Championship·Regular Season - 26·
Championship·Regular Season - 26·Predicted match statistics
Goals
47%
26%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.461.032.49safe0.49–2.430.17–1.880.67–4.31safer0.24–2.680.00–2.110.19–4.79
Shots on target
60%
13%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction4.563.327.88safe2.70–6.431.58–5.064.28–11.49safer2.21–6.911.11–5.533.32–12.44
Total shots
78%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction14.119.9224.02safe10.18–18.036.35–13.4816.54–31.51safer9.09–19.135.39–14.4414.49–33.56
Shots in box
69%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction9.276.7716.04safe6.33–12.214.09–9.4510.42–21.66safer5.50–13.043.35–10.198.85–23.23
Blocked shots
65%
14%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction4.032.546.57safe2.14–5.910.89–4.193.03–10.10safer1.60–6.450.40–4.692.00–11.14
Corners
64%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.834.2210.05safe3.61–8.042.22–6.225.84–14.26safer3.04–8.621.69–6.754.73–15.37
Possession %
74%
22%
homeawayprediction56.2544.44safe49.46–63.0437.65–51.22safer47.79–64.7135.98–52.90
Passes
85%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction474350824safe406–541283–416690–957safer388–559266–434654–993
Pass accuracy %
63%
32%
homeawayprediction70.3067.27safe66.27–74.3362.95–71.60safer64.98–75.6261.64–72.91
Fouls
32%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction10.4012.0822.48safe7.56–13.249.13–15.0216.69–28.26safer6.81–13.998.38–15.7715.19–29.76
Offsides
41%
21%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.991.883.87safe0.83–3.150.79–2.981.62–6.12safer0.53–3.450.50–3.271.03–6.71
Yellow cards
26%
20%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.582.283.86safe0.53–2.631.15–3.411.69–6.04safer0.27–2.900.86–3.701.13–6.60
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.090.13safe0.00–0.200.00–0.280.00–0.48safer0.00–0.350.00–0.410.00–0.76
GK saves
28%
17%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction2.303.145.44safe0.86–3.731.59–4.702.45–8.43safer0.47–4.121.16–5.121.63–9.24
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.46 0.49–2.43 0.24–2.68 | 1.03 0.17–1.88 0.00–2.11 | 2.49 0.67–4.31 0.19–4.79 | 47% 26% 26% |
| Shots on target | 4.56 2.70–6.43 2.21–6.91 | 3.32 1.58–5.06 1.11–5.53 | 7.88 4.28–11.49 3.32–12.44 | 60% 13% 27% |
| Total shots | 14.11 10.18–18.03 9.09–19.13 | 9.92 6.35–13.48 5.39–14.44 | 24.02 16.54–31.51 14.49–33.56 | 78% 17% |
| Shots in box | 9.27 6.33–12.21 5.50–13.04 | 6.77 4.09–9.45 3.35–10.19 | 16.04 10.42–21.66 8.85–23.23 | 69% 23% |
| Blocked shots | 4.03 2.14–5.91 1.60–6.45 | 2.54 0.89–4.19 0.40–4.69 | 6.57 3.03–10.10 2.00–11.14 | 65% 14% 22% |
| Corners | 5.83 3.61–8.04 3.04–8.62 | 4.22 2.22–6.22 1.69–6.75 | 10.05 5.84–14.26 4.73–15.37 | 64% 25% |
| Possession % | 56.25 49.46–63.04 47.79–64.71 | 44.44 37.65–51.22 35.98–52.90 | — | 74% 22% |
| Passes | 474 406–541 388–559 | 350 283–416 266–434 | 824 690–957 654–993 | 85% 15% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.30 66.27–74.33 64.98–75.62 | 67.27 62.95–71.60 61.64–72.91 | — | 63% 32% |
| Fouls | 10.40 7.56–13.24 6.81–13.99 | 12.08 9.13–15.02 8.38–15.77 | 22.48 16.69–28.26 15.19–29.76 | 32% 60% |
| Offsides | 1.99 0.83–3.15 0.53–3.45 | 1.88 0.79–2.98 0.50–3.27 | 3.87 1.62–6.12 1.03–6.71 | 41% 21% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.58 0.53–2.63 0.27–2.90 | 2.28 1.15–3.41 0.86–3.70 | 3.86 1.69–6.04 1.13–6.60 | 26% 20% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.30 0.86–3.73 0.47–4.12 | 3.14 1.59–4.70 1.16–5.12 | 5.44 2.45–8.43 1.63–9.24 | 28% 17% 56% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.