Championship·Regular Season - 11·
Championship·Regular Season - 11·Predicted match statistics
Goals
52%
24%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction1.681.042.72safe0.71–2.650.18–1.890.89–4.54safer0.46–2.900.00–2.120.41–5.02
Shots on target
69%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction5.303.358.64safe3.44–7.161.60–5.095.04–12.25safer2.95–7.651.14–5.554.08–13.20
Total shots
82%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction14.909.8524.76safe10.98–18.836.29–13.4217.27–32.24safer9.89–19.925.33–14.3815.22–34.29
Shots in box
74%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction9.886.7916.67safe6.94–12.824.11–9.4711.04–22.29safer6.11–13.653.37–10.219.48–23.86
Blocked shots
69%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction4.272.506.77safe2.39–6.160.84–4.153.24–10.31safer1.85–6.700.35–4.642.20–11.34
Corners
72%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction6.414.0510.46safe4.20–8.622.05–6.056.25–14.68safer3.62–9.201.52–6.595.14–15.78
Possession %
60%
36%
homeawayprediction52.1247.05safe45.33–58.9140.27–53.84safer43.66–60.5838.59–55.51
Passes
73%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction478404882safe411–545338–470748–1016safer393–563320–488713–1051
Pass accuracy %
41%
54%
homeawayprediction66.7968.00safe62.76–70.8263.68–72.33safer61.47–72.1262.37–73.64
Fouls
23%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction10.4113.4323.85safe7.58–13.2510.49–16.3818.06–29.63safer6.82–14.019.74–17.1316.56–31.13
Offsides
47%
21%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction2.101.703.80safe0.94–3.260.61–2.801.55–6.05safer0.64–3.560.32–3.080.96–6.64
Yellow cards
20%
17%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction1.532.744.27safe0.48–2.581.62–3.872.10–6.45safer0.21–2.851.32–4.161.54–7.01
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
21%
15%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction2.043.355.39safe0.61–3.481.79–4.912.40–8.38safer0.22–3.871.37–5.331.59–9.20
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.68 0.71–2.65 0.46–2.90 | 1.04 0.18–1.89 0.00–2.12 | 2.72 0.89–4.54 0.41–5.02 | 52% 24% 23% |
| Shots on target | 5.30 3.44–7.16 2.95–7.65 | 3.35 1.60–5.09 1.14–5.55 | 8.64 5.04–12.25 4.08–13.20 | 69% 20% |
| Total shots | 14.90 10.98–18.83 9.89–19.92 | 9.85 6.29–13.42 5.33–14.38 | 24.76 17.27–32.24 15.22–34.29 | 82% 13% |
| Shots in box | 9.88 6.94–12.82 6.11–13.65 | 6.79 4.11–9.47 3.37–10.21 | 16.67 11.04–22.29 9.48–23.86 | 74% 19% |
| Blocked shots | 4.27 2.39–6.16 1.85–6.70 | 2.50 0.84–4.15 0.35–4.64 | 6.77 3.24–10.31 2.20–11.34 | 69% 19% |
| Corners | 6.41 4.20–8.62 3.62–9.20 | 4.05 2.05–6.05 1.52–6.59 | 10.46 6.25–14.68 5.14–15.78 | 72% 19% |
| Possession % | 52.12 45.33–58.91 43.66–60.58 | 47.05 40.27–53.84 38.59–55.51 | — | 60% 36% |
| Passes | 478 411–545 393–563 | 404 338–470 320–488 | 882 748–1016 713–1051 | 73% 27% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.79 62.76–70.82 61.47–72.12 | 68.00 63.68–72.33 62.37–73.64 | — | 41% 54% |
| Fouls | 10.41 7.58–13.25 6.82–14.01 | 13.43 10.49–16.38 9.74–17.13 | 23.85 18.06–29.63 16.56–31.13 | 23% 70% |
| Offsides | 2.10 0.94–3.26 0.64–3.56 | 1.70 0.61–2.80 0.32–3.08 | 3.80 1.55–6.05 0.96–6.64 | 47% 21% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 1.53 0.48–2.58 0.21–2.85 | 2.74 1.62–3.87 1.32–4.16 | 4.27 2.10–6.45 1.54–7.01 | 20% 17% 63% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.04 0.61–3.48 0.22–3.87 | 3.35 1.79–4.91 1.37–5.33 | 5.39 2.40–8.38 1.59–9.20 | 21% 15% 63% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.