Championship·Regular Season - 26·
Championship·Regular Season - 26·Predicted match statistics
Goals
29%
25%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.171.522.70safe0.21–2.140.67–2.380.87–4.52safer0.00–2.390.44–2.610.39–5.00
Shots on target
29%
13%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction3.464.507.96safe1.60–5.332.76–6.244.36–11.57safer1.11–5.822.29–6.713.40–12.52
Total shots
30%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7613.8925.66safe7.84–15.6910.33–17.4518.17–33.14safer6.75–16.789.37–18.4116.12–35.19
Shots in box
28%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction7.429.2316.65safe4.48–10.366.55–11.9111.03–22.27safer3.65–11.195.81–12.659.46–23.84
Blocked shots
30%
14%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction3.354.247.58safe1.46–5.232.58–5.894.05–11.12safer0.92–5.772.09–6.383.01–12.15
Corners
41%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction4.785.019.79safe2.57–6.993.01–7.015.58–14.01safer1.99–7.572.48–7.554.47–15.11
Possession %
35%
60%
homeawayprediction47.8853.24safe41.09–54.6746.45–60.02safer39.42–56.3444.78–61.70
Passes
50%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction427428856safe360–495362–495722–989safer342–513344–512686–1025
Pass accuracy %
21%
75%
homeawayprediction64.2069.91safe60.17–68.2365.59–74.24safer58.88–69.5264.28–75.55
Fouls
63%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction13.0510.9824.04safe10.22–15.898.04–13.9318.26–29.82safer9.46–16.657.29–14.6816.75–31.33
Offsides
39%
22%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.771.793.57safe0.61–2.930.70–2.891.31–5.82safer0.31–3.240.41–3.170.72–6.41
Yellow cards
53%
19%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction2.391.724.11safe1.34–3.440.59–2.851.93–6.29safer1.07–3.700.30–3.141.37–6.84
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
55%
17%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction3.102.325.42safe1.66–4.540.76–3.872.42–8.41safer1.28–4.920.34–4.301.61–9.22
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.17 0.21–2.14 0.00–2.39 | 1.52 0.67–2.38 0.44–2.61 | 2.70 0.87–4.52 0.39–5.00 | 29% 25% 45% |
| Shots on target | 3.46 1.60–5.33 1.11–5.82 | 4.50 2.76–6.24 2.29–6.71 | 7.96 4.36–11.57 3.40–12.52 | 29% 13% 57% |
| Total shots | 11.76 7.84–15.69 6.75–16.78 | 13.89 10.33–17.45 9.37–18.41 | 25.66 18.17–33.14 16.12–35.19 | 30% 63% |
| Shots in box | 7.42 4.48–10.36 3.65–11.19 | 9.23 6.55–11.91 5.81–12.65 | 16.65 11.03–22.27 9.46–23.84 | 28% 63% |
| Blocked shots | 3.35 1.46–5.23 0.92–5.77 | 4.24 2.58–5.89 2.09–6.38 | 7.58 4.05–11.12 3.01–12.15 | 30% 14% 55% |
| Corners | 4.78 2.57–6.99 1.99–7.57 | 5.01 3.01–7.01 2.48–7.55 | 9.79 5.58–14.01 4.47–15.11 | 41% 46% |
| Possession % | 47.88 41.09–54.67 39.42–56.34 | 53.24 46.45–60.02 44.78–61.70 | — | 35% 60% |
| Passes | 427 360–495 342–513 | 428 362–495 344–512 | 856 722–989 686–1025 | 50% 50% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.20 60.17–68.23 58.88–69.52 | 69.91 65.59–74.24 64.28–75.55 | — | 21% 75% |
| Fouls | 13.05 10.22–15.89 9.46–16.65 | 10.98 8.04–13.93 7.29–14.68 | 24.04 18.26–29.82 16.75–31.33 | 63% 30% |
| Offsides | 1.77 0.61–2.93 0.31–3.24 | 1.79 0.70–2.89 0.41–3.17 | 3.57 1.31–5.82 0.72–6.41 | 39% 22% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 2.39 1.34–3.44 1.07–3.70 | 1.72 0.59–2.85 0.30–3.14 | 4.11 1.93–6.29 1.37–6.84 | 53% 19% 28% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.10 1.66–4.54 1.28–4.92 | 2.32 0.76–3.87 0.34–4.30 | 5.42 2.42–8.41 1.61–9.22 | 55% 17% 29% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+