Championship·Regular Season - 26·
Championship·Regular Season - 26·Predicted match statistics
Goals
36%
27%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.231.262.48safe0.26–2.190.40–2.110.66–4.30safer0.01–2.440.17–2.340.18–4.78
Shots on target
36%
14%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction3.764.298.05safe1.90–5.622.54–6.034.44–11.65safer1.41–6.112.08–6.493.49–12.61
Total shots
39%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3213.2925.61safe8.39–16.249.72–16.8518.12–33.09safer7.30–17.348.76–17.8116.07–35.14
Shots in box
38%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction8.188.9217.10safe5.24–11.136.24–11.6011.48–22.72safer4.41–11.965.50–12.339.91–24.29
Blocked shots
40%
14%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction4.064.288.34safe2.17–5.942.63–5.934.80–11.87safer1.63–6.482.14–6.433.76–12.91
Corners
47%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction5.234.9810.21safe3.02–7.442.98–6.985.99–14.42safer2.44–8.022.44–7.514.88–15.53
Possession %
46%
49%
homeawayprediction49.7250.23safe42.93–56.5143.45–57.02safer41.26–58.1841.78–58.69
Passes
56%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction425407833safe358–492341–474699–966safer340–511324–491663–1002
Pass accuracy %
29%
66%
homeawayprediction67.6571.42safe63.62–71.6867.09–75.74safer62.33–72.9765.78–77.05
Fouls
34%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6712.1722.84safe7.84–13.519.23–15.1217.06–28.63safer7.08–14.278.48–15.8615.56–30.13
Offsides
56%
20%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction2.211.403.61safe1.05–3.370.31–2.501.36–5.87safer0.75–3.670.02–2.790.77–6.46
Yellow cards
36%
21%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.791.933.73safe0.74–2.840.81–3.061.55–5.91safer0.48–3.110.51–3.350.99–6.46
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
47%
17%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction2.962.625.58safe1.52–4.391.06–4.182.59–8.57safer1.13–4.780.64–4.601.77–9.38
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.23 0.26–2.19 0.01–2.44 | 1.26 0.40–2.11 0.17–2.34 | 2.48 0.66–4.30 0.18–4.78 | 36% 27% 37% |
| Shots on target | 3.76 1.90–5.62 1.41–6.11 | 4.29 2.54–6.03 2.08–6.49 | 8.05 4.44–11.65 3.49–12.61 | 36% 14% 50% |
| Total shots | 12.32 8.39–16.24 7.30–17.34 | 13.29 9.72–16.85 8.76–17.81 | 25.61 18.12–33.09 16.07–35.14 | 39% 54% |
| Shots in box | 8.18 5.24–11.13 4.41–11.96 | 8.92 6.24–11.60 5.50–12.33 | 17.10 11.48–22.72 9.91–24.29 | 38% 52% |
| Blocked shots | 4.06 2.17–5.94 1.63–6.48 | 4.28 2.63–5.93 2.14–6.43 | 8.34 4.80–11.87 3.76–12.91 | 40% 14% 46% |
| Corners | 5.23 3.02–7.44 2.44–8.02 | 4.98 2.98–6.98 2.44–7.51 | 10.21 5.99–14.42 4.88–15.53 | 47% 41% |
| Possession % | 49.72 42.93–56.51 41.26–58.18 | 50.23 43.45–57.02 41.78–58.69 | — | 46% 49% |
| Passes | 425 358–492 340–511 | 407 341–474 324–491 | 833 699–966 663–1002 | 56% 44% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.65 63.62–71.68 62.33–72.97 | 71.42 67.09–75.74 65.78–77.05 | — | 29% 66% |
| Fouls | 10.67 7.84–13.51 7.08–14.27 | 12.17 9.23–15.12 8.48–15.86 | 22.84 17.06–28.63 15.56–30.13 | 34% 58% |
| Offsides | 2.21 1.05–3.37 0.75–3.67 | 1.40 0.31–2.50 0.02–2.79 | 3.61 1.36–5.87 0.77–6.46 | 56% 20% 24% |
| Yellow cards | 1.79 0.74–2.84 0.48–3.11 | 1.93 0.81–3.06 0.51–3.35 | 3.73 1.55–5.91 0.99–6.46 | 36% 21% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.96 1.52–4.39 1.13–4.78 | 2.62 1.06–4.18 0.64–4.60 | 5.58 2.59–8.57 1.77–9.38 | 47% 17% 36% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+