Predicted match statistics
Goals
51%
24%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.701.112.81safe0.73–2.670.26–1.960.99–4.63safer0.48–2.920.03–2.190.51–5.11
Shots on target
62%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.003.588.58safe3.14–6.861.84–5.334.98–12.19safer2.65–7.351.37–5.794.02–13.14
Total shots
82%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction15.5610.4325.99safe11.64–19.496.87–14.0018.51–33.48safer10.55–20.585.91–14.9516.46–35.53
Shots in box
76%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction10.246.8817.12safe7.30–13.184.20–9.5611.49–22.74safer6.47–14.013.46–10.309.93–24.31
Blocked shots
61%
14%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction4.082.826.90safe2.20–5.971.17–4.473.37–10.44safer1.66–6.510.67–4.962.33–11.47
Corners
66%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction5.643.909.55safe3.43–7.861.90–5.905.33–13.76safer2.86–8.431.37–6.444.23–14.87
Possession %
67%
29%
homeawayprediction54.2445.64safe47.45–61.0338.85–52.42safer45.78–62.7037.18–54.09
Passes
75%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction479398877safe411–546332–465743–1011safer393–564314–482707–1046
Pass accuracy %
45%
50%
homeawayprediction69.8970.44safe65.86–73.9266.11–74.76safer64.57–75.2164.80–76.07
Fouls
40%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5212.2523.77safe8.68–14.359.31–15.2017.99–29.55safer7.92–15.118.56–15.9516.48–31.05
Offsides
49%
18%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction2.642.194.83safe1.48–3.801.10–3.282.57–7.08safer1.18–4.100.81–3.571.99–7.67
Yellow cards
32%
20%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.792.234.02safe0.74–2.841.10–3.361.84–6.20safer0.48–3.110.81–3.651.29–6.76
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.110.17safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.51safer0.00–0.370.00–0.430.00–0.80
GK saves
28%
16%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction2.363.255.62safe0.93–3.801.70–4.812.63–8.61safer0.54–4.191.27–5.241.81–9.42
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.70 0.73–2.67 0.48–2.92 | 1.11 0.26–1.96 0.03–2.19 | 2.81 0.99–4.63 0.51–5.11 | 51% 24% 25% |
| Shots on target | 5.00 3.14–6.86 2.65–7.35 | 3.58 1.84–5.33 1.37–5.79 | 8.58 4.98–12.19 4.02–13.14 | 62% 25% |
| Total shots | 15.56 11.64–19.49 10.55–20.58 | 10.43 6.87–14.00 5.91–14.95 | 25.99 18.51–33.48 16.46–35.53 | 82% 13% |
| Shots in box | 10.24 7.30–13.18 6.47–14.01 | 6.88 4.20–9.56 3.46–10.30 | 17.12 11.49–22.74 9.93–24.31 | 76% 17% |
| Blocked shots | 4.08 2.20–5.97 1.66–6.51 | 2.82 1.17–4.47 0.67–4.96 | 6.90 3.37–10.44 2.33–11.47 | 61% 14% 25% |
| Corners | 5.64 3.43–7.86 2.86–8.43 | 3.90 1.90–5.90 1.37–6.44 | 9.55 5.33–13.76 4.23–14.87 | 66% 23% |
| Possession % | 54.24 47.45–61.03 45.78–62.70 | 45.64 38.85–52.42 37.18–54.09 | — | 67% 29% |
| Passes | 479 411–546 393–564 | 398 332–465 314–482 | 877 743–1011 707–1046 | 75% 25% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.89 65.86–73.92 64.57–75.21 | 70.44 66.11–74.76 64.80–76.07 | — | 45% 50% |
| Fouls | 11.52 8.68–14.35 7.92–15.11 | 12.25 9.31–15.20 8.56–15.95 | 23.77 17.99–29.55 16.48–31.05 | 40% 52% |
| Offsides | 2.64 1.48–3.80 1.18–4.10 | 2.19 1.10–3.28 0.81–3.57 | 4.83 2.57–7.08 1.99–7.67 | 49% 18% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.79 0.74–2.84 0.48–3.11 | 2.23 1.10–3.36 0.81–3.65 | 4.02 1.84–6.20 1.29–6.76 | 32% 20% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.36 0.93–3.80 0.54–4.19 | 3.25 1.70–4.81 1.27–5.24 | 5.62 2.63–8.61 1.81–9.42 | 28% 16% 56% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.