Championship·Regular Season - 32·
Championship·Regular Season - 32·Predicted match statistics
Goals
33%
26%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.251.402.65safe0.28–2.220.55–2.260.83–4.48safer0.03–2.470.32–2.490.35–4.96
Shots on target
40%
14%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction3.864.087.95safe2.00–5.732.34–5.834.34–11.55safer1.51–6.221.88–6.293.39–12.51
Total shots
46%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8712.8525.72safe8.94–16.799.29–16.4118.23–33.20safer7.85–17.888.33–17.3716.18–35.26
Shots in box
46%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction8.578.4717.04safe5.63–11.515.79–11.1611.42–22.67safer4.80–12.345.06–11.899.85–24.23
Blocked shots
42%
15%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction3.443.506.94safe1.56–5.331.84–5.153.40–10.47safer1.02–5.871.35–5.642.37–11.51
Corners
50%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction5.344.8010.13safe3.12–7.552.80–6.805.92–14.35safer2.55–8.122.26–7.334.81–15.45
Possession %
44%
51%
homeawayprediction49.8251.25safe43.03–56.6144.47–58.04safer41.36–58.2842.80–59.71
Passes
57%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction432409841safe365–499343–476707–975safer347–517325–493672–1010
Pass accuracy %
28%
67%
homeawayprediction67.1771.07safe63.14–71.2066.75–75.40safer61.85–72.4965.44–76.71
Fouls
40%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5612.3123.87safe8.72–14.409.37–15.2618.09–29.66safer7.97–15.158.62–16.0116.59–31.16
Offsides
46%
19%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction2.412.114.52safe1.25–3.571.01–3.202.26–6.77safer0.95–3.870.72–3.491.67–7.36
Yellow cards
42%
22%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.921.793.71safe0.87–2.970.66–2.921.53–5.89safer0.60–3.230.37–3.210.97–6.44
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.51safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.79
GK saves
42%
18%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction2.692.665.35safe1.26–4.131.11–4.222.36–8.35safer0.87–4.520.68–4.641.55–9.16
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.25 0.28–2.22 0.03–2.47 | 1.40 0.55–2.26 0.32–2.49 | 2.65 0.83–4.48 0.35–4.96 | 33% 26% 41% |
| Shots on target | 3.86 2.00–5.73 1.51–6.22 | 4.08 2.34–5.83 1.88–6.29 | 7.95 4.34–11.55 3.39–12.51 | 40% 14% 46% |
| Total shots | 12.87 8.94–16.79 7.85–17.88 | 12.85 9.29–16.41 8.33–17.37 | 25.72 18.23–33.20 16.18–35.26 | 46% 46% |
| Shots in box | 8.57 5.63–11.51 4.80–12.34 | 8.47 5.79–11.16 5.06–11.89 | 17.04 11.42–22.67 9.85–24.23 | 46% 44% |
| Blocked shots | 3.44 1.56–5.33 1.02–5.87 | 3.50 1.84–5.15 1.35–5.64 | 6.94 3.40–10.47 2.37–11.51 | 42% 15% 43% |
| Corners | 5.34 3.12–7.55 2.55–8.12 | 4.80 2.80–6.80 2.26–7.33 | 10.13 5.92–14.35 4.81–15.45 | 50% 37% |
| Possession % | 49.82 43.03–56.61 41.36–58.28 | 51.25 44.47–58.04 42.80–59.71 | — | 44% 51% |
| Passes | 432 365–499 347–517 | 409 343–476 325–493 | 841 707–975 672–1010 | 57% 42% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.17 63.14–71.20 61.85–72.49 | 71.07 66.75–75.40 65.44–76.71 | — | 28% 67% |
| Fouls | 11.56 8.72–14.40 7.97–15.15 | 12.31 9.37–15.26 8.62–16.01 | 23.87 18.09–29.66 16.59–31.16 | 40% 52% |
| Offsides | 2.41 1.25–3.57 0.95–3.87 | 2.11 1.01–3.20 0.72–3.49 | 4.52 2.26–6.77 1.67–7.36 | 46% 19% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.92 0.87–2.97 0.60–3.23 | 1.79 0.66–2.92 0.37–3.21 | 3.71 1.53–5.89 0.97–6.44 | 42% 22% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.69 1.26–4.13 0.87–4.52 | 2.66 1.11–4.22 0.68–4.64 | 5.35 2.36–8.35 1.55–9.16 | 42% 18% 41% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+