Championship·Regular Season - 11·
Championship·Regular Season - 11·Predicted match statistics
Goals
63%
20%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.181.043.22safe1.21–3.150.19–1.891.40–5.04safer0.96–3.400.00–2.120.92–5.52
Shots on target
78%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction6.103.229.31safe4.23–7.961.48–4.965.71–12.92safer3.74–8.451.01–5.434.75–13.87
Total shots
90%
homeawaytotalprediction16.459.5025.96safe12.53–20.385.94–13.0718.47–33.44safer11.44–21.474.98–14.0316.42–35.50
Shots in box
85%
homeawaytotalprediction11.576.6018.17safe8.63–14.513.92–9.2812.55–23.79safer7.80–15.343.18–10.0210.98–25.36
Blocked shots
76%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction4.432.136.56safe2.55–6.320.48–3.783.03–10.10safer2.01–6.860.00–4.271.99–11.13
Corners
78%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction6.873.8610.73safe4.65–9.081.86–5.866.51–14.94safer4.08–9.651.33–6.395.41–16.05
Possession %
85%
homeawayprediction59.3540.90safe52.56–66.1434.11–47.68safer50.89–67.8132.44–49.35
Passes
94%
homeawaytotalprediction507321828safe440–574255–388694–962safer421–592237–405659–997
Pass accuracy %
79%
18%
homeawayprediction74.5867.87safe70.55–78.6163.55–72.20safer69.26–79.9062.24–73.50
Fouls
36%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9812.1723.15safe8.14–13.819.23–15.1217.37–28.93safer7.38–14.578.48–15.8715.86–30.44
Offsides
26%
15%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction2.453.505.95safe1.29–3.612.40–4.593.69–8.20safer0.99–3.912.12–4.883.11–8.79
Yellow cards
29%
21%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.602.183.78safe0.55–2.651.05–3.301.60–5.96safer0.29–2.920.76–3.601.04–6.52
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.100.15safe0.00–0.210.00–0.290.00–0.50safer0.00–0.360.00–0.420.00–0.78
GK saves
18%
13%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction2.203.916.11safe0.77–3.642.35–5.463.12–9.10safer0.38–4.031.93–5.892.31–9.92
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.18 1.21–3.15 0.96–3.40 | 1.04 0.19–1.89 0.00–2.12 | 3.22 1.40–5.04 0.92–5.52 | 63% 20% 17% |
| Shots on target | 6.10 4.23–7.96 3.74–8.45 | 3.22 1.48–4.96 1.01–5.43 | 9.31 5.71–12.92 4.75–13.87 | 78% 13% |
| Total shots | 16.45 12.53–20.38 11.44–21.47 | 9.50 5.94–13.07 4.98–14.03 | 25.96 18.47–33.44 16.42–35.50 | 90% |
| Shots in box | 11.57 8.63–14.51 7.80–15.34 | 6.60 3.92–9.28 3.18–10.02 | 18.17 12.55–23.79 10.98–25.36 | 85% |
| Blocked shots | 4.43 2.55–6.32 2.01–6.86 | 2.13 0.48–3.78 0.00–4.27 | 6.56 3.03–10.10 1.99–11.13 | 76% 13% |
| Corners | 6.87 4.65–9.08 4.08–9.65 | 3.86 1.86–5.86 1.33–6.39 | 10.73 6.51–14.94 5.41–16.05 | 78% 14% |
| Possession % | 59.35 52.56–66.14 50.89–67.81 | 40.90 34.11–47.68 32.44–49.35 | — | 85% |
| Passes | 507 440–574 421–592 | 321 255–388 237–405 | 828 694–962 659–997 | 94% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.58 70.55–78.61 69.26–79.90 | 67.87 63.55–72.20 62.24–73.50 | — | 79% 18% |
| Fouls | 10.98 8.14–13.81 7.38–14.57 | 12.17 9.23–15.12 8.48–15.87 | 23.15 17.37–28.93 15.86–30.44 | 36% 56% |
| Offsides | 2.45 1.29–3.61 0.99–3.91 | 3.50 2.40–4.59 2.12–4.88 | 5.95 3.69–8.20 3.11–8.79 | 26% 15% 59% |
| Yellow cards | 1.60 0.55–2.65 0.29–2.92 | 2.18 1.05–3.30 0.76–3.60 | 3.78 1.60–5.96 1.04–6.52 | 29% 21% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.20 0.77–3.64 0.38–4.03 | 3.91 2.35–5.46 1.93–5.89 | 6.11 3.12–9.10 2.31–9.92 | 18% 13% 69% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+