Predicted match statistics
Goals
32%
26%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.231.452.67safe0.26–2.200.59–2.300.85–4.50safer0.01–2.450.36–2.530.37–4.98
Shots on target
38%
13%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction4.314.759.06safe2.45–6.173.01–6.495.45–12.66safer1.96–6.662.54–6.964.50–13.62
Total shots
37%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0113.2225.23safe8.08–15.939.66–16.7817.74–32.71safer6.99–17.028.70–17.7415.69–34.76
Shots in box
33%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction8.109.4817.58safe5.15–11.046.80–12.1611.95–23.20safer4.32–11.876.06–12.9010.39–24.77
Blocked shots
33%
15%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction3.143.756.88safe1.25–5.022.10–5.403.35–10.42safer0.71–5.561.60–5.892.31–11.46
Corners
42%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction4.935.1010.03safe2.72–7.143.10–7.105.81–14.24safer2.14–7.722.57–7.634.71–15.35
Possession %
42%
53%
homeawayprediction49.5952.04safe42.80–56.3845.26–58.83safer41.13–58.0543.58–60.50
Passes
45%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction432448880safe365–499381–514746–1014safer347–517364–532711–1049
Pass accuracy %
25%
71%
homeawayprediction66.8871.61safe62.85–70.9167.28–75.93safer61.56–72.2065.97–77.24
Fouls
54%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7110.7022.41safe8.87–14.547.76–13.6516.63–28.19safer8.11–15.307.01–14.4015.12–29.70
Offsides
37%
19%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.272.454.72safe1.11–3.431.36–3.542.47–6.98safer0.81–3.741.07–3.831.88–7.57
Yellow cards
41%
20%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction2.092.014.09safe1.04–3.140.88–3.131.91–6.27safer0.77–3.400.58–3.431.36–6.83
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.140.070.21safe0.00–0.300.00–0.260.00–0.56safer0.00–0.450.00–0.390.00–0.84
GK saves
43%
16%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction3.223.146.36safe1.78–4.661.59–4.703.37–9.35safer1.40–5.041.16–5.122.56–10.17
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.23 0.26–2.20 0.01–2.45 | 1.45 0.59–2.30 0.36–2.53 | 2.67 0.85–4.50 0.37–4.98 | 32% 26% 42% |
| Shots on target | 4.31 2.45–6.17 1.96–6.66 | 4.75 3.01–6.49 2.54–6.96 | 9.06 5.45–12.66 4.50–13.62 | 38% 13% 49% |
| Total shots | 12.01 8.08–15.93 6.99–17.02 | 13.22 9.66–16.78 8.70–17.74 | 25.23 17.74–32.71 15.69–34.76 | 37% 56% |
| Shots in box | 8.10 5.15–11.04 4.32–11.87 | 9.48 6.80–12.16 6.06–12.90 | 17.58 11.95–23.20 10.39–24.77 | 33% 58% |
| Blocked shots | 3.14 1.25–5.02 0.71–5.56 | 3.75 2.10–5.40 1.60–5.89 | 6.88 3.35–10.42 2.31–11.46 | 33% 15% 52% |
| Corners | 4.93 2.72–7.14 2.14–7.72 | 5.10 3.10–7.10 2.57–7.63 | 10.03 5.81–14.24 4.71–15.35 | 42% 46% |
| Possession % | 49.59 42.80–56.38 41.13–58.05 | 52.04 45.26–58.83 43.58–60.50 | — | 42% 53% |
| Passes | 432 365–499 347–517 | 448 381–514 364–532 | 880 746–1014 711–1049 | 45% 55% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.88 62.85–70.91 61.56–72.20 | 71.61 67.28–75.93 65.97–77.24 | — | 25% 71% |
| Fouls | 11.71 8.87–14.54 8.11–15.30 | 10.70 7.76–13.65 7.01–14.40 | 22.41 16.63–28.19 15.12–29.70 | 54% 37% |
| Offsides | 2.27 1.11–3.43 0.81–3.74 | 2.45 1.36–3.54 1.07–3.83 | 4.72 2.47–6.98 1.88–7.57 | 37% 19% 44% |
| Yellow cards | 2.09 1.04–3.14 0.77–3.40 | 2.01 0.88–3.13 0.58–3.43 | 4.09 1.91–6.27 1.36–6.83 | 41% 20% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.14 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.45 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 3.22 1.78–4.66 1.40–5.04 | 3.14 1.59–4.70 1.16–5.12 | 6.36 3.37–9.35 2.56–10.17 | 43% 16% 41% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+