Championship·Regular Season - 32·
Championship·Regular Season - 32·Predicted match statistics
Goals
39%
25%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.441.382.82safe0.47–2.410.53–2.241.00–4.64safer0.22–2.660.30–2.460.52–5.12
Shots on target
41%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction4.734.929.66safe2.87–6.593.18–6.676.05–13.26safer2.38–7.082.72–7.135.09–14.22
Total shots
48%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction13.9413.7027.64safe10.01–17.8610.14–17.2620.15–35.13safer8.92–18.959.18–18.2218.10–37.18
Shots in box
49%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction9.639.2318.86safe6.69–12.576.55–11.9113.23–24.48safer5.86–13.405.81–12.6511.67–26.05
Blocked shots
29%
13%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction3.644.738.37safe1.76–5.533.08–6.384.84–11.91safer1.22–6.072.58–6.883.80–12.94
Corners
51%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction5.224.679.89safe3.01–7.442.67–6.675.68–14.11safer2.44–8.012.14–7.214.57–15.21
Possession %
53%
43%
homeawayprediction51.6949.53safe44.90–58.4842.75–56.32safer43.23–60.1541.08–57.99
Passes
57%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction454431885safe387–521365–498752–1019safer369–539347–515716–1055
Pass accuracy %
26%
70%
homeawayprediction70.9975.56safe66.96–75.0171.23–79.88safer65.66–76.3169.92–81.19
Fouls
39%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3212.1623.48safe8.48–14.169.22–15.1117.70–29.27safer7.73–14.918.47–15.8616.20–30.77
Offsides
77%
homeawaytotalprediction3.781.565.34safe2.62–4.940.47–2.663.09–7.59safer2.32–5.240.18–2.952.50–8.18
Yellow cards
34%
21%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.842.103.94safe0.79–2.880.98–3.231.76–6.12safer0.52–3.150.68–3.521.20–6.68
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.14safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.77
GK saves
43%
16%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction3.173.096.26safe1.73–4.601.54–4.653.27–9.26safer1.35–4.991.11–5.072.46–10.07
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.44 0.47–2.41 0.22–2.66 | 1.38 0.53–2.24 0.30–2.46 | 2.82 1.00–4.64 0.52–5.12 | 39% 25% 36% |
| Shots on target | 4.73 2.87–6.59 2.38–7.08 | 4.92 3.18–6.67 2.72–7.13 | 9.66 6.05–13.26 5.09–14.22 | 41% 46% |
| Total shots | 13.94 10.01–17.86 8.92–18.95 | 13.70 10.14–17.26 9.18–18.22 | 27.64 20.15–35.13 18.10–37.18 | 48% 44% |
| Shots in box | 9.63 6.69–12.57 5.86–13.40 | 9.23 6.55–11.91 5.81–12.65 | 18.86 13.23–24.48 11.67–26.05 | 49% 42% |
| Blocked shots | 3.64 1.76–5.53 1.22–6.07 | 4.73 3.08–6.38 2.58–6.88 | 8.37 4.84–11.91 3.80–12.94 | 29% 13% 58% |
| Corners | 5.22 3.01–7.44 2.44–8.01 | 4.67 2.67–6.67 2.14–7.21 | 9.89 5.68–14.11 4.57–15.21 | 51% 37% |
| Possession % | 51.69 44.90–58.48 43.23–60.15 | 49.53 42.75–56.32 41.08–57.99 | — | 53% 43% |
| Passes | 454 387–521 369–539 | 431 365–498 347–515 | 885 752–1019 716–1055 | 57% 42% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.99 66.96–75.01 65.66–76.31 | 75.56 71.23–79.88 69.92–81.19 | — | 26% 70% |
| Fouls | 11.32 8.48–14.16 7.73–14.91 | 12.16 9.22–15.11 8.47–15.86 | 23.48 17.70–29.27 16.20–30.77 | 39% 53% |
| Offsides | 3.78 2.62–4.94 2.32–5.24 | 1.56 0.47–2.66 0.18–2.95 | 5.34 3.09–7.59 2.50–8.18 | 77% |
| Yellow cards | 1.84 0.79–2.88 0.52–3.15 | 2.10 0.98–3.23 0.68–3.52 | 3.94 1.76–6.12 1.20–6.68 | 34% 21% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.17 1.73–4.60 1.35–4.99 | 3.09 1.54–4.65 1.11–5.07 | 6.26 3.27–9.26 2.46–10.07 | 43% 16% 41% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+