.58 0.64–2.81 | 2.97 1.15–4.79 0.67–5.27 | 28% 24% 49% |
| Shots on target | 4.27 2.41–6.13 1.92–6.62 | 5.21 3.47–6.96 3.00–7.42 | 9.48 5.88–13.09 4.92–14.04 | 32% 56% |
| Total shots | 11.83 7.91–15.76 6.82–16.85 | 14.07 10.50–17.63 9.54–18.59 | 25.90 18.41–33.39 16.36–35.44 | 30% 63% |
| Shots in box | 7.80 4.86–10.74 4.03–11.57 | 10.66 7.98–13.34 7.24–14.08 | 18.46 12.84–24.08 11.27–25.65 | 22% 71% |
| Blocked shots | 2.97 1.09–4.85 0.55–5.40 | 3.28 1.62–4.93 1.13–5.42 | 6.25 2.71–9.78 1.68–10.82 | 37% 16% 47% |
| Corners | 4.91 2.70–7.12 2.12–7.70 | 5.91 3.91–7.91 3.38–8.45 | 10.82 6.61–15.04 5.50–16.14 | 32% 56% |
| Possession % | 47.39 40.60–54.18 38.93–55.85 | 52.86 46.08–59.65 44.41–61.32 | — | 35% 60% |
| Passes | 385 318–452 299–470 | 424 358–490 340–508 | 809 675–942 639–978 | 37% 63% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.69 60.66–68.72 59.37–70.01 | 70.67 66.35–75.00 65.04–76.31 | — | 20% 76% |
| Fouls | 13.29 10.45–16.13 9.70–16.89 | 11.80 8.86–14.75 8.11–15.49 | 25.09 19.31–30.88 17.81–32.38 | 58% 35% |
| Offsides | 2.24 1.08–3.40 0.78–3.70 | 3.66 2.57–4.75 2.28–5.04 | 5.90 3.65–8.16 3.06–8.74 | 21% 14% 65% |
| Yellow cards | 2.05 1.00–3.10 0.74–3.37 | 1.76 0.63–2.89 0.34–3.18 | 3.81 1.63–5.99 1.07–6.54 | 45% 21% 34% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.18 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.46 2.02–4.89 1.63–5.28 | 2.98 1.42–4.54 1.00–4.96 | 6.44 3.45–9.43 2.63–10.24 | 49% 16% 35% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+