Predicted match statistics
Goals
42%
27%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.351.102.45safe0.38–2.320.25–1.960.63–4.28safer0.13–2.570.02–2.190.15–4.76
Shots on target
51%
14%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction4.423.848.26safe2.56–6.282.10–5.584.66–11.87safer2.07–6.771.63–6.053.70–12.82
Total shots
75%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction14.2410.3424.58safe10.32–18.176.77–13.9017.09–32.07safer9.23–19.265.82–14.8615.04–34.12
Shots in box
75%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction10.026.8116.83safe7.07–12.964.13–9.4911.20–22.45safer6.24–13.793.39–10.239.64–24.02
Blocked shots
55%
14%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction4.053.187.24safe2.17–5.931.53–4.843.70–10.77safer1.63–6.481.04–5.332.66–11.81
Corners
65%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction6.024.2610.28safe3.81–8.232.26–6.266.07–14.50safer3.23–8.811.73–6.804.96–15.61
Possession %
51%
45%
homeawayprediction50.6949.38safe43.90–57.4842.59–56.16safer42.23–59.1540.92–57.83
Passes
61%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction401368769safe334–469302–434636–903safer316–487284–452600–939
Pass accuracy %
27%
69%
homeawayprediction61.8066.04safe57.77–65.8361.71–70.36safer56.48–67.1260.40–71.67
Fouls
43%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2112.6424.85safe9.38–15.059.69–15.5819.07–30.63safer8.62–15.818.94–16.3317.56–32.14
Offsides
35%
23%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.521.663.19safe0.36–2.680.57–2.760.93–5.44safer0.06–2.980.28–3.050.34–6.03
Yellow cards
24%
20%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.422.213.63safe0.37–2.461.09–3.341.45–5.81safer0.10–2.730.79–3.640.89–6.37
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.110.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.51safer0.00–0.370.00–0.430.00–0.79
GK saves
35%
17%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.542.935.47safe1.11–3.981.37–4.492.48–8.46safer0.72–4.370.95–4.911.67–9.28
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.35 0.38–2.32 0.13–2.57 | 1.10 0.25–1.96 0.02–2.19 | 2.45 0.63–4.28 0.15–4.76 | 42% 27% 31% |
| Shots on target | 4.42 2.56–6.28 2.07–6.77 | 3.84 2.10–5.58 1.63–6.05 | 8.26 4.66–11.87 3.70–12.82 | 51% 14% 35% |
| Total shots | 14.24 10.32–18.17 9.23–19.26 | 10.34 6.77–13.90 5.82–14.86 | 24.58 17.09–32.07 15.04–34.12 | 75% 19% |
| Shots in box | 10.02 7.07–12.96 6.24–13.79 | 6.81 4.13–9.49 3.39–10.23 | 16.83 11.20–22.45 9.64–24.02 | 75% 18% |
| Blocked shots | 4.05 2.17–5.93 1.63–6.48 | 3.18 1.53–4.84 1.04–5.33 | 7.24 3.70–10.77 2.66–11.81 | 55% 14% 30% |
| Corners | 6.02 3.81–8.23 3.23–8.81 | 4.26 2.26–6.26 1.73–6.80 | 10.28 6.07–14.50 4.96–15.61 | 65% 24% |
| Possession % | 50.69 43.90–57.48 42.23–59.15 | 49.38 42.59–56.16 40.92–57.83 | — | 51% 45% |
| Passes | 401 334–469 316–487 | 368 302–434 284–452 | 769 636–903 600–939 | 61% 39% |
| Pass accuracy % | 61.80 57.77–65.83 56.48–67.12 | 66.04 61.71–70.36 60.40–71.67 | — | 27% 69% |
| Fouls | 12.21 9.38–15.05 8.62–15.81 | 12.64 9.69–15.58 8.94–16.33 | 24.85 19.07–30.63 17.56–32.14 | 43% 49% |
| Offsides | 1.52 0.36–2.68 0.06–2.98 | 1.66 0.57–2.76 0.28–3.05 | 3.19 0.93–5.44 0.34–6.03 | 35% 23% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 1.42 0.37–2.46 0.10–2.73 | 2.21 1.09–3.34 0.79–3.64 | 3.63 1.45–5.81 0.89–6.37 | 24% 20% 56% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.54 1.11–3.98 0.72–4.37 | 2.93 1.37–4.49 0.95–4.91 | 5.47 2.48–8.46 1.67–9.28 | 35% 17% 48% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+