Championship·Regular Season - 26·
Championship·Regular Season - 26·Predicted match statistics
Goals
23%
23%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.121.822.94safe0.15–2.090.97–2.681.12–4.77safer0.00–2.340.74–2.910.64–5.25
Shots on target
28%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction4.085.329.40safe2.22–5.943.58–7.065.80–13.01safer1.73–6.433.11–7.534.84–13.96
Total shots
38%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8313.8626.69safe8.90–16.7510.29–17.4219.20–34.17safer7.81–17.859.34–18.3817.15–36.22
Shots in box
27%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction8.0510.1518.20safe5.11–10.997.47–12.8312.58–23.83safer4.28–11.826.73–13.5711.01–25.39
Blocked shots
33%
14%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction3.524.207.71safe1.63–5.402.54–5.854.18–11.25safer1.09–5.942.05–6.343.14–12.28
Corners
36%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction4.785.4110.19safe2.57–6.993.41–7.415.98–14.41safer1.99–7.572.88–7.954.87–15.51
Possession %
25%
72%
homeawayprediction45.1455.80safe38.35–51.9349.02–62.59safer36.68–53.6047.35–64.26
Passes
23%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction407493901safe340–475427–560767–1035safer322–493410–577732–1070
Pass accuracy %
21%
76%
homeawayprediction71.0376.90safe67.00–75.0672.58–81.23safer65.71–76.3571.27–82.54
Fouls
37%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1312.2023.33safe8.29–13.969.26–15.1517.55–29.11safer7.53–14.728.51–15.9016.04–30.62
Offsides
21%
16%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction1.943.205.15safe0.78–3.102.11–4.302.89–7.40safer0.48–3.401.82–4.582.30–7.99
Yellow cards
40%
21%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction2.001.953.95safe0.95–3.040.82–3.081.77–6.13safer0.68–3.310.53–3.371.21–6.68
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.100.18safe0.00–0.250.00–0.280.00–0.53safer0.00–0.400.00–0.420.00–0.81
GK saves
51%
16%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction3.572.986.56safe2.14–5.011.43–4.543.56–9.55safer1.75–5.401.00–4.962.75–10.36
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.12 0.15–2.09 0.00–2.34 | 1.82 0.97–2.68 0.74–2.91 | 2.94 1.12–4.77 0.64–5.25 | 23% 23% 54% |
| Shots on target | 4.08 2.22–5.94 1.73–6.43 | 5.32 3.58–7.06 3.11–7.53 | 9.40 5.80–13.01 4.84–13.96 | 28% 59% |
| Total shots | 12.83 8.90–16.75 7.81–17.85 | 13.86 10.29–17.42 9.34–18.38 | 26.69 19.20–34.17 17.15–36.22 | 38% 54% |
| Shots in box | 8.05 5.11–10.99 4.28–11.82 | 10.15 7.47–12.83 6.73–13.57 | 18.20 12.58–23.83 11.01–25.39 | 27% 65% |
| Blocked shots | 3.52 1.63–5.40 1.09–5.94 | 4.20 2.54–5.85 2.05–6.34 | 7.71 4.18–11.25 3.14–12.28 | 33% 14% 52% |
| Corners | 4.78 2.57–6.99 1.99–7.57 | 5.41 3.41–7.41 2.88–7.95 | 10.19 5.98–14.41 4.87–15.51 | 36% 52% |
| Possession % | 45.14 38.35–51.93 36.68–53.60 | 55.80 49.02–62.59 47.35–64.26 | — | 25% 72% |
| Passes | 407 340–475 322–493 | 493 427–560 410–577 | 901 767–1035 732–1070 | 23% 76% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.03 67.00–75.06 65.71–76.35 | 76.90 72.58–81.23 71.27–82.54 | — | 21% 76% |
| Fouls | 11.13 8.29–13.96 7.53–14.72 | 12.20 9.26–15.15 8.51–15.90 | 23.33 17.55–29.11 16.04–30.62 | 37% 55% |
| Offsides | 1.94 0.78–3.10 0.48–3.40 | 3.20 2.11–4.30 1.82–4.58 | 5.15 2.89–7.40 2.30–7.99 | 21% 16% 63% |
| Yellow cards | 2.00 0.95–3.04 0.68–3.31 | 1.95 0.82–3.08 0.53–3.37 | 3.95 1.77–6.13 1.21–6.68 | 40% 21% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.57 2.14–5.01 1.75–5.40 | 2.98 1.43–4.54 1.00–4.96 | 6.56 3.56–9.55 2.75–10.36 | 51% 16% 33% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.