Predicted match statistics
Goals
41%
28%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.261.042.30safe0.30–2.230.19–1.890.48–4.13safer0.04–2.480.00–2.120.00–4.61
Shots on target
52%
14%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction4.233.557.78safe2.37–6.091.81–5.294.18–11.39safer1.88–6.581.34–5.763.22–12.34
Total shots
71%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction14.1310.9325.06safe10.21–18.067.36–14.4917.57–32.55safer9.12–19.156.41–15.4515.52–34.60
Shots in box
57%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction8.627.3916.01safe5.68–11.564.71–10.0710.39–21.63safer4.85–12.393.97–10.818.82–23.20
Blocked shots
58%
14%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction4.113.067.17safe2.22–5.991.41–4.723.63–10.71safer1.68–6.530.92–5.212.60–11.74
Corners
60%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction5.684.3510.03safe3.47–7.902.35–6.355.81–14.24safer2.90–8.471.81–6.884.71–15.35
Possession %
64%
32%
homeawayprediction53.9046.96safe47.11–60.6940.17–53.74safer45.44–62.3638.50–55.41
Passes
76%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction479395873safe412–546328–461740–1007safer393–564311–479704–1043
Pass accuracy %
49%
46%
homeawayprediction71.0270.77safe66.99–75.0566.44–75.09safer65.70–76.3565.13–76.40
Fouls
29%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction9.9311.9521.88safe7.09–12.769.01–14.9016.10–27.66safer6.33–13.528.26–15.6414.59–29.17
Offsides
46%
23%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.791.443.23safe0.63–2.950.35–2.530.98–5.48safer0.33–3.250.06–2.820.39–6.07
Yellow cards
32%
22%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.611.953.55safe0.56–2.650.82–3.081.38–5.73safer0.29–2.920.53–3.370.82–6.29
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.14safe0.00–0.220.00–0.260.00–0.49safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.77
GK saves
34%
17%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction2.432.895.33safe1.00–3.871.34–4.452.34–8.32safer0.61–4.260.91–4.881.52–9.13
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.26 0.30–2.23 0.04–2.48 | 1.04 0.19–1.89 0.00–2.12 | 2.30 0.48–4.13 0.00–4.61 | 41% 28% 30% |
| Shots on target | 4.23 2.37–6.09 1.88–6.58 | 3.55 1.81–5.29 1.34–5.76 | 7.78 4.18–11.39 3.22–12.34 | 52% 14% 33% |
| Total shots | 14.13 10.21–18.06 9.12–19.15 | 10.93 7.36–14.49 6.41–15.45 | 25.06 17.57–32.55 15.52–34.60 | 71% 23% |
| Shots in box | 8.62 5.68–11.56 4.85–12.39 | 7.39 4.71–10.07 3.97–10.81 | 16.01 10.39–21.63 8.82–23.20 | 57% 33% |
| Blocked shots | 4.11 2.22–5.99 1.68–6.53 | 3.06 1.41–4.72 0.92–5.21 | 7.17 3.63–10.71 2.60–11.74 | 58% 14% 28% |
| Corners | 5.68 3.47–7.90 2.90–8.47 | 4.35 2.35–6.35 1.81–6.88 | 10.03 5.81–14.24 4.71–15.35 | 60% 28% |
| Possession % | 53.90 47.11–60.69 45.44–62.36 | 46.96 40.17–53.74 38.50–55.41 | — | 64% 32% |
| Passes | 479 412–546 393–564 | 395 328–461 311–479 | 873 740–1007 704–1043 | 76% 24% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.02 66.99–75.05 65.70–76.35 | 70.77 66.44–75.09 65.13–76.40 | — | 49% 46% |
| Fouls | 9.93 7.09–12.76 6.33–13.52 | 11.95 9.01–14.90 8.26–15.64 | 21.88 16.10–27.66 14.59–29.17 | 29% 63% |
| Offsides | 1.79 0.63–2.95 0.33–3.25 | 1.44 0.35–2.53 0.06–2.82 | 3.23 0.98–5.48 0.39–6.07 | 46% 23% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.61 0.56–2.65 0.29–2.92 | 1.95 0.82–3.08 0.53–3.37 | 3.55 1.38–5.73 0.82–6.29 | 32% 22% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.43 1.00–3.87 0.61–4.26 | 2.89 1.34–4.45 0.91–4.88 | 5.33 2.34–8.32 1.52–9.13 | 34% 17% 49% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.