Predicted match statistics
Goals
61%
21%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction1.990.992.97safe1.02–2.960.13–1.841.15–4.80safer0.77–3.210.00–2.070.67–5.28
Shots on target
70%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction5.633.559.19safe3.77–7.491.81–5.305.58–12.79safer3.28–7.981.35–5.764.62–13.75
Total shots
86%
homeawaytotalprediction17.1610.9228.08safe13.24–21.097.35–14.4820.59–35.57safer12.15–22.186.40–15.4418.54–37.62
Shots in box
81%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction11.076.8617.93safe8.12–14.014.18–9.5412.31–23.55safer7.30–14.843.44–10.2810.74–25.12
Blocked shots
68%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction4.752.927.67safe2.86–6.631.27–4.574.13–11.20safer2.32–7.170.78–5.073.10–12.24
Corners
77%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction6.753.8110.56safe4.54–8.961.81–5.816.35–14.78safer3.96–9.541.28–6.355.24–15.88
Possession %
90%
homeawayprediction61.4438.93safe54.65–68.2432.15–45.72safer52.98–69.9030.48–47.39
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction556325881safe489–623259–392748–1015safer471–641241–409712–1051
Pass accuracy %
73%
23%
homeawayprediction73.7968.55safe69.76–77.8264.23–72.87safer68.47–79.1162.92–74.18
Fouls
35%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction10.4811.8622.34safe7.64–13.328.91–14.8016.56–28.12safer6.89–14.078.16–15.5515.05–29.62
Offsides
38%
24%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.491.492.99safe0.33–2.650.40–2.580.73–5.24safer0.03–2.960.11–2.870.14–5.83
Yellow cards
26%
24%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.181.722.90safe0.13–2.230.59–2.850.72–5.08safer0.00–2.490.30–3.140.16–5.63
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.090.13safe0.00–0.200.00–0.270.00–0.47safer0.00–0.350.00–0.410.00–0.76
GK saves
25%
15%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction2.573.736.29safe1.13–4.002.17–5.283.30–9.29safer0.74–4.391.75–5.712.49–10.10
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.99 1.02–2.96 0.77–3.21 | 0.99 0.13–1.84 0.00–2.07 | 2.97 1.15–4.80 0.67–5.28 | 61% 21% 18% |
| Shots on target | 5.63 3.77–7.49 3.28–7.98 | 3.55 1.81–5.30 1.35–5.76 | 9.19 5.58–12.79 4.62–13.75 | 70% 19% |
| Total shots | 17.16 13.24–21.09 12.15–22.18 | 10.92 7.35–14.48 6.40–15.44 | 28.08 20.59–35.57 18.54–37.62 | 86% |
| Shots in box | 11.07 8.12–14.01 7.30–14.84 | 6.86 4.18–9.54 3.44–10.28 | 17.93 12.31–23.55 10.74–25.12 | 81% 13% |
| Blocked shots | 4.75 2.86–6.63 2.32–7.17 | 2.92 1.27–4.57 0.78–5.07 | 7.67 4.13–11.20 3.10–12.24 | 68% 20% |
| Corners | 6.75 4.54–8.96 3.96–9.54 | 3.81 1.81–5.81 1.28–6.35 | 10.56 6.35–14.78 5.24–15.88 | 77% 14% |
| Possession % | 61.44 54.65–68.24 52.98–69.90 | 38.93 32.15–45.72 30.48–47.39 | — | 90% |
| Passes | 556 489–623 471–641 | 325 259–392 241–409 | 881 748–1015 712–1051 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.79 69.76–77.82 68.47–79.11 | 68.55 64.23–72.87 62.92–74.18 | — | 73% 23% |
| Fouls | 10.48 7.64–13.32 6.89–14.07 | 11.86 8.91–14.80 8.16–15.55 | 22.34 16.56–28.12 15.05–29.62 | 35% 57% |
| Offsides | 1.49 0.33–2.65 0.03–2.96 | 1.49 0.40–2.58 0.11–2.87 | 2.99 0.73–5.24 0.14–5.83 | 38% 24% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.18 0.13–2.23 0.00–2.49 | 1.72 0.59–2.85 0.30–3.14 | 2.90 0.72–5.08 0.16–5.63 | 26% 24% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.13 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.57 1.13–4.00 0.74–4.39 | 3.73 2.17–5.28 1.75–5.71 | 6.29 3.30–9.29 2.49–10.10 | 25% 15% 60% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.