Championship·Regular Season - 11·
Championship·Regular Season - 11·Predicted match statistics
Goals
66%
19%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.291.023.31safe1.32–3.250.17–1.871.48–5.13safer1.07–3.510.00–2.101.00–5.61
Shots on target
73%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction6.103.669.76safe4.24–7.961.92–5.406.16–13.37safer3.75–8.451.45–5.875.20–14.32
Total shots
81%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction16.6111.4928.10safe12.69–20.547.93–15.0620.62–35.59safer11.60–21.636.97–16.0118.57–37.64
Shots in box
82%
homeawaytotalprediction11.897.4519.34safe8.95–14.834.77–10.1313.71–24.96safer8.12–15.664.03–10.8712.15–26.53
Blocked shots
52%
14%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction4.153.517.66safe2.27–6.041.85–5.164.12–11.20safer1.73–6.581.36–5.653.09–12.23
Corners
78%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction6.693.7210.41safe4.48–8.901.72–5.726.19–14.62safer3.90–9.481.18–6.255.09–15.73
Possession %
84%
14%
homeawayprediction59.3841.74safe52.59–66.1734.96–48.53safer50.92–67.8433.29–50.20
Passes
93%
homeawaytotalprediction548375924safe481–616309–442790–1057safer463–634291–459754–1093
Pass accuracy %
68%
28%
homeawayprediction74.8170.71safe70.78–78.8466.39–75.04safer69.49–80.1365.08–76.35
Fouls
32%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6012.3222.91safe7.76–13.439.37–15.2617.13–28.69safer7.00–14.198.62–16.0115.63–30.20
Offsides
79%
homeawaytotalprediction3.661.395.05safe2.50–4.820.29–2.482.80–7.30safer2.20–5.120.00–2.772.21–7.89
Yellow cards
24%
21%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.352.103.45safe0.30–2.400.98–3.231.27–5.63safer0.03–2.660.68–3.520.72–6.19
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.100.14safe0.00–0.210.00–0.280.00–0.49safer0.00–0.360.00–0.420.00–0.77
GK saves
26%
14%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction2.763.926.68safe1.33–4.202.36–5.483.69–9.68safer0.94–4.591.94–5.902.88–10.49
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.29 1.32–3.25 1.07–3.51 | 1.02 0.17–1.87 0.00–2.10 | 3.31 1.48–5.13 1.00–5.61 | 66% 19% 16% |
| Shots on target | 6.10 4.24–7.96 3.75–8.45 | 3.66 1.92–5.40 1.45–5.87 | 9.76 6.16–13.37 5.20–14.32 | 73% 17% |
| Total shots | 16.61 12.69–20.54 11.60–21.63 | 11.49 7.93–15.06 6.97–16.01 | 28.10 20.62–35.59 18.57–37.64 | 81% 14% |
| Shots in box | 11.89 8.95–14.83 8.12–15.66 | 7.45 4.77–10.13 4.03–10.87 | 19.34 13.71–24.96 12.15–26.53 | 82% |
| Blocked shots | 4.15 2.27–6.04 1.73–6.58 | 3.51 1.85–5.16 1.36–5.65 | 7.66 4.12–11.20 3.09–12.23 | 52% 14% 34% |
| Corners | 6.69 4.48–8.90 3.90–9.48 | 3.72 1.72–5.72 1.18–6.25 | 10.41 6.19–14.62 5.09–15.73 | 78% 14% |
| Possession % | 59.38 52.59–66.17 50.92–67.84 | 41.74 34.96–48.53 33.29–50.20 | — | 84% 14% |
| Passes | 548 481–616 463–634 | 375 309–442 291–459 | 924 790–1057 754–1093 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.81 70.78–78.84 69.49–80.13 | 70.71 66.39–75.04 65.08–76.35 | — | 68% 28% |
| Fouls | 10.60 7.76–13.43 7.00–14.19 | 12.32 9.37–15.26 8.62–16.01 | 22.91 17.13–28.69 15.63–30.20 | 32% 60% |
| Offsides | 3.66 2.50–4.82 2.20–5.12 | 1.39 0.29–2.48 0.00–2.77 | 5.05 2.80–7.30 2.21–7.89 | 79% |
| Yellow cards | 1.35 0.30–2.40 0.03–2.66 | 2.10 0.98–3.23 0.68–3.52 | 3.45 1.27–5.63 0.72–6.19 | 24% 21% 55% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.76 1.33–4.20 0.94–4.59 | 3.92 2.36–5.48 1.94–5.90 | 6.68 3.69–9.68 2.88–10.49 | 26% 14% 60% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.