Championship·Regular Season - 10·
Championship·Regular Season - 10·Predicted match statistics
Goals
51%
25%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.631.052.68safe0.66–2.600.20–1.910.86–4.51safer0.41–2.850.00–2.140.38–4.99
Shots on target
62%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction4.833.468.29safe2.97–6.701.72–5.204.69–11.90safer2.48–7.181.25–5.673.73–12.85
Total shots
72%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction14.0310.6524.67safe10.10–17.957.08–14.2117.19–32.16safer9.01–19.046.13–15.1715.14–34.21
Shots in box
70%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction9.546.9616.50safe6.60–12.484.28–9.6410.88–22.13safer5.77–13.313.54–10.389.31–23.69
Blocked shots
63%
14%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction4.182.806.98safe2.30–6.061.15–4.463.45–10.52safer1.75–6.610.66–4.952.41–11.55
Corners
70%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction6.344.1310.48safe4.13–8.552.13–6.136.26–14.69safer3.55–9.131.60–6.675.15–15.80
Possession %
57%
38%
homeawayprediction51.6047.64safe44.81–58.3940.86–54.43safer43.14–60.0639.19–56.10
Passes
66%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction435386821safe368–502319–452687–954safer349–520302–470651–990
Pass accuracy %
40%
55%
homeawayprediction69.1470.52safe65.11–73.1766.20–74.84safer63.82–74.4664.89–76.15
Fouls
40%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1711.8323.00safe8.33–14.008.89–14.7817.22–28.78safer7.57–14.768.14–15.5315.71–30.29
Offsides
37%
19%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.152.364.51safe0.99–3.311.26–3.452.25–6.76safer0.69–3.610.98–3.741.67–7.35
Yellow cards
31%
19%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.892.404.29safe0.84–2.941.28–3.532.11–6.47safer0.57–3.200.98–3.821.55–7.03
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.17safe0.00–0.250.00–0.270.00–0.52safer0.00–0.400.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
31%
17%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction2.332.985.31safe0.89–3.771.42–4.532.31–8.30safer0.51–4.151.00–4.961.50–9.11
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.63 0.66–2.60 0.41–2.85 | 1.05 0.20–1.91 0.00–2.14 | 2.68 0.86–4.51 0.38–4.99 | 51% 25% 25% |
| Shots on target | 4.83 2.97–6.70 2.48–7.18 | 3.46 1.72–5.20 1.25–5.67 | 8.29 4.69–11.90 3.73–12.85 | 62% 26% |
| Total shots | 14.03 10.10–17.95 9.01–19.04 | 10.65 7.08–14.21 6.13–15.17 | 24.67 17.19–32.16 15.14–34.21 | 72% 22% |
| Shots in box | 9.54 6.60–12.48 5.77–13.31 | 6.96 4.28–9.64 3.54–10.38 | 16.50 10.88–22.13 9.31–23.69 | 70% 22% |
| Blocked shots | 4.18 2.30–6.06 1.75–6.61 | 2.80 1.15–4.46 0.66–4.95 | 6.98 3.45–10.52 2.41–11.55 | 63% 14% 24% |
| Corners | 6.34 4.13–8.55 3.55–9.13 | 4.13 2.13–6.13 1.60–6.67 | 10.48 6.26–14.69 5.15–15.80 | 70% 20% |
| Possession % | 51.60 44.81–58.39 43.14–60.06 | 47.64 40.86–54.43 39.19–56.10 | — | 57% 38% |
| Passes | 435 368–502 349–520 | 386 319–452 302–470 | 821 687–954 651–990 | 66% 34% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.14 65.11–73.17 63.82–74.46 | 70.52 66.20–74.84 64.89–76.15 | — | 40% 55% |
| Fouls | 11.17 8.33–14.00 7.57–14.76 | 11.83 8.89–14.78 8.14–15.53 | 23.00 17.22–28.78 15.71–30.29 | 40% 51% |
| Offsides | 2.15 0.99–3.31 0.69–3.61 | 2.36 1.26–3.45 0.98–3.74 | 4.51 2.25–6.76 1.67–7.35 | 37% 19% 44% |
| Yellow cards | 1.89 0.84–2.94 0.57–3.20 | 2.40 1.28–3.53 0.98–3.82 | 4.29 2.11–6.47 1.55–7.03 | 31% 19% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.33 0.89–3.77 0.51–4.15 | 2.98 1.42–4.53 1.00–4.96 | 5.31 2.31–8.30 1.50–9.11 | 31% 17% 52% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+