Championship·Regular Season - 11·
Championship·Regular Season - 11·Predicted match statistics
Goals
70%
17%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction2.390.943.33safe1.42–3.360.08–1.791.50–5.15safer1.17–3.610.00–2.021.02–5.63
Shots on target
79%
homeawaytotalprediction6.583.5310.10safe4.71–8.441.78–5.276.50–13.71safer4.23–8.931.32–5.745.54–14.66
Total shots
91%
homeawaytotalprediction17.4910.0627.55safe13.56–21.416.50–13.6320.06–35.04safer12.47–22.505.54–14.5818.01–37.09
Shots in box
88%
homeawaytotalprediction11.936.4518.38safe8.99–14.883.77–9.1312.76–24.01safer8.16–15.713.03–9.8711.19–25.57
Blocked shots
62%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction4.713.348.05safe2.83–6.591.68–4.994.51–11.58safer2.29–7.141.19–5.483.48–12.62
Corners
78%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction6.673.7310.40safe4.46–8.881.73–5.736.18–14.61safer3.88–9.461.19–6.265.08–15.72
Possession %
80%
17%
homeawayprediction57.3542.14safe50.56–64.1435.36–48.93safer48.89–65.8133.69–50.60
Passes
91%
homeawaytotalprediction565401967safe498–632335–468833–1100safer480–651317–485797–1136
Pass accuracy %
64%
31%
homeawayprediction76.8473.58safe72.81–80.8769.25–77.90safer71.51–82.1667.95–79.21
Fouls
40%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0611.7722.83safe8.22–13.908.83–14.7217.05–28.61safer7.47–14.658.08–15.4615.54–30.12
Offsides
60%
17%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction3.001.944.94safe1.84–4.160.84–3.032.69–7.19safer1.54–4.460.56–3.322.10–7.78
Yellow cards
23%
21%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.302.123.42safe0.25–2.351.00–3.251.25–5.60safer0.00–2.610.70–3.550.69–6.16
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.090.14safe0.00–0.210.00–0.280.00–0.49safer0.00–0.360.00–0.410.00–0.77
GK saves
22%
14%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction2.483.936.40safe1.04–3.912.37–5.483.41–9.40safer0.65–4.301.95–5.912.60–10.21
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.39 1.42–3.36 1.17–3.61 | 0.94 0.08–1.79 0.00–2.02 | 3.33 1.50–5.15 1.02–5.63 | 70% 17% 13% |
| Shots on target | 6.58 4.71–8.44 4.23–8.93 | 3.53 1.78–5.27 1.32–5.74 | 10.10 6.50–13.71 5.54–14.66 | 79% |
| Total shots | 17.49 13.56–21.41 12.47–22.50 | 10.06 6.50–13.63 5.54–14.58 | 27.55 20.06–35.04 18.01–37.09 | 91% |
| Shots in box | 11.93 8.99–14.88 8.16–15.71 | 6.45 3.77–9.13 3.03–9.87 | 18.38 12.76–24.01 11.19–25.57 | 88% |
| Blocked shots | 4.71 2.83–6.59 2.29–7.14 | 3.34 1.68–4.99 1.19–5.48 | 8.05 4.51–11.58 3.48–12.62 | 62% 25% |
| Corners | 6.67 4.46–8.88 3.88–9.46 | 3.73 1.73–5.73 1.19–6.26 | 10.40 6.18–14.61 5.08–15.72 | 78% 14% |
| Possession % | 57.35 50.56–64.14 48.89–65.81 | 42.14 35.36–48.93 33.69–50.60 | — | 80% 17% |
| Passes | 565 498–632 480–651 | 401 335–468 317–485 | 967 833–1100 797–1136 | 91% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.84 72.81–80.87 71.51–82.16 | 73.58 69.25–77.90 67.95–79.21 | — | 64% 31% |
| Fouls | 11.06 8.22–13.90 7.47–14.65 | 11.77 8.83–14.72 8.08–15.46 | 22.83 17.05–28.61 15.54–30.12 | 40% 52% |
| Offsides | 3.00 1.84–4.16 1.54–4.46 | 1.94 0.84–3.03 0.56–3.32 | 4.94 2.69–7.19 2.10–7.78 | 60% 17% 24% |
| Yellow cards | 1.30 0.25–2.35 0.00–2.61 | 2.12 1.00–3.25 0.70–3.55 | 3.42 1.25–5.60 0.69–6.16 | 23% 21% 56% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.48 1.04–3.91 0.65–4.30 | 3.93 2.37–5.48 1.95–5.91 | 6.40 3.41–9.40 2.60–10.21 | 22% 14% 64% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.