Predicted match statistics
Goals
40%
26%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.371.232.60safe0.40–2.330.38–2.090.78–4.42safer0.15–2.590.15–2.320.30–4.90
Shots on target
46%
14%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction4.103.897.99safe2.24–5.972.14–5.634.38–11.59safer1.75–6.461.68–6.093.43–12.55
Total shots
67%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction14.5411.8326.37safe10.61–18.468.27–15.4018.88–33.86safer9.52–19.557.31–16.3616.83–35.91
Shots in box
55%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction9.088.0017.09safe6.14–12.025.32–10.6911.46–22.71safer5.31–12.854.59–11.429.90–24.28
Blocked shots
49%
15%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.983.507.48safe2.10–5.861.85–5.163.95–11.02safer1.55–6.401.36–5.652.91–12.05
Corners
55%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction5.464.5510.01safe3.25–7.672.55–6.555.80–14.23safer2.67–8.252.02–7.084.69–15.33
Possession %
48%
47%
homeawayprediction49.6049.50safe42.81–56.3942.71–56.28safer41.14–58.0641.04–57.95
Passes
49%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction429431860safe362–496365–498727–994safer344–514347–515691–1030
Pass accuracy %
31%
65%
homeawayprediction69.0472.47safe65.01–73.0768.15–76.79safer63.72–74.3666.84–78.10
Fouls
58%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7210.2421.96safe8.88–14.567.29–13.1816.18–27.74safer8.13–15.316.54–13.9314.67–29.24
Offsides
34%
23%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.581.793.37safe0.42–2.740.70–2.881.11–5.62safer0.11–3.040.41–3.170.52–6.21
Yellow cards
41%
22%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.821.713.53safe0.77–2.870.58–2.841.36–5.71safer0.51–3.140.29–3.130.80–6.27
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.080.14safe0.00–0.210.00–0.270.00–0.48safer0.00–0.360.00–0.400.00–0.77
GK saves
39%
18%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.562.715.27safe1.13–4.001.15–4.272.28–8.27safer0.74–4.390.73–4.691.47–9.08
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.37 0.40–2.33 0.15–2.59 | 1.23 0.38–2.09 0.15–2.32 | 2.60 0.78–4.42 0.30–4.90 | 40% 26% 34% |
| Shots on target | 4.10 2.24–5.97 1.75–6.46 | 3.89 2.14–5.63 1.68–6.09 | 7.99 4.38–11.59 3.43–12.55 | 46% 14% 40% |
| Total shots | 14.54 10.61–18.46 9.52–19.55 | 11.83 8.27–15.40 7.31–16.36 | 26.37 18.88–33.86 16.83–35.91 | 67% 27% |
| Shots in box | 9.08 6.14–12.02 5.31–12.85 | 8.00 5.32–10.69 4.59–11.42 | 17.09 11.46–22.71 9.90–24.28 | 55% 35% |
| Blocked shots | 3.98 2.10–5.86 1.55–6.40 | 3.50 1.85–5.16 1.36–5.65 | 7.48 3.95–11.02 2.91–12.05 | 49% 15% 36% |
| Corners | 5.46 3.25–7.67 2.67–8.25 | 4.55 2.55–6.55 2.02–7.08 | 10.01 5.80–14.23 4.69–15.33 | 55% 33% |
| Possession % | 49.60 42.81–56.39 41.14–58.06 | 49.50 42.71–56.28 41.04–57.95 | — | 48% 47% |
| Passes | 429 362–496 344–514 | 431 365–498 347–515 | 860 727–994 691–1030 | 49% 51% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.04 65.01–73.07 63.72–74.36 | 72.47 68.15–76.79 66.84–78.10 | — | 31% 65% |
| Fouls | 11.72 8.88–14.56 8.13–15.31 | 10.24 7.29–13.18 6.54–13.93 | 21.96 16.18–27.74 14.67–29.24 | 58% 34% |
| Offsides | 1.58 0.42–2.74 0.11–3.04 | 1.79 0.70–2.88 0.41–3.17 | 3.37 1.11–5.62 0.52–6.21 | 34% 23% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 1.82 0.77–2.87 0.51–3.14 | 1.71 0.58–2.84 0.29–3.13 | 3.53 1.36–5.71 0.80–6.27 | 41% 22% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.77 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.56 1.13–4.00 0.74–4.39 | 2.71 1.15–4.27 0.73–4.69 | 5.27 2.28–8.27 1.47–9.08 | 39% 18% 44% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.