Championship·Regular Season - 10·
Championship·Regular Season - 10·Predicted match statistics
Goals
48%
23%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.861.403.25safe0.89–2.820.54–2.251.43–5.07safer0.64–3.080.31–2.480.95–5.55
Shots on target
59%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction5.444.199.64safe3.58–7.312.45–5.946.03–13.24safer3.09–7.801.98–6.405.08–14.20
Total shots
79%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction15.9611.2127.17safe12.04–19.897.64–14.7719.68–34.65safer10.94–20.986.68–15.7317.63–36.70
Shots in box
74%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction10.857.6118.46safe7.91–13.804.93–10.2912.84–24.08safer7.08–14.634.19–11.0311.27–25.65
Blocked shots
72%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction4.532.517.04safe2.65–6.410.85–4.163.50–10.57safer2.11–6.960.36–4.652.47–11.61
Corners
65%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction6.024.3110.32safe3.81–8.232.30–6.316.11–14.54safer3.23–8.811.77–6.845.00–15.65
Possession %
52%
44%
homeawayprediction51.0149.36safe44.22–57.8042.58–56.15safer42.55–59.4740.90–57.82
Passes
57%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction452431883safe385–519365–498750–1017safer367–538347–515714–1053
Pass accuracy %
50%
45%
homeawayprediction73.5673.03safe69.53–77.5968.71–77.36safer68.24–78.8867.40–78.67
Fouls
47%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4511.3122.76safe8.62–14.298.37–14.2616.98–28.55safer7.86–15.057.62–15.0015.48–30.05
Offsides
17%
14%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction1.833.535.36safe0.67–2.992.44–4.623.11–7.61safer0.37–3.292.15–4.912.52–8.20
Yellow cards
33%
19%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.982.404.37safe0.93–3.021.27–3.532.20–6.55safer0.66–3.290.98–3.821.64–7.11
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
28%
15%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction2.643.616.24safe1.20–4.072.05–5.163.25–9.23safer0.81–4.461.62–5.592.44–10.05
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.86 0.89–2.82 0.64–3.08 | 1.40 0.54–2.25 0.31–2.48 | 3.25 1.43–5.07 0.95–5.55 | 48% 23% 29% |
| Shots on target | 5.44 3.58–7.31 3.09–7.80 | 4.19 2.45–5.94 1.98–6.40 | 9.64 6.03–13.24 5.08–14.20 | 59% 28% |
| Total shots | 15.96 12.04–19.89 10.94–20.98 | 11.21 7.64–14.77 6.68–15.73 | 27.17 19.68–34.65 17.63–36.70 | 79% 16% |
| Shots in box | 10.85 7.91–13.80 7.08–14.63 | 7.61 4.93–10.29 4.19–11.03 | 18.46 12.84–24.08 11.27–25.65 | 74% 19% |
| Blocked shots | 4.53 2.65–6.41 2.11–6.96 | 2.51 0.85–4.16 0.36–4.65 | 7.04 3.50–10.57 2.47–11.61 | 72% 17% |
| Corners | 6.02 3.81–8.23 3.23–8.81 | 4.31 2.30–6.31 1.77–6.84 | 10.32 6.11–14.54 5.00–15.65 | 65% 24% |
| Possession % | 51.01 44.22–57.80 42.55–59.47 | 49.36 42.58–56.15 40.90–57.82 | — | 52% 44% |
| Passes | 452 385–519 367–538 | 431 365–498 347–515 | 883 750–1017 714–1053 | 57% 43% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.56 69.53–77.59 68.24–78.88 | 73.03 68.71–77.36 67.40–78.67 | — | 50% 45% |
| Fouls | 11.45 8.62–14.29 7.86–15.05 | 11.31 8.37–14.26 7.62–15.00 | 22.76 16.98–28.55 15.48–30.05 | 47% 45% |
| Offsides | 1.83 0.67–2.99 0.37–3.29 | 3.53 2.44–4.62 2.15–4.91 | 5.36 3.11–7.61 2.52–8.20 | 17% 14% 70% |
| Yellow cards | 1.98 0.93–3.02 0.66–3.29 | 2.40 1.27–3.53 0.98–3.82 | 4.37 2.20–6.55 1.64–7.11 | 33% 19% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.64 1.20–4.07 0.81–4.46 | 3.61 2.05–5.16 1.62–5.59 | 6.24 3.25–9.23 2.44–10.05 | 28% 15% 57% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+