Predicted match statistics
Goals
24%
23%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.131.792.92safe0.17–2.100.93–2.641.10–4.74safer0.00–2.350.70–2.870.62–5.22
Shots on target
31%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction4.085.039.11safe2.22–5.943.28–6.775.50–12.71safer1.73–6.432.82–7.244.55–13.67
Total shots
39%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction13.4714.4727.94safe9.55–17.4010.91–18.0320.46–35.43safer8.46–18.499.95–18.9918.40–37.48
Shots in box
34%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction8.139.3117.44safe5.19–11.076.63–11.9911.81–23.06safer4.36–11.905.89–12.7310.25–24.63
Blocked shots
37%
14%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction3.784.228.00safe1.89–5.662.57–5.874.46–11.53safer1.35–6.202.08–6.373.43–12.57
Corners
34%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction4.685.4910.17safe2.47–6.893.49–7.495.96–14.38safer1.89–7.472.96–8.024.85–15.49
Possession %
88%
homeawayprediction40.1560.67safe33.36–46.9453.88–67.45safer31.69–48.6152.21–69.12
Passes
90%
homeawaytotalprediction352509861safe285–419443–576727–995safer266–437425–593692–1030
Pass accuracy %
91%
homeawayprediction63.0374.11safe59.00–67.0669.78–78.43safer57.71–68.3668.47–79.74
Fouls
45%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3811.4622.84safe8.54–14.218.52–14.4117.06–28.62safer7.78–14.977.77–15.1515.55–30.12
Offsides
45%
23%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.721.393.10safe0.56–2.880.29–2.480.85–5.36safer0.26–3.180.00–2.770.26–5.95
Yellow cards
41%
22%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.841.743.58safe0.79–2.890.61–2.871.40–5.76safer0.53–3.160.32–3.160.84–6.32
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
46%
16%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction3.242.966.21safe1.81–4.681.41–4.523.21–9.20safer1.42–5.070.98–4.942.40–10.01
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.13 0.17–2.10 0.00–2.35 | 1.79 0.93–2.64 0.70–2.87 | 2.92 1.10–4.74 0.62–5.22 | 24% 23% 53% |
| Shots on target | 4.08 2.22–5.94 1.73–6.43 | 5.03 3.28–6.77 2.82–7.24 | 9.11 5.50–12.71 4.55–13.67 | 31% 56% |
| Total shots | 13.47 9.55–17.40 8.46–18.49 | 14.47 10.91–18.03 9.95–18.99 | 27.94 20.46–35.43 18.40–37.48 | 39% 54% |
| Shots in box | 8.13 5.19–11.07 4.36–11.90 | 9.31 6.63–11.99 5.89–12.73 | 17.44 11.81–23.06 10.25–24.63 | 34% 56% |
| Blocked shots | 3.78 1.89–5.66 1.35–6.20 | 4.22 2.57–5.87 2.08–6.37 | 8.00 4.46–11.53 3.43–12.57 | 37% 14% 49% |
| Corners | 4.68 2.47–6.89 1.89–7.47 | 5.49 3.49–7.49 2.96–8.02 | 10.17 5.96–14.38 4.85–15.49 | 34% 54% |
| Possession % | 40.15 33.36–46.94 31.69–48.61 | 60.67 53.88–67.45 52.21–69.12 | — | 88% |
| Passes | 352 285–419 266–437 | 509 443–576 425–593 | 861 727–995 692–1030 | 90% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.03 59.00–67.06 57.71–68.36 | 74.11 69.78–78.43 68.47–79.74 | — | 91% |
| Fouls | 11.38 8.54–14.21 7.78–14.97 | 11.46 8.52–14.41 7.77–15.15 | 22.84 17.06–28.62 15.55–30.12 | 45% 47% |
| Offsides | 1.72 0.56–2.88 0.26–3.18 | 1.39 0.29–2.48 0.00–2.77 | 3.10 0.85–5.36 0.26–5.95 | 45% 23% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.84 0.79–2.89 0.53–3.16 | 1.74 0.61–2.87 0.32–3.16 | 3.58 1.40–5.76 0.84–6.32 | 41% 22% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.24 1.81–4.68 1.42–5.07 | 2.96 1.41–4.52 0.98–4.94 | 6.21 3.21–9.20 2.40–10.01 | 46% 16% 38% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.