Championship·Regular Season - 26·
Championship·Regular Season - 26·Predicted match statistics
Goals
28%
24%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.221.702.91safe0.25–2.190.84–2.551.09–4.74safer0.00–2.440.61–2.780.61–5.22
Shots on target
29%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction3.744.848.58safe1.87–5.603.10–6.594.97–12.18safer1.38–6.092.63–7.054.02–13.14
Total shots
27%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2713.8525.13safe7.35–15.2010.29–17.4117.64–32.61safer6.26–16.299.33–18.3715.59–34.66
Shots in box
29%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction7.789.5317.32safe4.84–10.736.85–12.2111.69–22.94safer4.01–11.566.11–12.9510.13–24.51
Blocked shots
25%
13%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction3.154.517.66safe1.26–5.032.86–6.164.12–11.19safer0.72–5.572.37–6.663.09–12.23
Corners
39%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction4.875.2510.13safe2.66–7.093.25–7.255.91–14.34safer2.09–7.662.72–7.784.80–15.45
Possession %
19%
78%
homeawayprediction43.2757.37safe36.48–50.0650.58–64.15safer34.81–51.7348.91–65.82
Passes
16%
84%
homeawaytotalprediction349468818safe282–417402–535684–951safer264–435384–552648–987
Pass accuracy %
93%
homeawayprediction64.0876.08safe60.05–68.1171.76–80.40safer58.76–69.4070.45–81.71
Fouls
61%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9210.1022.02safe9.08–14.767.16–13.0516.24–27.81safer8.33–15.526.41–13.8014.74–29.31
Offsides
59%
16%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction3.442.415.85safe2.28–4.601.31–3.503.60–8.10safer1.98–4.901.03–3.793.01–8.69
Yellow cards
40%
22%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.851.833.68safe0.80–2.900.70–2.961.51–5.86safer0.54–3.170.41–3.250.95–6.42
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.080.16safe0.00–0.240.00–0.260.00–0.50safer0.00–0.390.00–0.400.00–0.79
GK saves
49%
17%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction3.002.545.54safe1.57–4.440.98–4.102.55–8.54safer1.18–4.830.56–4.521.74–9.35
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.22 0.25–2.19 0.00–2.44 | 1.70 0.84–2.55 0.61–2.78 | 2.91 1.09–4.74 0.61–5.22 | 28% 24% 49% |
| Shots on target | 3.74 1.87–5.60 1.38–6.09 | 4.84 3.10–6.59 2.63–7.05 | 8.58 4.97–12.18 4.02–13.14 | 29% 58% |
| Total shots | 11.27 7.35–15.20 6.26–16.29 | 13.85 10.29–17.41 9.33–18.37 | 25.13 17.64–32.61 15.59–34.66 | 27% 66% |
| Shots in box | 7.78 4.84–10.73 4.01–11.56 | 9.53 6.85–12.21 6.11–12.95 | 17.32 11.69–22.94 10.13–24.51 | 29% 62% |
| Blocked shots | 3.15 1.26–5.03 0.72–5.57 | 4.51 2.86–6.16 2.37–6.66 | 7.66 4.12–11.19 3.09–12.23 | 25% 13% 62% |
| Corners | 4.87 2.66–7.09 2.09–7.66 | 5.25 3.25–7.25 2.72–7.78 | 10.13 5.91–14.34 4.80–15.45 | 39% 48% |
| Possession % | 43.27 36.48–50.06 34.81–51.73 | 57.37 50.58–64.15 48.91–65.82 | — | 19% 78% |
| Passes | 349 282–417 264–435 | 468 402–535 384–552 | 818 684–951 648–987 | 16% 84% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.08 60.05–68.11 58.76–69.40 | 76.08 71.76–80.40 70.45–81.71 | — | 93% |
| Fouls | 11.92 9.08–14.76 8.33–15.52 | 10.10 7.16–13.05 6.41–13.80 | 22.02 16.24–27.81 14.74–29.31 | 61% 31% |
| Offsides | 3.44 2.28–4.60 1.98–4.90 | 2.41 1.31–3.50 1.03–3.79 | 5.85 3.60–8.10 3.01–8.69 | 59% 16% 26% |
| Yellow cards | 1.85 0.80–2.90 0.54–3.17 | 1.83 0.70–2.96 0.41–3.25 | 3.68 1.51–5.86 0.95–6.42 | 40% 22% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.00 1.57–4.44 1.18–4.83 | 2.54 0.98–4.10 0.56–4.52 | 5.54 2.55–8.54 1.74–9.35 | 49% 17% 34% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.