Championship·Regular Season - 11·
Championship·Regular Season - 11·Predicted match statistics
Goals
34%
29%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.091.172.26safe0.13–2.060.31–2.020.44–4.08safer0.00–2.310.08–2.250.00–4.56
Shots on target
38%
15%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction3.694.027.71safe1.83–5.552.28–5.774.11–11.32safer1.34–6.041.82–6.233.15–12.27
Total shots
46%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9211.8623.78safe8.00–15.858.30–15.4216.29–31.27safer6.91–16.947.34–16.3814.24–33.32
Shots in box
47%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction8.278.0416.31safe5.32–11.215.36–10.7210.68–21.93safer4.50–12.044.62–11.469.12–23.50
Blocked shots
39%
15%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction3.623.907.51safe1.74–5.502.24–5.553.98–11.05safer1.19–6.041.75–6.042.94–12.09
Corners
51%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction5.204.599.79safe2.98–7.412.59–6.595.58–14.00safer2.41–7.982.06–7.134.47–15.11
Possession %
34%
61%
homeawayprediction47.3153.10safe40.52–54.1046.32–59.89safer38.85–55.7744.64–61.56
Passes
34%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction375425800safe308–443358–491667–934safer290–461341–509631–970
Pass accuracy %
13%
84%
homeawayprediction64.2072.26safe60.17–68.2367.93–76.58safer58.88–69.5266.63–77.89
Fouls
45%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5211.5923.11safe8.68–14.358.65–14.5417.33–28.89safer7.92–15.117.90–15.2915.82–30.40
Offsides
34%
21%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.802.103.90safe0.64–2.961.01–3.201.64–6.15safer0.33–3.260.72–3.481.06–6.74
Yellow cards
40%
20%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction2.102.074.16safe1.05–3.150.94–3.201.98–6.34safer0.78–3.410.65–3.491.43–6.90
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.080.16safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.390.00–0.400.00–0.79
GK saves
41%
18%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction2.622.655.27safe1.19–4.061.09–4.202.28–8.26safer0.80–4.450.67–4.631.47–9.08
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.09 0.13–2.06 0.00–2.31 | 1.17 0.31–2.02 0.08–2.25 | 2.26 0.44–4.08 0.00–4.56 | 34% 29% 38% |
| Shots on target | 3.69 1.83–5.55 1.34–6.04 | 4.02 2.28–5.77 1.82–6.23 | 7.71 4.11–11.32 3.15–12.27 | 38% 15% 47% |
| Total shots | 11.92 8.00–15.85 6.91–16.94 | 11.86 8.30–15.42 7.34–16.38 | 23.78 16.29–31.27 14.24–33.32 | 46% 45% |
| Shots in box | 8.27 5.32–11.21 4.50–12.04 | 8.04 5.36–10.72 4.62–11.46 | 16.31 10.68–21.93 9.12–23.50 | 47% 43% |
| Blocked shots | 3.62 1.74–5.50 1.19–6.04 | 3.90 2.24–5.55 1.75–6.04 | 7.51 3.98–11.05 2.94–12.09 | 39% 15% 47% |
| Corners | 5.20 2.98–7.41 2.41–7.98 | 4.59 2.59–6.59 2.06–7.13 | 9.79 5.58–14.00 4.47–15.11 | 51% 36% |
| Possession % | 47.31 40.52–54.10 38.85–55.77 | 53.10 46.32–59.89 44.64–61.56 | — | 34% 61% |
| Passes | 375 308–443 290–461 | 425 358–491 341–509 | 800 667–934 631–970 | 34% 66% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.20 60.17–68.23 58.88–69.52 | 72.26 67.93–76.58 66.63–77.89 | — | 13% 84% |
| Fouls | 11.52 8.68–14.35 7.92–15.11 | 11.59 8.65–14.54 7.90–15.29 | 23.11 17.33–28.89 15.82–30.40 | 45% 46% |
| Offsides | 1.80 0.64–2.96 0.33–3.26 | 2.10 1.01–3.20 0.72–3.48 | 3.90 1.64–6.15 1.06–6.74 | 34% 21% 46% |
| Yellow cards | 2.10 1.05–3.15 0.78–3.41 | 2.07 0.94–3.20 0.65–3.49 | 4.16 1.98–6.34 1.43–6.90 | 40% 20% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.62 1.19–4.06 0.80–4.45 | 2.65 1.09–4.20 0.67–4.63 | 5.27 2.28–8.26 1.47–9.08 | 41% 18% 42% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.