Championship·Regular Season - 11·
Championship·Regular Season - 11·Predicted match statistics
Goals
50%
25%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.631.102.73safe0.66–2.600.25–1.960.91–4.56safer0.41–2.850.02–2.190.43–5.04
Shots on target
66%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction5.203.488.68safe3.34–7.061.74–5.235.08–12.29safer2.85–7.551.28–5.694.12–13.24
Total shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction16.6510.8827.53safe12.73–20.577.32–14.4420.04–35.02safer11.63–21.676.36–15.4017.99–37.07
Shots in box
75%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction10.787.3518.12safe7.83–13.724.66–10.0312.50–23.74safer7.00–14.553.93–10.7610.93–25.31
Blocked shots
68%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction4.803.017.81safe2.92–6.691.36–4.664.28–11.35safer2.38–7.230.87–5.163.24–12.38
Corners
67%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction6.244.2910.53safe4.02–8.452.29–6.296.31–14.74safer3.45–9.021.76–6.835.21–15.85
Possession %
57%
39%
homeawayprediction51.8448.01safe45.05–58.6341.23–54.80safer43.38–60.3039.56–56.47
Passes
61%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction425391816safe358–492324–457682–949safer339–510307–475646–985
Pass accuracy %
41%
54%
homeawayprediction68.9770.25safe64.94–73.0065.93–74.58safer63.65–74.3064.62–75.89
Fouls
45%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5311.6523.18safe8.69–14.368.71–14.6017.40–28.96safer7.93–15.127.96–15.3415.89–30.47
Offsides
25%
20%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.472.233.70safe0.31–2.631.13–3.321.44–5.95safer0.01–2.930.85–3.610.85–6.54
Yellow cards
34%
20%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.902.224.12safe0.85–2.941.09–3.351.94–6.29safer0.58–3.210.80–3.641.38–6.85
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.78
GK saves
24%
15%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction2.343.515.85safe0.90–3.771.95–5.062.85–8.84safer0.51–4.161.53–5.492.04–9.65
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.63 0.66–2.60 0.41–2.85 | 1.10 0.25–1.96 0.02–2.19 | 2.73 0.91–4.56 0.43–5.04 | 50% 25% 26% |
| Shots on target | 5.20 3.34–7.06 2.85–7.55 | 3.48 1.74–5.23 1.28–5.69 | 8.68 5.08–12.29 4.12–13.24 | 66% 22% |
| Total shots | 16.65 12.73–20.57 11.63–21.67 | 10.88 7.32–14.44 6.36–15.40 | 27.53 20.04–35.02 17.99–37.07 | 84% |
| Shots in box | 10.78 7.83–13.72 7.00–14.55 | 7.35 4.66–10.03 3.93–10.76 | 18.12 12.50–23.74 10.93–25.31 | 75% 18% |
| Blocked shots | 4.80 2.92–6.69 2.38–7.23 | 3.01 1.36–4.66 0.87–5.16 | 7.81 4.28–11.35 3.24–12.38 | 68% 20% |
| Corners | 6.24 4.02–8.45 3.45–9.02 | 4.29 2.29–6.29 1.76–6.83 | 10.53 6.31–14.74 5.21–15.85 | 67% 22% |
| Possession % | 51.84 45.05–58.63 43.38–60.30 | 48.01 41.23–54.80 39.56–56.47 | — | 57% 39% |
| Passes | 425 358–492 339–510 | 391 324–457 307–475 | 816 682–949 646–985 | 61% 39% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.97 64.94–73.00 63.65–74.30 | 70.25 65.93–74.58 64.62–75.89 | — | 41% 54% |
| Fouls | 11.53 8.69–14.36 7.93–15.12 | 11.65 8.71–14.60 7.96–15.34 | 23.18 17.40–28.96 15.89–30.47 | 45% 47% |
| Offsides | 1.47 0.31–2.63 0.01–2.93 | 2.23 1.13–3.32 0.85–3.61 | 3.70 1.44–5.95 0.85–6.54 | 25% 20% 55% |
| Yellow cards | 1.90 0.85–2.94 0.58–3.21 | 2.22 1.09–3.35 0.80–3.64 | 4.12 1.94–6.29 1.38–6.85 | 34% 20% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.34 0.90–3.77 0.51–4.16 | 3.51 1.95–5.06 1.53–5.49 | 5.85 2.85–8.84 2.04–9.65 | 24% 15% 61% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.